Inkless Wells

Inkless Wells

Inkless Wells

Paul Wells on all the latest out of Ottawa—along with the occasional post about jazz. Follow Paul on Twitter: @InklessPW

Harper plays chess… while Rome burns

by Paul Wells on Friday, November 28, 2008 11:17am - 117 Comments

Well, I looked. There’s not a line about changes to political party funding in the risible excuse for a platform Stephen Harper released in the last few days of what I had been calling, perhaps prematurely, “the campaign of 2008,” with no ‘s’ on campaign. But then, the 2006 platform didn’t have a word about senators in cabinet either. The immediate post-election period is Harper’s favourite time for little surprises, so he can show everybody what a super-genius 3D Vulcan chess master he is.

But you know, it’s a funny thing. I’ve heard from a lot of people since the election, I did Q&A sessions at two speaker gigs where people from politics and business asked a lot of questions about how Harper would handle the current economic storm. And not a one of them said, “Is he going to do something clever to wrong-foot the opposition? I sure hope he’ll be clever. Our sales are collapsing and we can’t get any financing, so please tell me, Paul, that we’re going to get some o’ that old Vulcan chess from the tactical genius.” No, that’s not what people have been asking for.

The stock market is a bit of a mess these days. Every week another massive pillar of American capitalism collapses. The OECD and Kevin Page say we’re headed for a deficit and probably a recession, and I profoundly don’t care if Jim Flaherty disagrees, because he’s not in the credibility business, is he? There’s a religious gang war in the streets of the world’s largest democracy and the latest quarterly report from Afghanistan suggests, as cheerfully as possible, that that benighted country is slipping a little deeper into the drain despite the most heroic efforts of our best men and women.

So you’d really have to be Stephen Harper to survey all of this wreckage and tell yourself that this is another excellent buying opportunity.

It’s bad enough, as Heather Scoffield points out, that much of the world is taking a different policy track from Canada. Harper would be free and might be well advised to take a different path. But even Angela Merkel, the poster child of the anti-stimulus set, passed a budget this week. Barack Obama, meanwhile, had three news conferences in three days to put serious, serious people in charge of economic policy.

And Harper has not led any kind of anti-Keynesian resistance. In Peru on the weekend he called deficits essential. So on the economy as on the war in Afghanistan, he is now in the full-time business of spinning like a weathervane. But then, wars and jobs aren’t what Harper’s in politics for, right? No, he just likes to play chess.

So, drawing his inspiration from Jo Moore, the Downing Street spin doctor who thought 9/11 would be a “very good day” to get some embarrassing news releases out, Harper decided an economic crisis would be an excellent cover to use for a little political kneecapping. What could be more clever? That’ll show them he’s a serious guy.

So the real outrage of yesterday’s economic “update” is not that it seeks to impose on most parliamentarians a change to funding rules that most of them would never ordinarily accept; it’s that it accomplishes nothing else. It’s that in the most dangerous economic times Canada has faced in 20 years if not far longer, this prime minister can’t wipe the smirk off his face and grow up a little.

What comes next is beyond my ability to guess. The forces facing Harper do not look more encouraging, for me as a taxpayer, than the forces arrayed around Harper. But so what? Too much of our politics in recent years has been given over to warring camps who don’t care what their guy does as long as he’s their guy and he wins. A lot of the rest of us care less about the colour of the winning team so much as they desperately hope that whoever it is, he might take the job seriously.

At least since September, we have not been so lucky. Stephen Harper is my prime minister and for all I care he can go on being my prime minister as long as he cares and can win the little fantasy confrontations that so excite him. But he is acting like an idiot and I am ashamed of his behaviour.

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  • Brad Sallows

    None of the parties, even the Greens, had any difficulty communicating their basic messages and proposals. None of the four major established parties is in any danger, even without the public funding, of not being able to field candidates in every riding unless they choose otherwise (ie. the Bloc, which has the least funding, also happens to run fewer candidates.) What we are in most jeopardy of losing are negative ads (assuming a party doesn’t decide to go negative instead of positive if it only has enough money to pick one), excessive barrages of ads, and fancy frills and perks for the people involved in election campaigns and who keep the party machinery running. The conventions and other gatherings are not exactly austere.

    If those who favour public funding think it’s important to “democracy” to keep the playing field level, why aren’t they asking for the same lump sum to be assigned to every party? If the concern is that parties be able to “communicate effectively”, then a party which is important enough to qualify as a viable national party but not to obtain a large vote share is always going to be at a disadvantage with the per-vote funding system. What I’m reading is a collective tantrum from the people whose noble intentions don’t extend any further than the welfare of either the LPC or NDP. I am in no doubt whatsoever that there are at least 10,000 well-heeled supporters of either party who obtain enough “goodwill” through their party connections to be able to cough up $1,000 each. $10,000,000 dollars; funding problem solved.

    Anyone who needs to hear a party’s advertising and other national messages more than twice during an election in order to understand the essential points and make a voting decision, raise your hand. I’m curious to see how many of you there are.

  • madeyoulook

    why aren’t they asking for the same lump sum to be assigned to every party?

    There you go, Brad, giving them even more ideas.

