Catch the EKOSine wave (34/25/20/11/10)

comment by Jarrid on Wednesday, October 8, 2008 at 9:07 am:

The thought of Bob Rae as finance minister in these turbulent times is makes people break out in a cold sweat… not to mention Stéphane “I’ve been chosen to save the planet” Dion.

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lol, what about Stevie ‘Bow down to my every whim or be punished in my dictatorial styles’ Harper?

Or Stevie ‘No dissent’ Harper…or maybe Stevie ‘Master of all I survey and don’t you think any immoral thoughts’ Harper….oh I could go on.

kody
“Now where have we heard that before??

I called it the pause effect.

When it gets close, voters have to start considering Dion at the helm.”

Finally, you made an intelligent point. Yes, voters aren’t particularly enthralled with Dion either – they’re scared because they think he’s too much of an environmentalist and ideologue, and that he’d put the environment ahead of the interests of the country.

Voters are also, in the same vein, not thrilled with Harper – they also see him as an ideologue, but a free market libertarian type.

Both men are stupidly sticking to their guns – Harper to free market economics, Dion to the environment, to their mutual detriment.

If anybody in this country enjoys wikipedia / google “washing ” , Sept. 7th PMO no press release edict , loss of Afghan spending report , loss of memo to meat inspectors to quit getting/following up on contamination reports , burying report on 89 major suspected violations of Canada Health Act , and the vodoo math in July budget update release ………..

Everbody else please vote ABC .

This debate about auto-dialing polls versus real people took place in the U.S. during the last Presidential election. The post election analysis showed that the demon-dialer polls performed just as well (or poorly) as the ones where real people did the interviewing.

What everyone seems to forget is the factors of a) margin of error, and b) rogue polls. We have all heard the caveats, “plus or minus 3.5%, 19 times out of 20″, but no one pays attention. If you give the Conservatives a base of 36%, they really haven’t polled very far at all outside the margin of error one way or another. (A low of 31% and a high of 40%, as I recall.) Ditto for the Liberals, who seem to be polling as low as 24% or as high as 31%. Where were they when the campaign opened? About 27%, as I recall. They got 30% last election, and conventional wisdom at the beginning of the campaign seemed to indicate that they bleed 3% of their 2006 vote to the Greens and/or NDP.

Then there is the “rogue poll”. We know that one poll out of 20 is going to be a rogue poll. (You hate to say “bad poll”, as that implies the survey company isn’t doing their job properly. They are, of course — all we are talking about is statistical reality.) We just don’t know which one was a rogue poll until after election day. Given the incredibly high number of polls with which we have been showered, including nightly tracking polls, it is a statistical given that a handful of them have given incorrect numbers.

comment by A.Political on Wednesday, October 8, 2008 at 9:43 am:

Sir / madam there are several others that I won’t forget until I get Bill Casey , Sinclair Stevens , Danny Williams etc back with a Progessive Conservative choice .

The biggest evil not put in print are the verbatum hymn sheets of cons at every ” all candidate debates ” .(even Kady)[for Ottawa bunker purists]