Inkless Wells

Inkless Wells

Paul Wells on all the latest out of Ottawa—along with the occasional post about jazz. Follow Paul on Twitter: @InklessPW
He also offers his thoughtful perspective of Stephen Harper’s last 10 years in his recent eBook, The Harper Decade.

Importing some o' that Canada-style right-wing politics

by Paul Wells on Tuesday, October 21, 2008 7:30am - 50 Comments

A few weeks before our recent election unpleasantness began, I had lunch in Ottawa with Reihan Salam and Ross Douthat, two young U.S. Republican blogger/pundit types whose book, Grand New Party: How Republicans Can Win the Working Class and Save the American Dream competes with my own in the hard-fought category of Political Books With Really Long Subtitles. To caricature their argument, Douthat and Salam believe U.S. Republicans should seek to attract middle-class and working-class voters with families, roughly the kind of people who used to be called “Reagan Democrats,” with narrowly targeted bits of small-scale interventionist government policy, often tax benefits. In other words, they argue for Harper-Muttart micro-policy along the lines of the tool-belt tax credit Patrick Muttart used to get “Dougie’s” attention in the 2006 election. Or the ban on candied tobacco that helped get the party noticed by mothers this time around.

I found Salam and Douthat fearsomely intelligent, humble about what they don’t know (Douthat has shown real class on his blog as he witnesses the flameout of the woman who was his preferred candidate for Vice President, Sarah Palin) (Oh, hush. Nobody’s perfect), and especially in Salam’s case, almost weirdly up on the details of Canadian politics.

Now, in a piece for the website of the Atlantic Monthly, Salam connects the dots and argues explicitly for Harper as a model for the U.S. Republicans. His article will confuse Canadian readers who believe Harper already gets all his ideas from south of the border — why reverse Niagara Falls? Why should Charlie Parker copy Sonny Stitt? — but it will provide a novel perspective for others.

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  • http://worthwhile.typepad.com Stephen Gordon

    Here’s a working link to the Atlantic Monthly article.

  • Mike G

    Good morning, Mr Wells! I am having this interesting (strange) blend of coffee that is apple-flavoured. You may be interested in some
    (more) coffee, too: your Atlantic Monthly link has two “http”s in it.

  • Mike G

    Rats, foiled by shorter comments.

  • Mike G

    More topically,

    the shift of middle-class married women in Ontario and British Columbia into the Conservative column, doubtless a response to Harper’s very effective tax-credit pandering

    the central feature of the Liberal domestic policy, a carbon tax, was essentially demagogued to death by Conservative candidates across the country. It is easy to imagine Republicans doing the same to a sweeping Democratic environmental plan.

    I can’t argue that “pandering” and “demagoguery” seem like useful words to summarize key elements on the Harper strategy, but this doesn’t really read as criticism. Is this just the reality of modern politics now? No pretending? I suppose that is refreshing… sort of…

  • Calgary Junkie

    Harper’s template for creating a platform and campaign now has track records in Australia and Canada. In Australia, John Howard called his targeted voters “battlers”.

    My take is that Harper realizes that using the standard platform-creating template of, for example, offering up an income tax cut of 1 %, can be easily trumped by the Liberals, who can counter with a tax cut of 2 %.

  • Gary

    Mike G., considering Harper’s opponent touted a carbon-reduction plan that raised taxes on all kinds of things but not gasoline, I’d say there was a lot of pandering in the air, yes.

  • http://myblahg.com Robert McClelland

    Salam connects the dots and argues explicitly for Harper as a model for the U.S. Republicans.

    Frum already pushed this desperate theory that Harper will be the saviour of conservatism a couple of days ago.

  • Mike G

    Gary: I’m not wondering if there’s pandering – Harper panders, it’s pretty clear, and I’m glad Mr Salam is calling it what it is. What surprises me, is that it seems to read as “Pandering: it works! Let’s do more of it.” It’s true, but it’s sad.

