Inkless Wells

Inkless Wells

Paul Wells on all the latest out of Ottawa—along with the occasional post about jazz. Follow Paul on Twitter: @InklessPW
He also offers his thoughtful perspective of Stephen Harper’s last 10 years in his recent eBook, The Harper Decade.

Where the elite meet to greet

by Paul Wells on Wednesday, October 8, 2008 4:39pm - 71 Comments

UPDATE: Commenter Austin So found video of the shout chorus at the end of Dion’s speech.

Stéphane Dion spoke at the Economic Empire Gridiron Niblick Participle Club today, or whatever it’s called, at the Royal York. The crowd, assorted Toronto swells with a substantial concentration of card-carrying Liberals (Ottawa being inhospitable, many have fetched up on Bay Street) was about one-third the size of the crowd for Stephen Harper yesterday. I know this because I received three emails while Dion was talking, all from the Conservative war room, all on the theme that the crowd was about one-third the size of the crowd for Harper.

Those three were only a small fraction of the total number of emails I received from the Conservative war room while I was trying to listen to Dion’s speech. You know how sometimes you go three minutes without getting an email? The Conservatives are working hard to make sure we don’t feel that horrible lonely feeling.

But I digress. Dion’s speech comes at an odd moment, a day after Harper spoke to an audience approximately three times as big as this one — three times! — to release the Conservative platform and to tell an audience approximately three times as big as Dion’s audience that Noah was an excellent financial planner. Now Dion had to persuade an audience merely one-third the size of Harper’s that he, Dion, can manage an economy, or talk about managing one. Basically Dion had to look prime ministerial.

I won’t go into great detail, but I should note that the tiny, plucky crowd seemed quite taken with Dion’s speech. That the crowd rose twice to give enthusiastic standing ovations, one of them in response to the line: “I may not speak English as well as Stephen Harper, but I speak the language of truth better than him, in English or in French.”

There was a long off-script I-Love-Canada bit at the end that was quite simple and powerful, and just about everybody leaving the room was talking about that part of the speech. But what struck me even more was the populist and province-friendly notes Dion struck. We are through the looking glass when the Liberal leader is able to elbow Harper aside on “cares about people like you” and “can work with the provinces.” And yet here he was at least attempting to do just that.

Harper is “completely out of touch” with the impact of the recent unpleasantness “on the lives of everyday Canadians,” Dion said. “There is no time to waste, we need shovels in the ground.” Shovels in the ground? Shades of Chrétien ’93. The crowd, which I feel compelled to tell you was only about one-third the size of the crowd for Harper, ate it up.

Then there was this: “We Liberals understand that we need to work with the Premiers, not against them. Unlike Stephen Harper I will meet with first ministers… He has chosen not to hold a formal First Ministers meeting. Jim Flaherty, his Finance Minister, attacked this province…”

The emerging and interesting theme of this campaign is that Stephen Harper, who some bloggers were calling Everyman as recently as Saturday, and who had all the gleaming apparatus of modern electioneering — legions of brain-in-a-jar strategic geniuses, a fundraising armada, gleaming suburban election suites, purpose-built teevee studios, the Legendary Guy Giorno Himself! as chief of staff (fun question: could anyone find Guy Giorno with teams of bloodhounds this week?) — and who had no stronger claim to legitimacy than his preoccupation for the concerns of ordinary folks and his willingness to play nice with the provinces — has managed to let himself get pushed off those dimes by Snooty French-Educated Clarity-Bill Guy. Peter Van Loan was standing at the back of the room, looking a mite less cocky than when he was lecturing me on The Real Concerns of Ordinary Folk in Quebec City in August. Now I know I’m a Perrier-sipping rich-gala-attending MSM leftard, but here’s the thing, Peter: I grew up in Sarnia and I went to public school with all my neighbours, and the ordinary folk I grew up with don’t like jerks.

