Inkless Wells

Inkless Wells

Paul Wells on all the latest out of Ottawa—along with the occasional post about jazz. Follow Paul on Twitter: @InklessPW
He also offers his thoughtful perspective of Stephen Harper’s last 10 years in his recent eBook, The Harper Decade.

Take it to the bank

by Paul Wells on Thursday, October 9, 2008 11:14am - 38 Comments

And make sure it’s a Canadian bank. The things are bullet-proof, apparently. I can certainly vouch for the incomparably higher quality of Canadian banks compared to, say, their awful, awful, awful French counterparts.

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  • http://demosthenes.blogspot.com Demosthenes

    Manny, I do wish you’d be clearer about how you’ll vote. Your ambiguity is torturing us all.

    I think my favorite part about following this election is watching people like Paul—-people who aren’t exactly doctrinaire socialists—-lose all patience with the desperately spinning conservative trolls.

  • john g

    Had they seen it coming, shouldn’t they have publicly shared it with (i) the Canadian people and (ii) our biggest trading partner in a very aggressive way so as to help avoid a mutual recession?

    (i) Absolutely not. No government publicly muses about a crisis months in advance of it happening, otherwise it becomes a self-fulfiling prophecy

    (ii) Maybe they did, but did so behind closed doors. See (i) above.

  • bud

    I’ve always been impressed by mindreading.

  • Two Cents

    “The Economist” says…
    Stéphane Dion, the Liberal leader, bravely proposes a carbon tax, which he claims would be revenue-neutral. Simply to rubbish this as a “crazy” idea that would “screw everybody”, as Mr Harper has done, shows a disappointing lack of leadership, and is grounds enough to deny the Conservatives a majority.”

    At least the Economist didn’t buy Dion’s assertion that the proposed tax, which he plans to introduce regardless of economic circumstances, is revenue neutral.

    The Economist is also correct that Harper missed a golden communications opportunity in attacking the carbon tax. What Harper should have done is to point out that it is lousy environmental policy.

    The tax doesn’t discourage fossil fuel consumption in the one area where it should have had the biggest impact – gasoline. By exempting gasoline (the transportaion sector accounts for 40 percent of all GHGs in Canada) the Liberals showed they see the carbon tax as a symbol not a real environmental tool.

    Moreoever, Harper should have gone after the fact that the tax is not being used to advance green tecnologies, but rather it is a revuenue source for a bunch of Liberal friendly social programs such as daycare. Since when should our government be using a carbon tax to pay for daycare?

  • Andrew

    Gasoline is not exempt. All existing excise taxes on fossil fuels would be rolled into carbon tax. It just so happens that gasoline has the highest ‘carbon tax’ already.

  • Mulletaur

    Canadian banks won’t look like such a safe bet if they start buying dodgy Yankee banks, as seems to be in the works :

    http://www.financialpost.com/story.html?id=866521

    Also, the Bank of Canada has already pumped $20 billion into the banking system in Canada :

    http://www.cbc.ca/money/story/2008/10/03/bankofcanada.html

    The Bank of Canada in co-ordination with the Bank of England, the European Central Bank, the Swiss National Bank and the US Federal Reserve put another $3 billion into the system :

    http://www.bank-banque-canada.ca/en/notices_fmd/2007/not121207.html

    Canada has a financial exposure in this crisis. Time to stop pretending.

  • Pete

    “The tax doesn’t discourage fossil fuel consumption in the one area where it should have had the biggest impact – gasoline. By exempting gasoline (the transportaion sector accounts for 40 percent of all GHGs in Canada) the Liberals showed they see the carbon tax as a symbol not a real environmental tool.”

    Oh, and I fully agree. The carbon tax is Dion’s “green” version of Harper’s incrementalism. The tax would just be the start of it, which is why I’m not a big fan of Dion and I would reconsider voting for him if he was going to win.

  • Yanking Steve

    Harper and Flaherty claim that their response to this upcoming crisis was to accelerate the GST cut.

    Unfortunately, that was the worst possible thing they could have done since in a panic/recession situation, everyone sits on their money and does not spend. Therefore the benefit of a GST cut becomes increasingly neglible.

    If they had provided an income tax cut, that would of at least put more money into our pockets up front increasing the likelihood of our continuing to spend money.

