"Their savings"

by Andrew Coyne on Thursday, October 9, 2008 12:15pm - 98 Comments

“Mr. Dion said that unlike the Conservatives, the Liberal Party understands that Canadians are worried about their savings and pensions….” – Only the Liberal Party can stop Harper’s government, Liberal press release.

“Ordinary families are very worried about their savings, their pensions, their homes and their jobs,” Mr. Layton said…” — Harper denounced as insensitive, National Post

Meanwhile, back in reality…

Canada rated world’s soundest bank system:

Canada has the world’s soundest banking system, closely followed by Sweden, Luxembourg and Australia, a survey by the World Economic Forum has found as financial crisis and bank failures shake world markets.

But Britain, which once ranked in the top five, has slipped to 44th place behind El Salvador and Peru, after a 50 billion pound ($86.5 billion) pledge this week by the government to bolster bank balance sheets.

The United States, where some of Wall Street’s biggest financial names have collapsed in recent weeks, rated only 40, just behind Germany at 39, and smaller states such as Barbados, Estonia and even Namibia, in southern Africa.

When will this Prime MInister do something show he cares about protecting Canadians’ savings this frightening run of bank failures the demise of global capitalism ATM fees?

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  • http://mikewatkins.ca/2008/10/08/harper-government-running-deficit-now/ Michael Watkins

    Sorry, I meant WEF, not IMF, ranked Aussies 4th.

    By the way, banks make up a goodly portion of the membership of the World Economic Forum. Funny thing, banks ranking banks.

    Nice fluff piece on a dreadful day though.

  • Geiseric the Lame

    Saying they’re cooked is probably an overstatement but bragging about this year’s-to-date budgetary surplus is half backed. There’s more to the shortfall than the crown corporation thing because that approach doesn’t add up.

    You enjoy being treated like a fool, be my guest.

  • http://mikewatkins.ca/2008/10/08/harper-government-running-deficit-now/ Michael Watkins

    Flaherty’s prescription for solving the economic crisis? He’s flying to Washington, epicentre of the crisis for a … meeting.

    Low blow, I know.

  • stephen

    Lame,

    Willing to be convinced….but you have to provide more evidence than saying they borrowed money to fund an item that was mentioned in the previous years budget, which by the way has been reviewed by countless analysts and the auditor general.

    If this is something nefarious its an amazing case of hiding in plain sight. Saying that others lack your powers of perception without elaborating is kind of empty. What did they fund, they state it? What is wrong with what they have done?

    Watkins, so they are accused of not being involved in a crisis that doesnt originate in Canada….once again, what else would you have had the government do at this stage?

  • Meany

    Michael Watkins, if at that “meeting”, the G7 acts in a coordinated manner to guarantee all interbank loans, and effectively knocks the LIBOR back down from the stratosphere, perhaps into parity with the Fed Funds rate, I think we can consider that insignificant “meeting” that he’s flying to as a resounding success.

    Will it work? Who knows. But it’s better than running around Canada in circles screaming the sky is falling. And to be quiet honest, I don’t think Flaherty or Harper have much leverage in any of this. He’ll do exactly what the G7 consensus tells him to do.

  • http://mikewatkins.ca/2008/10/08/harper-government-running-deficit-now/ Michael Watkins

    Canada is part of this crisis. Canadian banks – which I was short for months – are part of this crisis.

    The difference is the depth of the involvement. As one who is comfortable long or short, I’ll be the first to admit that Canadian banks do not have the exposure that investment and depository banks elsewhere do. But that doesn’t mean they don’t have issues of their own, nor does it insulate them from the more global pressures.

    As for the “meeting” some of the prescriptions they are coming out with are in fact making the problem worse. Flooding the market with credit hasn’t helped. Suspending mark to market accounting rules in fact has made things oh so much worse – now bad assets may as well be marked to whatever fantasy of the day the mailroom clerk has. Banning shorting was never a good idea as it only makes things worse in a) other sectors and b) in the market as it reopens. Witness today.

    The bottom line is there is no trust out there, for good reason too. The investment dudes all play the same game and now everyone is exposed, and everyone knows how exposed the others. No one can place a realistic valuation on assets which are the core of the problem and the U.S. has compounded things by interfering with nature. Let em fail, but let them fail in the open.

    In the future trust will be legislated. It will be onerous. And it will severely limit profitability. But that’s the price we’ll have to pay. That’s a clear role for government. Its not a “conservative” policy either. But it will be done by whoever is in power.

    Meanwhile, instead of *leading*, Flaherty, Carney, Harper have been following in the footsteps of the very people who are making the situation worse. And if you look at the timeline, (a detailed version of which I do hope to finish sometime soon in fact) you’ll see that little original thought has gone into our situation, at least since the start of things a year or so ago.

    If we are merely going to parrot what the U.S. is doing, and failing as it tries, to “fix” the situation, we’d be better off if Flaherty went fishing than to Washington.

    I’m not terribly concerned about what’s transpiring, at least not from a personal finance perspective. I can turn a (very) decent profit in any market. But I am terribly concerned for the 99% of Canadians who can’t, and my mother – take note Stephen Harper – is one of them.

  • Meany

    “Canadian banks – which I was short for months – are part of this crisis. ”

    Serious? Uber kudos. I, like most of this country, am long. And ouch.

    “the U.S. has compounded things by interfering with nature. Let em fail, but let them fail in the open.”

