Inkless Wells

Inkless Wells

Paul Wells on all the latest out of Ottawa—along with the occasional post about jazz. Follow Paul on Twitter: @InklessPW
He also offers his thoughtful perspective of Stephen Harper’s last 10 years in his recent eBook, The Harper Decade.

Sarah Palin is the kindest, bravest, warmest, most wonderful human being I've ever known in my life

by Paul Wells on Wednesday, September 3, 2008 11:23pm - 112 Comments

With Gallup’s help, let me predict and explain all the reaction, pro and con, you’re going to hear over the next little while to Sarah Palin’s convention speech, her selection, and the various controversies that append thereto:

She excites the Republican base and turns off everyone else. She’s like Keith’s: Those who like it, like it a lot. She’s like that line George Will likes to quote: If you like this sort of thing, this is the sort of thing you’ll like.

Small problem: in 2008, the Republican base isn’t wide enough to win a presidential election. But tonight, as our Luiza has been chronicling from the centre of it all, the base is very happy.

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  • Steve Wart

    I don’t know gentry. It seems to me the mom thing is going to win some Hilaryites, the working class husband will win over some of the blue collar vote, and in spite of his back-pedaling, McCain has an appealing attitude towards immigration. Of course many Dems will be blinded by their fear of the VP single-handedly repealing Roe vs. Wade in the face of both Democratically-controlled houses and a fundamentally liberal administration (er, except for the war monger thing; he’s got to work on that, but I suspect it’s in his blood).

    I wish McCain hadn’t rolled over on Bush’s tax cuts, but if I think he’s much more likely to take on the unfettered abuses of the current administration than Obama. At least we know what deals McCain has made to get the nomination. What promises has Obama made to his string-pullers?

  • Chris

    Governor Palin’s speech was one of the best I’ve ever heard. She said it like it is, unlike the mindless sheep who adore Obama, even though he’s just an empty suit. Most of the negative blogs on this site appear to have been written before the speech was even given. Comments by brain washed Obamabots, who infect the blog sites with the same sarcastic partisan posts, no matter what the story is about. Keep America strong, elect McCain / Palin in November. No Wright, no Farrakahn, no Ayers, no Rezko, no mean Michelle, NOBAMA

  • Dennis Prouse

    As a parent, I do feel obligated to tell Gentry that the game of, “pass the restless baby” is a very common one. When my kids were babies, friends and family members would always take their turn holding them, thus giving my wife and I a break. Now that our kids are older, I am always happy to return the favour for new parents.

    Even McCain’s most bitter opponents would have to acknowledge that it was a brilliant move to bring Bristol Palin’s boyfriend to the convention. Talk about taking lemons and making lemonade – instead of trying to hide the problem, they hang a lantern on it, so to speak, and make it into a family values positive. It has made the GOP base love Palin even more, if that is possible, and it lays down a very clever trap for the Democrats. If they want to take a run at Palin’s family, they risk ticking off all sorts of key demographics, and making this into a values contest that the Democrats will lose. Obama himself, no fool he, has wisely refused to take the bait, but that doesn’t mean that some of his less disciplined surrogates will be able to avoid the temptation.

  • john g

    Real classy reporting from the CBC’s Neil MacDonald, floating an already-debunked “rumour” that Sarah Palin faked the maternity of her baby Trig, and that her daughter Bristol was Trig’s actual mother.

    Absolutely inexcusable. It seems there is no mud puddle the MSM won’t slither into to slag this woman.

    Macdonald’s head should roll for this.

  • Bob F

    As an Alaskan, I was surprised that Sarah Palin claimed in her acceptance speech that “I told the Congress “thanks, but no thanks,” for that Bridge to Nowhere”, when she actually campaigned FOR the TWO “Bridges to Nowhere” when she was running for Governor, and then didn’t kill either one, and certainly didn’t give the earmarks back! John McCain fought hard against the $223 Million earmarks for the Gravina Island Bridge near Ketchikan, and $230 Million for the Knik Arm Bridge.

    Gov. Palin did stop the Gravina Island Bridge, but still kept the money from the earmark, and spent $24 Million from the earmark to build a road towards where the bridge might be built.

