Inkless Wells

Inkless Wells

Paul Wells on all the latest out of Ottawa—along with the occasional post about jazz. Follow Paul on Twitter: @InklessPW
He also offers his thoughtful perspective of Stephen Harper’s last 10 years in his recent eBook, The Harper Decade.

Harper plays chess… while Rome burns

by Paul Wells on Friday, November 28, 2008 11:17am - 117 Comments

Well, I looked. There’s not a line about changes to political party funding in the risible excuse for a platform Stephen Harper released in the last few days of what I had been calling, perhaps prematurely, “the campaign of 2008,” with no ‘s’ on campaign. But then, the 2006 platform didn’t have a word about senators in cabinet either. The immediate post-election period is Harper’s favourite time for little surprises, so he can show everybody what a super-genius 3D Vulcan chess master he is.

But you know, it’s a funny thing. I’ve heard from a lot of people since the election, I did Q&A sessions at two speaker gigs where people from politics and business asked a lot of questions about how Harper would handle the current economic storm. And not a one of them said, “Is he going to do something clever to wrong-foot the opposition? I sure hope he’ll be clever. Our sales are collapsing and we can’t get any financing, so please tell me, Paul, that we’re going to get some o’ that old Vulcan chess from the tactical genius.” No, that’s not what people have been asking for.

The stock market is a bit of a mess these days. Every week another massive pillar of American capitalism collapses. The OECD and Kevin Page say we’re headed for a deficit and probably a recession, and I profoundly don’t care if Jim Flaherty disagrees, because he’s not in the credibility business, is he? There’s a religious gang war in the streets of the world’s largest democracy and the latest quarterly report from Afghanistan suggests, as cheerfully as possible, that that benighted country is slipping a little deeper into the drain despite the most heroic efforts of our best men and women.

So you’d really have to be Stephen Harper to survey all of this wreckage and tell yourself that this is another excellent buying opportunity.

It’s bad enough, as Heather Scoffield points out, that much of the world is taking a different policy track from Canada. Harper would be free and might be well advised to take a different path. But even Angela Merkel, the poster child of the anti-stimulus set, passed a budget this week. Barack Obama, meanwhile, had three news conferences in three days to put serious, serious people in charge of economic policy.

And Harper has not led any kind of anti-Keynesian resistance. In Peru on the weekend he called deficits essential. So on the economy as on the war in Afghanistan, he is now in the full-time business of spinning like a weathervane. But then, wars and jobs aren’t what Harper’s in politics for, right? No, he just likes to play chess.

So, drawing his inspiration from Jo Moore, the Downing Street spin doctor who thought 9/11 would be a “very good day” to get some embarrassing news releases out, Harper decided an economic crisis would be an excellent cover to use for a little political kneecapping. What could be more clever? That’ll show them he’s a serious guy.

So the real outrage of yesterday’s economic “update” is not that it seeks to impose on most parliamentarians a change to funding rules that most of them would never ordinarily accept; it’s that it accomplishes nothing else. It’s that in the most dangerous economic times Canada has faced in 20 years if not far longer, this prime minister can’t wipe the smirk off his face and grow up a little.

What comes next is beyond my ability to guess. The forces facing Harper do not look more encouraging, for me as a taxpayer, than the forces arrayed around Harper. But so what? Too much of our politics in recent years has been given over to warring camps who don’t care what their guy does as long as he’s their guy and he wins. A lot of the rest of us care less about the colour of the winning team so much as they desperately hope that whoever it is, he might take the job seriously.

At least since September, we have not been so lucky. Stephen Harper is my prime minister and for all I care he can go on being my prime minister as long as he cares and can win the little fantasy confrontations that so excite him. But he is acting like an idiot and I am ashamed of his behaviour.

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  • Darrell

    Anyone who can keep a cool head while the [i]Prime Minister of Canada[/i] threatens to use the power of government to undermine Canadian democracy has clearly lost any marbles they may have had.

  • grumpy old white guy

    Paul, a very interesting post, what did you have for lunch?

    Things seem to be churning in Ottawaville with Harper hitting the opposition in the old pocketbook and the Liberals and NDP maybe getting in bed with the traitorists. Holy Cow!

    In the rest of the country, maybe we’re glad there has been some Ottawa liquidity pumped into the financial system although interest rates don’t really reflect that. But the serious problems of the oil companies thinking twice about currently further investing in the oil sands and the big (in small letters) Three auto companies teetering or the declining consumer confidence affecting retail et al will need some attention. However, a made in Canada solution is impossible without knowing what our pals down south may do come January or February. Obviously there is going to be some cash injected into the economy hopefully in the way of infrastucture to pick up some of the unemployment slack.

    On the other hand, there may not be a lot of support for propping up an industry that pays a forklift driver a hundred grand a year when many are trying to put food on the table for 10 bucks an hour.

    So in short, our elected politicians need to get their priorties not their entitlements straight.

