Deux Maudits Anglais

Martin Patriquin and Philippe Gohier dissect the latest out of Quebec. Follow Philippe on Twitter: @pgohier

Categories: Deux Maudits Anglais

A fearless election prediction

by Philippe Gohier on Monday, December 8, 2008 3:31pm - 7 Comments

I finished dead last in the office election prediction pool in 2007, so take this with a grain of salt. Here goes nuthin’:

Liberals: 76

PQ: 43

ADQ: 6

If I’m right, or anywhere close, I think we’ve seen the end of Mario Dumont and the ADQ. Sure, they might putter around for a bit, but Dumont’s opening line as a bruised and battered boxer on Dieu Merci! should eventually serve as an epitaph for his political career: “I think I should have stuck with the lightweights.”

I should add that I’ll be blogging from my couch while I watch the results tonight. Drop by around 7:30 p.m.

Tags: Mario Dumont, predictions, Quebec election, Quebec politics

More by Philippe Gohier

http://carnewsandviews.com jwl

So all the pissed of Quebecers I have been reading about for the past week are about to vote Lib, the federalist party?
Sisyphus

Great line !
http://blog.macleans.ca/category/blog-central/national/deux-maudits-anglais/ Philippe Gohier

@jwl: I can’t quite wrap my head around it, either. Although, if there isn’t going to be a referendum and there isn’t going to be some other massive projet de société under a PQ government, then why bother voting Marois? She had a pretty tough sales job on her hands—and “Charest is arrogant” never seemed like the attack line that was going to make it any easier.
Blues Clair

I’m no fan of the Quebec Liberals and I ain’t a sovereignist, but I do love those ADQ numbers, bravo Mario.
http://carnewsandviews.com jwl

Philippe

Do you have any idea why Marois/PQ didn’t stir up the separatist talk last week? If Marois was lacking a ‘narrative’ I wonder why she didn’t jump all over Harper/Cons/Anti-Quebec last week. Seems tailor made for the provincial sovereignist party, unless separatism is a non-starter in Quebec now.

And I thought Marois was the arrogant one, not Charest.
http://blog.macleans.ca/category/blog-central/national/deux-maudits-anglais/ Philippe Gohier

@jwl: I suspect the problem with the angry separatist routine is that it doesn’t contrast very well with a rival who’s campaigning on stability for the economy’s sake. Had she gone all righteous and annoyed, she was running a serious risk of looking petulant, too.

That said, she’s probably going to lose, so it’s hard to argue she made the right decision. I’m just not sure there was a correct decision in this case, especially given how late in the game all that nonsense in Ottawa got going.
http://carnewsandviews.com jwl

“angry separatist routine is that it doesn’t contrast very well with a rival who’s campaigning on stability for the economy’s sake.”

Thanks Philippe. I didn’t think of it that way, makes sense.