    The other Bridge to Nowhere, the Knik Arm Bridge is still alive and has so far spent over $40 Million and is not yet designed or permitted.

    Too bad that Gov. Palin’s introduction to the Nation included lies.

  • Joan Tintor

    Dang, I knew it was from the Manchurian Candidate too, but I didn’t get here in time.

    Palin’s voice reminds me of Marge Gunderson (Frances Mcdormand) in “Fargo”: “There’s more to life than a little bit of money. Doncha know that?” Her character was hugely pregnant too, but you’ll have to show Neil Macdonald the tape.

    If Trig hadn’t been in the hall, people would have been asking whey they were “hiding” him. Feh.

  • Joan Tintor

    P.S. I think what’s going on here is that Obama has gone a long way on the novelty of his story and background, and that novelty has now worn off somewhat.

    Palin is another novelty in terms of story and background, but a fresher one. Whether that novelty will last another two months, I guess we will see.

  • Paul Wells

    Joan’s absolutely right on that last point. The lady has a family. The family came to her speech. The baby needs a lot of attention and, I am quite sure, gets it even when there are no cameras around. There is plenty to criticize, but if any of you were picked as the vice-presidential candidate of a major political party — and, apparently, it can now happen to just about anyone — you’d want your family there, and you’d be properly appalled if millions of strangers seized on that wish as some kind of character flaw. I obviously wasn’t thrilled by Palin’s speech, but it is profoundly creepy to hear people who pride themselves on their sophistication referring to her child as a “prop.”

  • jaycee

    A letter from someone who has known Sarah Palin since 1992

    From: http://my2bucks.wordpress.com/2008/09/02/a-letter-from-someone-who-has-known-sarah-palin-since-1992/

    Also

    http://www.washingtonindependent.com/3671/the-reform-candidate

    This is a balanced and fascinating chronicle of Palin’s public service. I would strongly recommend that both conservatives and liberals read this. If fiscal conservatives think that she will help McCain get the economy because of her ‘executive’ experience you really NEED to read this. She left Wasila, a town with zero debt prior to her tenure as mayor, 22 million dollars in debt. Yikes. A McCain/Palin administration would truly be third term of Bush when it comes to a tanking economy.
    The veep selection process demonstrates that a McCain vote in November is a vote for Captain Chaos. From Cowboy Bush to Chaos McCain. Run in the opposite direction America.

  • Hazzard

    “The reaction she has received from the mainstream press and from people like Paul Wells smacks of elitism. I may be wrong but elitism is not something that the American voter is happy with.”

    And having “Joe Average” as president has proven to be such a success for the American people. I fail to understand why the majority of people want the leader of the most powerful nation on earth (for now anyway) to be an average “one of us” on every level? Do they want their doctors to be everyday sort of folks too? Embracing the lowest common denomenator of society is not a way to chose a President. A little elitism might do everyone some good.

    And maybe Obama isn’t the answer, but can we at least stop penalizing people for being educated and stop viewing the President of the USA as a position to be held by someone who reminds me of my favourite Aunt Betty or the good mechanic in town!?!

    As for Chris…….YIKES!

  • gentry

    Er, maybe if Palin didn’t use him as a prop, maybe it would be improper to refer to him as such. But if she’s going to use her family in lieu of a resume, she can’t expect that no one will call her on it.

    Put another way, Palin is the one who decided she could score political points by parading her kids in front of the media. It’s unfortunate, yeah, but the decision was entirely hers.

  • hosertohoosier

    Palin was speaking to the base, which McCain needs to mobilize in order to get out the vote. I don’t think she is an utter flop among independents though (for reference I would have voted Democrat 1992-2004 and would vote for McCain in ’08), as she opens up some potential room to maneuver.

    -attack Washington and in particular, congress (which has even lower approval ratings than Bush), tying Obama to Pelosi and Reid.