  • Brad Sallows

    >2) The longer we wait,

    The more we spend now on “problems” which turn out not to need fixing or to be particularly important or down other blind unproductive avenues, the less we have to spend when we have enough information in hand to actually identify critical threats where some fiscal intervention would have a measurable and beneficial impact. The more of peoples’ money we force them to spend – with or without a balance of intakes and expenditures – on the wrong things or things that are not important to them, the more tight-fisted they will be with what they have left and the slower the economic recovery.

    If the Conservatives are supposed to come up with a stimulus plan in the next few days to soothe the opposition, I make no doubt the bright minds in the opposition parties and among their supporters can do the same, starting from right now.

  • Darrell

    None of the minor parties had trouble communicating their message in the last election because they borrowed up to their eyeballs – partially because they thought they assumed they could count on the per vote financing that they are in fact promised in the Elections Act.

  • Andrew

    Brad: if the goal is to prevent deflation, there is a case for governments to act swiftly since the problem is magnified the longer it goes unchecked. This is why you’ve seen the rest of the world’s major economies inject massive amounts of money into the system.

    It is all the assure people that prices won’t be allowed to fall. If we fail to convince people of that, things will spiral out of control and we will have a Depression for realsies.

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  • Darrell

    Ms. MacLeans for dummies…

    If you’re going to pick a fight with a giant, you might not want to paint a target on the top of your head.

  • http://www.truemuse.wordpress.com truemuse

    Darrell,
    I’ll drew it myself with blood from a stone and I can take care of myself, but thank-you!

  • sf

    grumpy old man:
    “there may not be a lot of support for propping up an industry that pays a forklift driver a hundred grand a year when many are trying to put food on the table for 10 bucks an hour”

    That is the auto-industry crisis in a nutshell. Well said. Bring on Toyota and VW.

  • http://Roseth@blog.ca Sigmund Roseth

    Harper Blinked…

    Guess Machiavelli Harper & Co. pulled back from the brink after all. He thought he had an ace up his sleeve: having cancelled the cancellation, he now could make the opposition –the Liberals in particular –look self-serving and hypocritical if they backed off; by claiming that they were only interested in saving their subsidies. When it appeared that the opposition parties were going through with a non-confidence vote regardless, he backed off –buying time by postponing a vote until December 8th –but not before he showed himself for what he is: a cunning, conniving partisan who puts political scheming before the common good, in spite of his protestations to the contrary.

    I predict that something like this will happen: The opposition parties, tired of playing political poker with the Harper & co. will pull the plug anyhow, as they should. They will likely have Dion move up his resignation date and then appoint Michael Ignatieff as temporary leader of the coalition, until an election can be held –after the Liberal convention and the resolution of the current economic crisis. After all, though not ideal, Ignatieff is all ready the Deputy Opposition Leader.

    Regardless, we cannot afford to play politics as usual during these trying times. We need a concerted, non-political effort to face the tsunami of economic tidal wave about to engulf us.

  • Brad Sallows

    >Brad: if the goal is to prevent deflation, there is a case for governments to act swiftly

    My point is that if the swift act is wrongly targeted, it will likely improve nothing and may very well degrade something – every intervention will send unintended signals, regardless whether it achieves what was intended or thought to be the chief aim.

  • Jack

    Brian [Nov 28, 2008 18:41],
    My thoughts exactly. Well said. It would be far more interesting (not to mention adult) for Mr. Wells to “Join the discussion” and respond to some of the excellent counters to his post rather than wasting his time composing churlish comebacks to “the rat”.

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  • Kristian Klima

    The Conservatives didn’t win majority of seats. They didn’t win the majority of Canadian votes. The Conservatives won exactly 37.65% of votes, while the Liberals and the New Democrats got 26.26% and 18.18% respectively. Furthermore, the Bloc Québécois won 9.98%. Overall, it’s 54.42% of the popular vote. The only reason that allowed the Conservatives to form the government is the archaic and undemocratic first-past-the-post election system, a tragic remainder of post-colonial ties with similarly democratically deficient Great Britain.

    Digging deeper reveals the abysmal voter turnout – 59.1% making it the lowest in Canadian election history. Many Canadians just didn’t bother. There’s no sense to vote if you know that your vote will be disfranchised, courtesy of the first-past-the-post-system. All this means, that the Harper’s Conservative have the mandate of 22.26% of eligible voters. The Liberals, NDP and the Bloc together have a) more seats in the parliament (163 vs 143), have won more votes (54.42%) and the mandate of 32.16% of all Canadians.

  • sbt

    “Digging deeper reveals the abysmal voter turnout – 59.1% making it the lowest in Canadian election history. Many Canadians just didn’t bother.”

    Maybe that has more to do with the fact that no one engages with parties at the grassroots level because they are already funded by our tax dollars. Voter turnout has only declined since we did that. Maybe if the Liberals had actually had to raise money from their base and engage with them, their vote would not have declined so precipitously and voter turnout would be higher. Because we are largely talking about the preciptitous decline of Liberal voter turnout, not Conservative, NDP, or Green turnout.

    Of course, it’s much easier to blame everything on Stephen Harper and a voting system that was the same voting system back when turnout was much higher.

  • Gaunilon

    And you think Ignatieff will act like an adult?? Or perhaps Bob Rae??

    Harper’s only a C+ PM, but when the alternatives are D- and lower you take what you can get.

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