    I probably should have written “I can’t argue against”, in that last comment, instead of “I can’t argue that”.

  • Dave

    Definitely worth a read, but Salam sure downplays Harper’s personal failure in Quebec. He raises tribalism as an explanation for the Bloc’s success and fails to acknowledge that even the Liberals did better than the Conservatives in the province.

  • http://carnewsandviews.com jwl

    “Reagan Democrats,” with narrowly targeted bits of small-scale interventionist government policy, often tax benefits.”

    That was a perceptive article for an American. I think it’s highly unlikely the repubs can make that happen because Congressmen/women focus on their districts and don’t worry about the country as a whole. It seems they love earmarks/pork an awful lot but they don’t worry about the big picture.

    And Palin hasn’t been a ‘flameout’ as you sophisticated libs like to think. She’s the only thing that’s keeping McCain in the campaign at the moment.

    If we are talking flameouts, we should be looking at Biden but the press is so far in the tank for Obama. A few days ago Biden said ‘jobs’ was three letter word (Quayle II anyone???) and on the weekend he said a vote for Obama would guarantee a conflagration in the world that would dwarf the financial crisis within 6 months. But who cares about Biden when everyone can pile on the woman they find distasteful?

  • TJ Cook

    jwl: oh *snap!*

    Biden must be a total “flameout” if you can provide two (TWO!) examples of him flubbing a line on the campaign trail!

    As opposed to Palin who continues to be very effective at firing up the hardcore Repub base. Of course, these people were going to vote for McCain anyway. Meanwhile she’s driving away the undecided/soft Repub voters that McCain desperately needs to attract.

    I don’t know what “flameout” means to you, but Palin meets the definition of “failure” as I understand it, being so sophisticated and all.

  • Mike G

    Palin [...] the only thing that’s keeping McCain in the campaign at the moment.

    I’m not sure how you can say that. Here’s a poll: favorable views of Sarah Palin have fallen 5 points in the past month, from 35 to 30, 8 points among declared Republicans; only 2 among Democrats. (Though dropping from 11 to “only” 9 is hardly worth throwing a party over.)

    Views of McCain have actually gone up among women and under-45s, though for an overall average of 0 points movement.

  • Mike G

    And the official PDF from NYT/CBS is here, with bonus questions.

    Here’s one: “What is the main reason your opinion of John McCain has changed over the past couple of weeks?”
    32%: Attacks on opponent
    14%: Sarah Palin
    12%: Debate Performance
    11%: Erratic/unsteady

    It’s a pretty good poll, you should check it out. Science helps keep us honest.

  • Mike G

    er, that didn’t work. sorry about the comment spam guys. real PDF link(?)

  • Sean S.

    jwl,

    To an extent, your point about the anti-Palin hyperbole is well taken. You’ve previously pointed out that becoming the governor of Alaska is a significant office that is too easily dismissed. But let’s not make this a liberal media thing, because that’s less than accurate. A lot of high-profile Republicans have expressed exactly the same concerns about her. To say that Palin has kept McCain in the race is an interesting assertion, since it seems like a significant number of folks (Dems and Reps alike) see the naming of Palin as a serious cause for concern about McCain’s judgement and sincerity. And while Biden is far from perfect, he’s at least shown the occasional glimpse of competence and intelligence since being named to the ticket. Palin, not so much.

  • http://ragingranter.blogspot.com Raging Ranter

    No no no. This is clearly wrong. Everyone knows Harper’s playbook is written by the Bush administration. Any theory that doesn’t explicity recognize the puppet strings connecting Harper to Bush’s Neocon Cabal is obviously just right-wing apologist propaganda from the corporate media.

    HARPER = BUSH = BIG OIL = WAR

    Or something like that.

  • http://carnewsandviews.com jwl

    TJ Cook

    The list of Biden’s ‘mis-statements’ is endless, I just choose ‘jobs is a three letter word’ because it is his latest one. I will give him credit though because he did manage to verbally spell it correctly, it’s just too bad he can’t count. He didn’t even have the excuse of not having enough fingers to figure it out.