  • D

    Don’t say we didn’t warn you…

    And yet all the major editorial pages of Canadian newspapers (except, not surprisingly, the Star) put their support behind the incompetent and ideological Conservatives during the last election campaign. It certainly isn’t taking long to see (yet again) how incompetent and ideological they (still) are…

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  • http://www.chuckercanuck.blogspot.com chuckercanuck

    undermine Canadian democracy?

    what does it say about our democracy when:

    a) political parties cannot fund their activities through support from citizens?
    b) political parties consider it critical to democracies that entrenched parties win government support where emerging parties could not?

  • Jack Mitchell

    the rat: “Honesty, Mr. Wells, H-O-N-E-S-T-Y.”

    Song of the Rat

    What you want
    Mr. Wells I got it
    What you need
    You know I got it!
    All I’m askin’ is for is – a little honesty
    When you post – just a little bit
    Hey Mr. Wells – just a little bit
    Just a little bit, Mr. – just a little bit

    Ooo your blog
    Sweeter than honey
    And guess what?
    I’m a phoney
    All I want you to do for me
    Is give it to me when you post again
    Yeah Mr. Wells
    Whip it to me – honesty, just a little bit!
    When you post, now – just a little bit!

    H-O-N-E-S-T-Y
    Find out why the rat’s your guy
    H-O-N-E-S-T-Y
    Take care, FYI

    Oh – sock it to me, sock it to me, sock it to me, sock it to me
    A little honesty – sock it to me, sock it to me, sock it to me, sock it to me
    Whoa, Mr. Wells – just a little bit
    A little honesty – just a little bit
    I get tired – just a little bit
    Keep on tryin’ – just a little bit
    You’re runnin’ out of foolin’ – just a little bit
    And I ain’t lyin’ – just a little bit

  • Paul Wells

    The “sock it to me” is the best part of that song. Even in the original version.

  • Darrell

    The ways and means motion never would have included the repeal of the public financing of parties – it was enacted through legislation and would require legislation to repeal.

    This, apparently, is news.

    I’m not sure how you can argue that withdrawing funding (in some cases funding needed to remain extant) from ones political opponents using the budgeting prerogative of Government is anything less than an attack on democratic choice.

  • Kaplan

    I agree entirely with your take on this, and believe me, it’s not a partisan thing. If Chretien was playing these ridiculous little games while our economy faces an imminent melt-down, I’d be as royally pissed as I am now.

    Harper’s just into governing. He’s into sticking to the Liberals. He’s not a policy wonky. He’s a guy who’s been harbouring a grudge the size of the oilpatch over what he imagined the Liberals did since the NEP, and damned if he ain’t just going to keep sticking it to them every chance he gets, and if the fall of western capitalism’s going on at the same time, WELL THE STUPID WORLD WILL JUST HAVE TO WAIT TILL HE’S DONE.

    Man, I’m weary of this. Bring on the Liberal-NDP-Bloc coalition.

  • http://www.chuckercanuck.blogspot.com chuckercanuck

    “I’m not sure how you can argue that withdrawing funding (in some cases funding needed to remain extant) from ones political opponents using the budgeting prerogative of Government is anything less than an attack on democratic choice”

    well, its withdrawing funding for ones political opponents and oneself. The biggest loser, financially, is the government.

  • http://www.chuckercanuck.blogspot.com chuckercanuck

    Well, I like Paul Wells alot, but I wouldn’t urge him to “sock it to me” not even “just a little bit”.

  • jeff house

    The Conservatives’ proposed budget, without any economic stimulus, is a total abdication of responsibility.

    They say they are waiting and seeing what Barack Obama will do. But Canada can’t wait. The economy is weakening EVERY DAY.

    The Conservatives think the other parties won’t want to take “responsibility” for the downturn. But a party not prepared to govern when called upon to do so deserves to perish.

    The opposition MUST defeat this cynical ploy of a budget and take office in a coalition. Canada needs help, and the Conservatives have abdicated.

  • Darrell

    Chuckercanuck,

    I think you’re smart enough to know that argument that the Conservatives (as distinct from the government, I’ll note) lose the most only holds water if you ignore reality.

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  • http://www.wernerpatels.com Werner Patels

    Dear Paul, the only ones playing chess are the power-hungry Liberals, who will either force an expensive election or create political instability of the worst order for a lousy $1.95. Just for that, and the fact that they have failed to fund themselves from donations, they really have no place in the political landscape anymore (just like the now-defunct Liberal Party in the U.K.).

  • David Fine

    I am reminded of Aesop’s fable about the scorpion and the frog. That’s the one in which the scorpion persuades the frog to carry him across the river to the other side, promising not to sting the frog. As it turns out, the scorpion stings the frog halfway across the river, fatally injuring it. As the frog sinks, it asks the scorpion why it stung him, given that they will now both drown. The scorpion replies that he cannot help himself – it’s in his nature.

