Take that, Potter! Latest numbers from Harris Decima – 37/24/16/12/9

by kadyomalley on Wednesday, September 24, 2008 4:08pm - 7 Comments

Regional and other breakdowns here. A teaser:

  • In Ontario, the Conservatives have 37%, the Liberals 33%, the NDP 15% and the Greens
    12%.
  • In Quebec, the BQ shows some signs of recovering lost ground and stands at 37%, the
    Conservatives follow with 23%, the Liberals at 16%, the NDP 14% and the Greens at 9%.
  • In Atlantic Canada, the Liberals have 35%, the NDP 28%, the Conservatives 26% and the
    Green Party 8%.
  • In British Columbia, the Conservatives lead with 37%, followed by the NDP with 26%, the
    Greens at 19% and the Liberals at 15%.

For comparison, the latest breakdown from Nanos:

  • In Ontario, the Liberals and Conservatives are now tied at 37, with NDP at 19 and the Greens at 8
  • Meanwhile, in Quebec, the Bloc Quebecois jumped six points overnight, and now sit at 40 with the Conservatives down for at 23, NDP ahead of the Liberals with18, Liberals at 14 and the Greens at 5
  • Atlantic Canada: Conservatives at 37, Liberals at 30, NDP at 29 and 5 for the Greens
  • No separate data for British Columbia, but in Western Canada, the Conservatives have more than double the support of the next highest party, with 47, compared with 23 for the Liberals, 21 for the NDP and the Greens at 8
  • The number of undecided voters has fallen to 16 as of yesterday.

UPDATE: Yikes! I accidentally attributed this poll to Angus Reid, not Harris Decima. I blame society. Sorry about that, everyone.

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  • http://worthwhile.typepad.com Stephen Gordon

    Has Angus Reid outsourced their puplic opinion polling work to Harris-Decima?

  • http://www.macleans.ca Kady O’Malley

    Fixed! Sorry about that. So many pollsters, y’all.

  • http://www.maderblog.com David Mader

    Forgive the shameless self-promotion, but if folks are interested in a side-by-side comparison of daily tracking polls, I’ve been running a Poll of Polls over at http://www.maderblog.com.

  • http://www.gauntlet.ca Jason Morris

    Seriously? Some people are still using “The West” and including BC? Why?

  • Don Mitchell

    Now most decent pollers will split the “West” into 3 BC, Alberta, MB/SK. I do not know where the “North” fits into all of this though.

  • TobyornotToby

    Jason has a good point, but the larger point is what is the west anyway?

    Large numbers of Manitobans and Saskatchewanians also behave quite differently than Albertans electorally, so I usually take “the west” to mean Alberta on its own.

    Manitoba and Saskatchewan both elect NDP members with regularity. Even MB and Sask farmers who have voted Conservative since it was Progressive (and long before) generally belong to credit unions, shop at Co-op stores and as much as a vocal minority protests otherwise, support the Canadian Wheat Board.

    Alberta is the real outlier. BC has more in common with MB and Sask electorally than it does with Alta which almost never swings left or changes its provincial government.

  • genxmike

    I think it is official. None of the polls are really telling the real story out there. With the numbers jumping around so much it is hard to believe that any of them have any kind of accuracy.

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