Catch the EKOSine wave (34/25/20/11/10)

“Canadians seem stuck between repellent poles,” said EKOS President Frank Graves. “There is limited enthusiasm for a Tory majority, or even a Tory government. But the obvious alternative – a Dion government – hardly seems appetizing either for most Canadians.”

“We have seen this in campaigns before,” said Graves, “when each time the electorate collectively begins to consider one of the alternatives for government, voters start drifting in the opposite direction.”

Now where have we heard that before??

I called it the pause effect.

When it gets close, voters have to start considering Dion at the helm.

To paraphrase Mr. Graves…
There is limited enthusiasm for an EKOS Poll….
Yawn!

Note to those who use “yawn” in an effort to overtly show lack of caring (thereby implicitly showing that you do in fact care):

an exclamation point after the yawn,

turns the implicit into the explicit.

Cheers.

Wow Kody – you just raised your game…
Aside from the possible grammatical Booboo…I still don’t care!
rock on Nik – Nok it out of the park tomorrow!

Over the past week the polls have been all over the map. It appears as if we’re having an election with the polls forming the slate of candidates or parties.

That’s interesting, I find, because that would mean that this election could be considered as being the first in which humans are to be replaced by momentum. But, could momentum actually govern, I wonder?

At what point does a Conservative minority become a de facto majority? 140 seats? 145? With Peter Milliken as Speaker and Andre Arthur as a reliable independent vote, their magic number is not 155, but rather 153. Keep in mind that the Conservatives managed to pass a surprising number of Bills in the last House with only 125 members. A well disciplined group of, say, 145 could probably pass whatever they wanted to pass, within reason, for at least two years.

But, could momentum actually govern, I wonder?

Maybe Alan Gregg could work that into his next round of idiotic fieldwork asking respondents about “momentum”.

Wow polls are up in Libs favour, out comes the usual gang “Its very accurate, Conbots toast”

Polls are up in Cons favour, out comes the usual gang “Its very accurate, Liebrals toast”

I think Kady and Paul are just having a lot of fun with you guys and gals.

David:

I don’t want to run off on a tangent, nor would I want to see obtuse. But I think your reasoning doesn’t square with what we know.

The aim of using non-human ‘pollsters’ is to remove any potential for voters to be influenced by the existence of a human pollster. Sometimes voters are hesitant to reveal their vote to a human being (for one reason or another) and so they might feel more comfortable answering that question to a machine.

It’ll be interesting analyzing the after election results to see which group got it most correct.

What I find particularly edifying is the continued Conservative lead in Ontario: Conservatives 35, Liberals 31. In the last election, the Liberals came out ahead 40 to 35. It looks like the Conservative support has remained while the Liberal vote has bled badly to the NDP and the Greens. That should result in a bevy of Conservative seats in the 905.

Kady- Usually I applaud your creative post titles but today you have gone too far!!! It took me a decade to get over the trauma of grade 12 Trigonomotry and now this!!! The title was bad enough but I’m not sure I can bear any more math puns in the comments. All I ask is that I can get my pre-work blog fix without any reference to Trig! Is that so much too ask?!

comment by Bruce on Tuesday, October 7, 2008 at 10:44 pm:

PM sees trouble ahead for the economy;

http://www.thestar.com/printArticle/287680

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Notice Harper lumps the costs of controlling climate control in to the evil things threatening the economy?

He still just doesn’t get it, hey Stevie, it’ll create jobs too ya know! But I also know you beholden to to your oily masters.

But check out the UofT study released today saying not only will Alberta be polluted but all of us in the Great Lakes regions will be also!! Thanks Alberta, now quit moaning about equalization or keep your pollution to yourselves.