Dear Mr. Obama

In one of his election promises, Obama said he would implement a cap-and-trade policy…

by Alex Shimo on Friday, November 7, 2008 3:01pm - 1 Comment

In one of his election promises, Obama said he would implement a cap-and-trade policy on emissions. This can be an efficient way of cutting carbon, but it can also lead to real problems, depending on the details of how it is done. If Obama is really going to implement a cap and trade policy, he should learn from Europe’s mistakes.

In brief, Europe issued 170 million credits too many. Energy companies noticed they had millions of tonnes of carbon dioxide credits they didn’t need. They sold their unused licenses on, making millions of dollars in profits.

Who did they make the money from? Universities and hospitals and other institutions who bought the credits because they weren’t allocated enough. As soon as the energy companies sold the credits, the price collapsed, and non-profits were left holding a bunch of overpriced shares of the atmosphere. Non-profits, like the University of Manchester, who paid $172,500 for their carbon rights, ended up subsidizing companies like BP and Shell. Unfortunately, none of this helped the environment and carbon emissions actually increased. All-in-all, a huge goof, and hopefully, a mistake Obama will learn from.

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  • catherine

    Yes, cap and trade are very complex systems. Fortunately, the US Congressional Budget Office has studied carbon pricing in great detail. While their research supports a carbon tax over cap and trade (for simplicity and efficiency), it is not their role to set policy. So they have also studied how to improve cap and trade and recommend ways to make it mimic a carbon tax as much as possible. In doing this, the price is much more definite, and I expect Obama to move in this direction if he pursues cap and trade.

    Harper says he wants to work with the US on cap and trade, so Canada may end up with a carbon tax disguised as a cap and trade too. Unfortunately, the Congressional Budget Office says it still won’t be as cost-effective as a carbon tax, but the difference isn’t too large.

    However, getting all the details right in cap and trade so that it is not simply a give-away to some big industries, is a problem that both countries will need to watch out for. Carbon taxes are much more transparent and industries can’t so easily manipulate or escape them without reducing emissions.

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