What smells fishy?

Must-reads: …John Ivison on abandoning Senate reform; Don Martin on embracing deficits; Jonathan Kay

by selley on Tuesday, November 25, 2008 1:45pm - 12 Comments

Must-reads: John Ivison on abandoning Senate reform; Don Martin on embracing deficits; Jonathan Kay on the Bush legacy; Vaughn Palmer on the B.C. budget.

The federal miscellany
Deficits, unelected senators, anti-Semites, etc.

The Toronto Star’s James Travers fingers the “brainy, focused and tough” Kevin Lynch, clerk of the Privy Council, as a good candidate to replace Michael Wilson as ambassador to Washington. But he notes there are “flies in this ointment.” One fly: “renewing the civil service, the Sisyphean task that drew Lynch home [from a position at the IMF], remains a work in progress.” (Indeed, being a Sisyphean task, it could hardly be anything but “in progress.” But we really must stop parsing Travers’ metaphors so closely; it leads only to heartache.) Two flies: Lynch led the “usefully inconclusive investigation” into the NAFTA disasta, which is ostensibly why Wilson has to leave in the first place. And three flies: successor boulder-pushers at the PCO “are in short, surprisingly reluctant, supply.”

The Globe and Mail’s Jeffrey Simpson + fisheries quotas = barnburner! We kid. It’s a very sober and actually fairly interesting look at the benefits of switching from the “common property resource fishery” model—in which “the government establishes an elaborate system of allocations to fishermen and companies, all under the watchful (?) eye of the Department of Fisheries and Oceans”—to one in which “fishermen, communities, co-operatives or companies” are directly given “ownership rights to certain amounts of fish.” It’s better suited to sustainable fishing, we learn, because it takes politics largely out of the equation in establishing quotas. As it stands, “since people speak, and fish are silent, the minister usually heeds people/constituents and opens fisheries that should remain closed or raises allocations that should remain low.”

The Calgary Herald’s Don Martin isn’t willing to turn the page on Stephen Harper’s altogether extraordinary about-face on deficits and recessions, and good for him. Because only two scenarios explain how it is that “Harper was elected on a firm promise to deliver balanced-budget, fiscally-prudent government less than 50 days ago”: one, he “fibbed” about the strength of the economy and of the surplus; or two, “he simply failed to see the bad times coming, even with hundreds of fiscal gurus on the payroll and Canada’s best economists on call.” Neither augurs well for our politics or for our pocketbooks. And in any event, as Martin says, it’s now “clear nobody should ever again believe anything anyone says during the heat of an election campaign.”

While he’s embracing deficits, Harper may as well start appointing senators. Things can’t get much more bizarre, as John Ivison observes in the National Post. And there’s no way the government would be able to push through a Senate reform package—term limits, consultative elections, etc.—before all the vacant seats threatened to compromise its own legislative agenda. After all, Ivison observes, “to be an ‘unelected Liberal senator’ to most Conservatives is to belong to an eventide home of political eunuchs, who vent their frustrations by blocking the legitimate work of the House of Commons.” Addressing the problem by stacking the Upper Chamber with Tories, rather than reforming or abolishing the institution, will be difficult for many Canadians to swallow, Ivison predicts. “But it offers yet more confirmation for the adage that governing is the art of the possible—and that in Canada not much is possible.”

Hey, don’t you hate banks? Yeah, Sun Media’s Greg Weston agrees with you. Banks are horrible. They complain about record-low profits that are still 10 figures per quarter, they only pass on a fraction of interest rate cuts to consumers, and now the government’s giving them money to screw us even more! Booooo, banks!

The Toronto Sun’s Peter Worthington thinks we should give David Ahenakew his Order of Canada back, and Allan Eagleson’s while we’re at it, lest the award be reduced to the status of a “purely political pawn, to be awarded or revoked at the whim of whichever government is in power.” Interesting argument. Unfortunately, he has to spend most of the column updating us on Ahenakew’s legal troubles, in a vain attempt to make said argument seem current.