The Liberals I spoke to are keenly aware that this week’s change in mood is coming perilously late for them. They know the Conservatives have stronger organization in many parts of the country. They’re not entirely sure how Canadians will react when they realize Harper could actually lose. My own feeling is that a Conservative government after Oct. 14 is still likelier than a Liberal government.

But let it be noted that as this campaign entered its home stretch, the accidental leader peddling a tax increase is getting crowds to their feet in North Bay and Bay Street, while the crack team assembled by the guy who’s spent the last three years playing three-dimensional Vulcan chess was reduced to crowd counts.

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  • http://www.johnwaugh.blogspot.com John W

    I don’t think the Gomery thing is any longer part of the political discussion in Canada.

  • Peter

    What I know is that if we have a PM Dion, the carbon tax is going to come as one helluva shock to alot of soon to be unemployed Canadians. In Nova Scotia, job losses will hit 50,000, all of them the best paying.

  • Sophie-Marie

    I resent the highjacking of ADD to insult ConBots.
    At any rate, Brian, perhaps if you offered something other than vitriol and ignorance, you would end up in a substantiative debate.
    As it is, you simply seem foolish.

  • Brian

    If by “the Gomery thing”, you mean the racketeering, stealing and laundering of $40 million of our money by the Liberal party who, by any other standard operated like an organized crime syndicate or band of pirates, I disagree. I will consider it not to be part of the political discussion in Canada when they pay us back.

  • Sophie-Marie

    Peter, did you read Coyne’s latest article about the Conservative plan >

  • Brian

    Sophie: I don’t mean to rain on your little clever clever land parade.

    Given your penchant for substantive policy debates without personal attacks, which was prefaced by calling me an ignorant and foolish conbot, would you care to explain what highjacking means?

    I’m assuming it has something to do with NDP candidates smoking pot and getting “high” with “Jack-ing” Layton. I’m sure you can appreciate that my conbot server was unable to find the meaning of this curious word.

  • Gilmore

    Thank you for posting this. I admit to being a small-l liberal, so maybe I’m biased, but I was so happy to see that Dion in the video. He’s still defending and promoting his Green Shift.

    And, quite frankly, I like the idea of having a prime minister who seems to sincerely love his country, instead of regarding it as a second-tier socialist backwater.

  • http://carnewsandviews.com jwl

    “Who writes this stuff?”

    Dot

    Joe Raposo?

  • Peter

    Gilmore: “prime minister who seems to sincerely love his country”

    Gilmore, What kind of love is a carbon tax? Canada is the ciuntry which is least able to alter it’s energy consumption or sources of any of the G8. All sucessful Canadian industries are massively energy intensive, thereby reducing their competitiveness on a global scale. Most high paid manufacturing in Canada will be devastated by a carbon tax.

  • Paul Wells

    Peter’s right, which is why it’s really urgent to clean out the economics departments of our universities. I think I can find a list of 230 economists who don’t even understand the massive threat a carbon tax poses.

  • Brian

    Paul: I don’t get it. Is a carbon tax good policy or bad policy? Stephane Dion has told us both, all within the last 18 months.

  • Sophie-Marie

    I know it’s bizarre and difficult to understand. I, of course, have absolutely no idea what I am talking about and can only suggest Websters. Forgive me, but reading page after page of the same points and generic insults from yourself and others (yes, including Libs and New Democrats- shocking)
    gets frustrating, and if I offended you I apologize.
    Now, about that policy debate….

  • Stephan Dion

    A carbon tax is less effective than a carbon market at reducing emissions … This is simply bad policy, for the following reasons:

    1) A carbon tax is almost always implemented as a direct tax on fossil fuels. Given the current price of these fuels, however, it is difficult to argue that a further price signal will dampen consumption or shift demand.

    2. A carbon tax is a flat tax – it costs each polluter a fixed amount per tonne of emissions. Such a tax will not inflate with a bull market or recede in times of difficulty. In the energy market, in particular, soaring prices make anything but a prohibitively high tax a mere nuisance for large producers.