    I disagree. So PERHAPS they may be compounding things by the complete lack of any guiding principals in what fails and what doesn’t, and in the constant and slowly escalating interventions, such that the market has no idea what has a government imposed floor and what doesn’t. They could be prolonging the misery somewhat, but I certainly don’t think that this, on balance, would be better if the government completely stayed out of it. Without the bailout, without the liquidity injections, without the rate cuts, I’m not convinced a single large US retail bank would stay solvent, and there is no way institutions like the FDIC could take up the slack. And I still do think that Flaherty should play ball with the “G7 Consensus”, not go fishing. :) I completely concur with you re the shorting and MTM rules though.

  • d. andy jette
  • d. andy jette
  • madeyoulook

    Andy chooses not to comment on his two offered Star readings, for good reason. Neither has anything to do with the “savings” point of Coyne’s original post.

    One points out that pension plans that are heavy in the equities market have taken a hit lately. That’s not news, that’s just math.

    The other points out that banks failed to “pass on” entirely the most recent BoC rate cut. My memory holds many prior events when the chartered banks were not completely in lock step either, so other than the wailing of some loudmouths (hello Duff Conacher, chair of the Canadian Community Reinvestment Coalition, would you be the same thrown-out-on-your-Duff Democracy Watch chair from federal court? How many advocacy groups can one Duff chair?), I don’t get the fuss. Banks are crumbling the world over and governments are killing capitalism as we speak, and Canada gets knotted up over 25 or 50 basis points. Whatever.

  • d. andy jette

    “Canada gets knotted up over 25 or 50 basis points.”

    Actually, yeah, a little. Because it basically signified that, in the current context, banks didn’t feel they were able to pass the full rate cut along becuase to do so would have put their liquidity positions at risk. Today’s actions by CMHC would appear to add credence to the fact that the banks are having a hard time in the current context, and I’m sorry but considering the fact that the majority of Canadians are served by one of these five institutions, and that I’m one of them, I’m concerned whenever they feel they are under such significant pressure that they feel the need to deviate from standard practice.

    The first article is about pensions, and it simply points out what most people already know – that the acturial foundations of Canada’s pensions funds are not guaranteed, and have taken a hit (“pension health index ‘is down another 2 per cent’ since September”, which would be before the meltdown of the past week). They are in fact in a worse position today than they were at any time in the past decade, including after 9/11 or the tech bubble. Like you say, that’s math.

  • d. andy jette

    And now we know why the banks balked: they needed the CMHC to take mortgage loans off their hands first. From the macleans newswire:

    ***
    Banks move to trim prime rate further after Ottawa offers mortgage relief
    October 10, 2008 – 13:52
    THE CANADIAN PRESS

    TORONTO – Canada’s big banks are passing on more rate cuts to consumers and companies after credit markets freed up Friday in the wake of federal government help for the mortgage industry.

    TD Canada Trust (TSX:TD) said it will lower its prime lending rate by 15-hundredths of a percentage point to 4.35 per cent, effective next Tuesday.

    The Bank of Nova Scotia (TSX:BNS) announced shortly afterward that it is cutting its prime rate by a quarter-point to 4.25 per cent.
    Chris Hodgson, Scotiabank’s head of domestic personal banking, stated that: “At a challenging time in world financial markets, this reduction in interest rates reflects actions initiated by the Bank of Canada and the federal government.”

    Shortly afterward, CIBC (TSX:CM) chimed in, matching the smaller TD trim in the prime rate – the benchmark for a wide range of lending to individuals and corporations.

    The banks had come under fire earlier this week after they passed on only half of the 0.50-point cut in the Bank of Canada’s overnight rate, which was part of a co-ordinated effort by major central banks to ease credit markets.

    Friday’s additional trim was credited to the morning’s move by Finance Minister Jim Flaherty to allow the banks to offload as much as $25 billion of mortgages from their balance sheets to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.

    TD said this should reduce the banks’ cost of financing, in turn allowing them to trim the price of loans.

  • d. andy jette

    So just that we’re clear, to get a 40 basis point rate cut out of CIBC and TD, the BoC had to give them a 50 point cut ***and*** the CMHC had to buy their share of $25 billion worth of mortgage loans.

    Credit where credit is due. This was an innovative move by the government – and a move that wouldn’t have been possible in the US.

    But doesn’t it help to illustrate why Canadians are right to be a little concerned?

  • madeyoulook

    Andy, cheer up. If the government and the chartered banks are making choices that make the “strongest banking sector in the world” even more secure, and you’re still wound up, then take a yoga class or something.

    If you’re pissed that the banks’ decision on a rate cut was MORE prudent for their corporate health than you would have hoped or expected, you should avoid getting all worked up over the health of those prudent banks.

    Here’s a news flash. Canada is not an island. Stupid banks the world over have consensually entered into contracts with stupid customers, threatening the financial health of both classes of parties. So much so that governments the world over are threatening the prosperity of their unborn citizens in order to maybe succeed, maybe fail to lessen the pain to those of us alive today. Canada will take a hit. We’re in that web. But all sane sober reports have Canada in the best possible shape compared to all the others, to deal with this turmoil. I know you’re terribly hurt that Canada didn’t create as many thousands of jobs as the same time last year, but if that’s the worst trouble you can find…

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    Hat’s off. Well done, as we know that “hard work always pays off”, after a long struggle with sincere effort it’s done.
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  • pawan

    It is hilarious hearing conservatives who've spent years telling us how un-competitive and sheltered Canada's banks were, and how they'd never be able to compete in the global marketplace if they weren't allowed to get bigger and start mixing it up in the markets the way the big American and international banks do, suddenly touting how secure, safe and protected our nation's banks are.

From Macleans