Provincial affairs
The Vancouver Sun’s Vaughn Palmer observes B.C. finance minister Colin Hansen trying to deal with plummeting government revenue outlooks and, more recently, a significant projected slowdown in the provincial economy, and is not overly impressed. The minister was quite specific about what he wouldn’t do about it, Palmer observes. “Deficits? No. Layoffs? He doesn’t anticipate them. Cuts in pay for the public service? No rollbacks. Cuts in health, education and social services? The Liberals will protect those. Olympic venues? Those dollars are already spent.” So what will he do? Well, he’s willing to cut travel and administration expenses. Problem is, “no less a figure than Premier Gordon Campbell scoffed at such easy outs in a recent scrum.”

Still in the Sun, Barbara Yaffe updates us on Alberta’s efforts to soften the oilsands’ image elsewhere in Canada and in Washington, and to convince us that “every Canadian has a stake in this.” For example, the Alberta Enterprise Group will have us know that “the oilsands account for less than a tenth of one per cent of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions,” which is “equivalent to half of what’s put out by Hong Kong.” This strikes us as a very strange point of comparison.

The Globe’s Murray Campbell explores what may be the least interesting angle conceivable to Ontario’s proposed new restrictions on young drivers—most notably on the number of young, unrelated passengers they may carry—which is that outraged teenagers have taken their complaints to Facebook. You could have knocked us over with a feather. In the process, he actually lets transport minister Jim Bradley get away with suggesting the arguments against the legislation—which is itself based on nothing but irrelevant statistics and a wealthy man’s tears—aren’t particularly intelligent.

To those planning to pay no attention to tonight’s Quebec leaders’ debate, the Montreal Gazette’s Don Macpherson has a simple message: things have gotten really interesting all of a sudden for Jean Charest. First there was the latest round of intrigue from the Caisse de dépôt; then “the Liberals released the financial framework for their campaign promises, which was based on optimistic economic assumptions that contradicted Charest’s claim that the province is heading into an economic ‘storm,’ and therefore needs political stability”; and now, Le Journal de Montréal has revealed the finance minister “greatly overestimated the value of private investment projects in Quebec in the economic and financial update she released the day before the election was called.” Intrigue! Excitement! Who are you to deny it?

You’ve changed, Obama
Andrew Cohen
, writing in the Ottawa Citizen, argues Hillary Clinton was the wrong choice as secretary of state, and declares himself mystified that she’d accept the job. It’s a mistake for Obama, he argues, because she’s unqualified—or at least, less qualified than a whole bunch of other candidates. And for Clinton herself, he suggests, it’s an abandonment of all she might have done in the Senate. “She might have become the champion of health care (redressing her mishandling of the file in 1993), the green economy and a multilateral foreign policy,” Cohen laments.

“Mr. Obama and the Netroots continue to gaze at each other with honeymoon eyes,” the Globe’s John Ibbitson observes, which is somewhat surprising given that he’s already making pragmatic noises about letting tax cuts on the richest Americans expire, rather than repealing them, and that having “vowed to break up Washington’s old boys’ club,” he’s filling his cabinet with “hands so inside Washington’s ways that they could get jobs as tour guides.”

The Post’s Jonathan Kay assesses George W. Bush’s legacy and concludes that while the glaring mistakes in Afghanistan and Iraq were those of “execution”—i.e., that the endeavours themselves were “morally defensible”—there is no redeeming “Bush’s arrogant evisceration of the English-speaking world’s proud tradition of due process—a project that was done consciously and deliberately with a perfect understanding of the consequences.” Long after Guantanamo closes, he says “that fact will forever stain the man’s legacy.”

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  • Chris B

    Funnily enough, I think the Jeffrey Simpson thing should be in the must-read in that it is a real look at a problem that is not in the news, and is not a piece of Ottawa gossip. I wish we had more op-ed pieces that discussed problems and possible solutions, without any partisan rhetoric.

  • http://carnewsandviews.com jwl

    A Cohen From Hillary’s perspective, it makes total sense to take the Sec Of State job. Hill and Bill are narcissists and Senate leadership is dependent on time served and no one remembers Senators while many Sec Of State’s are remembered in the history books. I am sure Hillary thinks she’s got the solution to peace in Middle East and when she achieves it, she will go down as an all time great.

  • Sisyphus

    I don’t hate banks but I do hate the free pass that the media gives to the bank economists that they insist on using for their “expertise” in economic forecasting. Because they are impartial and disinterested, dontcha know.