    3) Finally, and most significantly, valuing reductions in emissions equally across all sectors and industries eliminates the potential benefits to be had by maximizing reductions where the cost is lowest. In a carbon market, those areas that produce the least expensive real reductions will experience the highest level of interest and investment, maximizing the level of reductions per dollar spent.

  • Style

    “Peter was…looking a mite less cocky than when he was lecturing me…Peter: I grew up in Sarnia and I went to public school with all my neighbours, and the ordinary folk I grew up with don’t like jerks.”

    Which is probably the all the insight we need into Paul’s analysis during this election – the Conservatives hurt his feelings and now he’s eager for pay-back.

  • Brian

    Like most economists, we also have sociologists that agree disagree on the carbon tax. In this case though, the sociologist disagrees with himself.

  • Style

    Paul – based on the CBC interview, the economists who support a carbon tax noted that it is the best measure for altering the behaviour of small consumers (i.e. drivers). This is precisely the group that Dion has tried to exempt. That weakens the claim that they support his carbon tax. He has also tried to exempt farmers. He does not exempt oil sands producers – who are unable to substitute away from natural gas and unable to pass price increases along to their customers. Which can be credibly described as a tax grab from Alberta that is likely to harm the Canadian economy. He will then use some of the revenue to meddle in provincial jurisdictions – in direct contradiction to his own principles of federalism. So, Dion’s Green Shift – not so much supported by economists, not so much supported by Dion.

  • Sophie-Marie

    Wow, my day would truly not be complete without that. Hint: I humbly suggest that, if you pretend to be someone, you spell their name erihgt. Stéphane Dion

  • kenneth

    Brian,

    You must be new to reading PW. You obviously missed his ‘were jokingly calling it a man-crush on Harper but wait a minute this is getting weird’ period.

  • Jenn

    I spent the first part of my evening listening to Allan Rock, who may have warmed up my proud Canadian heart, but I admit to tearing up at the end of Dion’s speech. In fact, I think I finally understand the appeal Obama has to so many Americans. I’m not comparing Obama to Dion, but I am comparing my reaction to my countryman with the reaction of many Americans to their countryman.

    Incredible speech! Thanks Austin for going onto Impoliticals blog and finding the video.

  • Francien Verhoeven

    ‘prime minister who seems to sincerely love his country’

    Yup, this election is over. Only the Liberal Party of Canada has the right to love this country.

    Time to move.

  • Francien Verhoeven

    ‘Paul: I don’t get it. Is a carbon tax good policy or bad policy? Stephane Dion has told us both, all within the last 18 months.’

    Brian,

    you can’t be serious? You really think the reporting in Canada is gonna look into this?

    Today I heard a banker say on Duffy’s show that the banks in Canada and the overal fundamentals within Canada are structurally sound, in relative terms to many other countries. Next speaks McCullum for the Liberals saying that bankers are notto be believed….(well, he was one so he should know).
    The headlines tomorrow morning: our country is not stable, says ex-banker, now Liberal runner McCullum. The press runs faster on this than any Liberal could ever have hoped for. Don’t take my word for it. Watch how this game is played.

    But I’m guessing you’ve already understood that much.

  • Sisyphus

    Sounds like T’it Jean released the copyright on his “I loooooove Ca-na-da” gig. But then maybe Dion really means it.

  • Sisyphus

    And really, Francien, when you use banker and Duffy in the same sentence, well, I get hives.

  • Jack Mitchell

    Brian’s comments become quite witty if you just imagine that his last name is Mulroney.

  • Francien Verhoeven

    Incredible how little you have to offer, Jack, when the more subtle,yet overly important aspects of this campaing need to be looked at.

    You seem unable to see the irony:

    A banker’s comment is dismissed by an ex-banker and then this ex-banker’s word will be headlines blanketing this nation. So, are bankers to be believed or not? You don’t see the irony of what’s really being played out.

From Macleans