    Failing that, if they had just forgone the GST cut and provided the manufacturing sector of Quebec and Ontario (and the rest of Canada really) with a Green Loans program of 5-6 billion dollars which would have helped to maintain or create new “green sector” jobs (fuel efficient cars, solar cell & wind turbine manufacturing, etc.). Even Bushco knows enough to do this (with a $25 billion green loan fund being create south of the border).

    So yes, Steve and Jim did react a year ago to the upcoming crisis. But they did pretty much the worst thing they could do: provide a useless tax decrease that did not help our economy or cushion the current economic blow.

  • Meany

    PW, I think it’s obvious that we’d be in a world of hurt (along with the rest of the world) right now if those mergers went through. Not because those mergers were bad themselves, but because the stated goal of the mergers were to bulk up so that the domestic banks would have the size and scale to compete on an international scale, and to most, that meant the USA. I’d imagine a Royal Bank of Montreal would have loved to take a run at something like a Wachovia. In fact, in the most recent wave of consolidation in Europe (mostly now bankrupt) there was incessant hand wringing about how the Canadian banks were left out of the fun, and would have loved to take on ABN Amero, if only they were allowed to merge and had the size and scale to do so. I can’t remember how many times I read an woe is Canada article about how the Royal Bank of Scotland used to be the same size as the Royal Bank of Canada just a few short years ago, and is now 10 times the size (well, up to a few weeks ago).

    Anyway, before we give Paul Martin too much credit, let’s keep in mind this was certainly NOT the reason that he didn’t allow the bank mergers to go through, but as they say, better be lucky than smart, right? Anyhew, Europe, and it’s complete inability to deal with it’s EU sized International banks problems with national sized ineffective government bailouts and rescue packages just shows that the era of international banking is coming to an abrupt close. Lucky for us, we never bothered to really get into that business, except for a few toes dipped into New England (TD), North Carolina (RBC), Chicago (BMO), and South America (BNS), but nothing to the scale of our friends across the pond and down south. The situation in poor Iceland (to be blunt, they’re screwed!) is a perfect example of why we now know it’s a pretty darn bad idea for a small country to develop a banking sector that is so disproportionately bigger than it’s domestic GDP.

  • Meany

    Mulletaur, we have exposure because we’re not an island. In a global credit squeeze, if we are a part of the globe, we feel it too. We have liquidity problems because everyone is scared of lending, but the difference between us and other countries is our banks do not have capital issues. We are doing bank of canada liquidity injections, not government of canada capital injections (like the 700 billion dollar taxpayer funded congressional bailout in the US was).

  • Mulletaur

    Agreed, Meany – just wanted to point out that not only are we not fireproof, but that the Bank of Canada has already taken action to boost liquidity. All the more perplexing that the Conservatives would continue with the “don’t worry, be happy” line.

    And now this :

    http://www.reportonbusiness.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20081010.wflaherty1010/BNStory/Business/home

  • Meany

    Mulletaur, I agree. The “don’t worry, be happy” line irritated me, and it seems most of us were skeptical. But to be quite honest, I’m even more annoyed with the doom and gloom Layton and Dion approach. Anyway, I’m sure people will agree or disagree based on what side of the political spectrum they are on, but in the end, what we can all agree on, is that this turned out to be a BAD BAD BAD time for an election. I’m also kind of concerned about what will happen if they need to transition finance to someone else, like if Flaherty is (and probably will be) defeated in the next couple days. Ugh. We need to do something about this faltering political system, lest we look back at 2004 and see it as the year when Canadian politics became Italyified.

  • Mulletaur

    Meany, it’s never a bad time to have an election.

    The economic crisis which has taken place during this election has highlighted the differences between the parties’ economic and fiscal policies : the Conservatives believe in the same laissez faire policies which got us into this mess to begin with, kept us down during the Great Depression and do not provide any solutions as any interference in the ‘market’ is wrong even if market failure caused the problem to begin with ; the NDP doesn’t believe in profit and thinks the treasury is an eternal spring from which they can endlessly draw money for their utopian socialist projects without any cost to the economy ; and the Liberals believe in both the free market and the role of the government to regulate it or fix it when it goes wrong.

    On second thought, perhaps it was a bad time to have an election. For the Conservatives, that is.

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