    -she can attract SOME Hillary voters. If you look at who voted for Clinton in particular, she had strengths with…
    working class women
    old people
    hispanic voters
    gender voters (15-20% of primary voters for Clinton said they voted primarily out of gender)

    Palin helps with 1 and 4. Now I know what you are saying about group 4 – ABORTION! But reality is not what you would suspect – women are actually more likely to be pro-life than men (there is a pro-choice majority in each case).

    SurveyUSA asked about abortion in its primary polls. In Ohio, their poll of likely primary voters found 36% that were pro-life, 61% were pro-choice. Clinton led among pro-life voters 52-45, and among pro-choice voters 56-42.

    So there is a market for Palin among the 18 million Clinton voters – the third of Clinton voters that are pro-life, the ~35% with high school or less (a proxy for working class) and the 20% of Clinton voters that are gender voters.

    That will have to compensate loss of moderate voters overall, who are repelled by Palin’s stance on abortion (which is not radically difference from McCain’s, but people don’t perceive McCain as hardcore pro-life).

  • Davey Boy

    Gentry said: “By comparison to Alaska, Chicago is the freakin’ Norway of electoral politics”

    Patrick Fitzgerald might tend to disagree…http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patrick_Fitzgerald)

  • Joan Tintor

    Speaking of the baby, Don Newman and Henry Champ just now echoed the “prop” allegation on Newsworld’s “Politics”, buttressed by “women I was speaking to” (Newman) and, apparently, comments on the CBC’s website. A shortened Politics repeats at 7:30 EST so there may be a chance to see it again.

    As I said in another forum yesterday, what has been emanating from the mouths and keyboards of liberals and feminists in the last few days is making me laugh my kiester off. There’s nothing like a minority or female with the “wrong” views to expose some interesting double standards.

    I’ve never been keen on McCain (too much media-courting and carrying water for the Dems), and my expectation is still that Obama will win, the Dems will gain seats in the Senate and take the House again. But ever since the Britney-Paris ad, this has sure been entertaining.

  • Dot

    pw says: The baby needs a lot of attention and, I am quite sure, gets it even when there are no cameras around.

    I guess if one wanted to pursue this angle (and I certainly won’t) the real test of the “prop” allegation would be to compare the number of attention givers with the previous public appearance, where all I saw were photos of him resting comfortably on eldest daughter’s lap/belly.

    However, the coverage then wasn’t extensive.

  • Sean S.

    Paul Wells wrote: “…it is profoundly creepy to hear people who pride themselves on their sophistication referring to her child as a “prop.” ”

    Agreed. Palin is the real “prop” in all of this.

  • Wayne

    One thing about Palin is she seems to be drawing a lot more fire than Biden hmmmmmmmmmm! Where there is fire there just might be some smoke. Me thinks left wing nuts are getting a little touchy … good!

  • Steve Wart

    Wayne you’re right. McCain should have taken up Biden’s offer to be his running mate. But I guess then the fact that he said that Mr Obama is “the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy” would probably come back to haunt him.

  • http://carnewsandviews.com jwl

    Wayne ‘When you are taking flak, you know you are over the target’, as my grandfather use to say.

  • Ryan

    What people have seen of Palin so far is a week of unbroken media criticism followed by the best crafted speech she’ll ever give. This is not a typical week for her. Whether or not she appeals beyond the base will depend on what her typical weeks look like. The polls right now don’t tell the story, just what the story will be if the campaign team doesn’t use the numbers to decide their strategy for her.

    Also, I’m pretty sure only a guy with no children would react this way, but when she held her baby on stage after the speech, my first thought was: if she drops that thing this election is OVER.

  • http://hungoveroffofcoffeeandenergydrinks.wordpress.com CaffeineHangover

    I’m still thoroughly looking forward to the Biden, Palin debate, something tells me it will make them look both slightly less warm and wonderful looking.

  • T. Thwim

    Wayne: Under that logic, criticism over adscam was just because people were afraid of Chretian.

  • Steve Wart

    I’m afraid of Chretien. Avril Lavigne has never been the same since she met him. Coincidence?

  • T. Thwim

    Steve: So any complaints you had about adscam weren’t really because of adscam but because you feared Chretien’s power with teen-age rock-singers?

  • Steve Wart

    No I was so disgusted by the whole thing I left the country :)

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