    Biden said Obama’s election would cause a conflagration in the world because other countries would want to test his mettle to a private gathering of donors. Biden wasn’t misspeaking, he was just talking the truth to well-heeled donors in private while having a completely different message when he’s in public talking to hoi polloi.

    Mike G

    Well, if the NY Times claims something about McCain/Palin it must be the truth or ‘science’ as you call it. It’s not like the NY Times has a track record of being completely in the tank for Obama and doing all it can to get him across the finish line. Polls with MoE of +-7, and heavily weighted towards Dem respondents, don’t interest me all that much either.

  • Patrick

    You have not truly experienced Reihan Salam until you view some of his short youtube videos. This is his attempt at interpreting the Democratic primary “through sight and sound”:

  • http://carnewsandviews.com jwl

    Sean S

    I read a lot of US conservative media sources and I can tell you that Palin is the sole reason the repub base will vote in a couple of weeks. McCain is not all that conservative, except for his push for tax cuts/balanced budget, and the base hate him because he seems to go out of his way to poke them in the eye. Many repubs think McCain believes bi-partisanship, collegiality are more important than sticking to your principles and they just don’t trust him.

    Some paper claimed someone shouted ‘kill him’ at McCain rally a couple of weeks ago. I read a few right wing sources that said the comment was as likely to have been directed at McCain as it was Obama. And look at the rallies, Palin is attracting way more people than McCain is. Palin represents real conservatism as normal people know it, while the chattering class repubs look down their noses at her because she’s uncouth and not Ivy League educated.

  • Sisyphus

    The “working class” have been engaged in “circular firing squad” mode ever since Nixon and,especially, Reagan appealed to their fears and worst instincts.
    Our Leader’s “elite galas” musings were just more of the same.
    Any pretense that Republicans or Democrats or Conservatives or Liberals really give a damn about the fate of the working class is silly and worthy of punishment. That punishment being locked in a room with Lou Dobbs for a week.

    And I seem to recall (maybe a decade or so ago) that the class system no longer existed.
    Mr. Douthat is probably too young to remember that. He probably barely remembers History is Dead.

  • TJ Cook

    jwl: Seriously, you chalk that up to innumeracy? Biden can’t count? Give your head a shake. Or are you just calling him stupid in the general sense?

    All this is an attempt to change the topic from Palin’s increasingly obvious unpreparedness for the role she’s seeking. I’ve never met her – she could be a freakin’ genius for all we know – but I’ve been watching her and she’s neither prepared nor qualified to be president. She never, ever, has an unscripted moment. She’s never given a press conference and the softball interviews she’s done have been unmitigated disasters.

    I say again: she’s a disaster for McCain not because she fails to rile up the base (she sure does that, you betcha) but because she’s turning off the undecided voters that McCain needs to win. If McCain needs her just to hang on to the Republican die-hards, he lost this election the day of the convention.

  • Geoff

    I saw the Atlantic article the other day and was shocked to find an astute and accurate piece about Canadian politics in an American publication. “Wow!” said I, “I didn’t know Reihan was a Canadian expat like Frum and Steyn.” After Google revealed he isn’t I said, “Wow! Reihan must be talking to some smart Canadian friends.” But then it turned out he was talking to Paul Wells.

    Aw, that was just a cheap shot. Great work Paul. Now call up the Washington Times and help them sort out their shit.

  • Jack Mitchell

    Patrick, my favourite is Reihan’s “Steel Magnolias” video:

  • Jack Mitchell

    I have to agree, this is an amazing article – easily the most perceptive American piece about Canadian politics I’ve ever seen – and it about triples my respect for Reihan Salam (already very high). I mean, it’s really uncanny what a solid grip he has on the whole deal.

  • http://deleted Sandi

    Good grief – all they need is Frank Luntz again and wedge issues.

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