  • Peter

    Hilary Clinton for Secretary of State:
    At first I too was puzzled by this choice, but expertise isn’t necessarily important. Hilary will have advisors and she is a quick learner. But what she does have is a tough-as-nails/larger than life persona, that will make her very effective on the international stage. Can’t wait until she comes to Canada!
    One question, I haven’t seen posed is how quickly she’ll lose interest in New York State…

    Jim Travers is so stupid sometimes. It makes no sense for Kevin Lynch to receive a political position such as embassador to the U.S. This role needs someone who is incredibly political and smarmy. Someone who can smooze with the big boys in Washington and who can compose themselves properly in front of a camera. I am referring to David Emerson.

  • http://prairiewrangler.wordpress.com/ Olaf

    (Indeed, being a Sisyphean task, it could hardly be anything but “in progress.” But we really must stop parsing Travers’ metaphors so closely; it leads only to heartache.)

    Haha, sweet. I love parsing!

  • http://prairiewrangler.wordpress.com/ Olaf

    Also:

    hands so inside Washington’s ways that they could get jobs as tour guides.

    What does this phrase even mean? Is this an innuendo akin to “head so far up… they can see what he had for breakfast” or what?

  • http://prairiewrangler.wordpress.com/ Olaf

    Well, let no one say I’m not persistent…

    Since you’ve carded Wente, Chris, I thought I would take the bullet for everyone and read her column on how hopelessly stupid wind power advocates are. It included this useful tidbit:

    The biggest problem with wind is that it doesn’t always blow. There are lots of days when Toronto’s monument to civic virtue couldn’t even power my toaster. Inconveniently, these times of low production tend to coincide with times of high demand.

    That is inconvenient! From which peer reviewed study did she obtain this “fact”, praytell? Surprisingly, she doesn’t say. What possibly could cause such an inexplicable correlation between high demand and low wind blowing? Again, nothing. And this, mind you, is the “biggest problem” with wind, which solicits no more than a single unsubstantiated throw away sentence in the entire column denouncing the concept. I don’t know, she could possibly be right, but holy hell, throw us a bone.

  • Andrew

    It’s interesting because using some fancy mathematics (portfolio optimization theory, usually used in finance), it is possible to select a portfolio of wind/solar power generating locations such that the aggregate variability is substantially lower. One study done in the Midwest US indicated that a portfolio of as few as 6 locations was no worse than a portfolio of 40+. Since wind and solar tend to complement each other (wind blows strongest when the sun isn’t shining), it could allow us to convert upwards of 20 or 30% of our power consumption to renewables without significant risk and without energy storage. Add in economical energy storage, and that fraction could be pushed up significantly.

  • http://prairiewrangler.wordpress.com/ Olaf

    Andrew,

    I just have one pressing question in response to your rather impressive comment: Huh?

  • Ti-Guy

    She’s gone Olaf. Let her go.

    Please. I cancelled my Globe subscription because I overdosed on Wente.

    Not that any of the nattering nabobs featured here are much better. Someday, more people will clue in to the fact that the difference between a blogger and pundit is…none whatsoever.

  • http://prairiewrangler.wordpress.com/ Olaf

    I hear a lot of kids nowadays are overdosing on “Wente”… sad, really.

    Also, as far as the difference between pundits and bloggers go, I can assure you that I use foul, offensive language far more frequently than they do. Except maybe Jeff Simpson. I hear he curses like a pirate.

  • Andrew

    I could explain it myself, but I’ll give you a link that does a better job than I would: http://www.rmi.org/sitepages/pid518.php

    Essentially you can choose a number of sites (say, Lake Erie around Dunnville, off the Scarborough Bluffs in Toronto, and on Lake Huron around Walkerton) that are uncorrelated or inversely correlated in power output. Thus, when the wind is still at one location is tends to be blowing at the others. Add up a number of these, and the total power production is less variable than that of the individual locations. You’d think that the more sites the better, but surprisingly you can get quite good results from only a handful as well.

    This math is more commonly used in finance to select a set of investments that provides a high return while lowering variability in returns based on some assumptions of the average return of each investment and the correlation/covariance of return between investments (two oil companies would be highly correlated, while an oil company and Hummer Inc. would be inversely correlated, and while an oil company and say, a grocery chain would be relatively uncorrelated).

From Macleans