    The Prime Minister could not resist using the opportunity presented by the economic slowdown to stick it to the opposition by moving to eliminate their public funding. In doing so, he has unleashed a fire storm that could well bring down his government. But it would seem to be in his nature to always be looking for ways to stick it to the opposition (especially the Liberals, at a time when they are in a particularly weak position), regardless of the potential cost to his government (let alone the country). Notwithstanding the sweet words contained in the Throne Speech, he just doesn’t. understand that, in order to make minority government work, he needs to compromise. As Alan Fotheringham wrote about Joe Clark, the guy can’t. seem to count (i.e., seats in the Commons).

  • http://dipperchick.blogspot.com Erin Sikora

    You nailed it Wells.

  • Brian

    Paul said “But he is acting like an idiot and I am ashamed of his behaviour.

    As one of your readers, its fair to point out that you are also acting like an idiot and I am ashamed of your behaviour — particularly since instead of responding to Peter’s post that raised a number of good counterpoints to your article — you chose the go after “the rat”. These actions are indicative of the very pettiness that you deplore.

    So below is Peter’s post again. I hope you’ll take the time to respond but if not, feel free to come after me with a firestorm of yo-mama jokes.

    Wells, Rome may be burning, Ottawa is not. Canadian banks are reporting reduced, but still large profits. Canadian employment is at all time highs. Bank lending is up, housing prices have declined moderately. Exactly three companies are in dire straits because circumstances have conspired to let their spectacularly bad management come home to roost. I keep hearing the Auto industry is in trouble, yet why are not Toyota and Honda in Ottawa with their hand out? Three companies are in the trouble they have earned.

    Paul, what would you have the government do? Bail out a few banks? How do you bail out a profitable bank? What fire should they try to put out Wells? I for one don’t enjoy the spectacle of Politicians running around shouting so they appear to be doing something. We have to wait and see what shakes out in the states before any course of action becomes clear for Canada. Doing something which may turn out to be the wrong thing just to appease the chattering classes just isn’t Harper’s style.

  • doug

    The idea that we have to “wait and see” is laughable. It’s well understood what the problems are and what to do about them. Read Krugman in the NYRB:

    “…policymakers around the world need to do two things: get credit flowing again and prop up spending.”

    To prop up spending, the government needs to ‘build things’. Shouldn’t we start planning for that now, instead of wasting a precious few months? Even talking about it would increase confidence.

  • Karol

    David Fine,

    Your attempt at finding analogy in Aesop’s fable about the scorpion and the frog is very confusing as it seems to me that in this particular case Conservatives are the frog that knows how to swim (raise money) and the Liberals are the scorpion that does not know how to swim (raise money). This scorpion hitched a ride across the river on frog’s back. Since scorpion keeps on stinging the frog as it swims across the river, the frog proposed that it will do some diving and now the scorpion cries bloody murder.

  • http://www.macleansfordummies.wordpress.com Macleans for Dummies

    Risible…Raisable…let’s call the whole thing off.

  • Brad Sallows

    “I’m not sure how you can argue that withdrawing funding … anything less than an attack on democratic choice”

    Only an attack on the right to vote and to exercise that right during an election is an attack on democratic choice. What everyone is wailing about with respect to funding is at most an attack on political advertising and propaganda and influence. Each of us can refer to it as all flavours of those things, but all the people bleating “attack on democracy” need to pull together some intellectual objectivity and integrity.

    I too am interested to read what, other than vague exhortations to spend, should be the focus of “stimuli” – as distinct from pure bailouts and bridge financing.

  • Darrell

    Yeah you’re right.

    Who cares if a government decision results in an election where only the governing party is able to communicate its message effectively; or if a couple hundred thousand people can’t vote for the party of their choice because it can no longer afford to field candidates.

    As long as everyone is entitled to vote, right?

    Thank you for helping me restore my intellectual objectivity.

  • veevskay

    To all those who say we have to wait for the American counterparts to act, I have to say I’m shocked to hear that given that you actually claim you know your economics!

    1) Why the GST cut and now the sale of government assets??? (mind you if that hadn’t happen we’d still not be going into a deficit, which by the way if we do go into, will go up to 23billion by 2011).
    The plan is to minimize government role. Period. Read about “Calgary school of thought”.

    2) The longer we wait, the more people will be laid off the more mortgage defaults… and you know the rest of the story. There have been no positive move by the government, no assurances. Of course why would there be? Harper et al will get their 6-digit salaries and will never know what it’s like to go to work every day fearing it’d be the least day.

    Harper unfortunately has got his priorities mixed. He needs to realize that he is a “prime minister” and working for “ALL” the people. NOT a “party president” only working for 36% of the population.

    Thank you for the article.

  • madeyoulook

    Well, Darrell, if said impoverished party is so unpopular that they have no supporters who can support them at 10 to 50 bucks a head, they will have earned their failure. Please enlighten us as to why such a useless entity deserves taxpayer support.

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