Inkless Wells

Inkless Wells

Paul Wells on all the latest out of Ottawa—along with the occasional post about jazz. Follow Paul on Twitter: @InklessPW

Please tell me, does anybody know?/ Where does the big train go?

by Paul Wells on Thursday, January 8, 2009 11:51am - 108 Comments

Am I happy that Dean Del Mastro wants high-speed rail for the Montreal-Toronto corridor (with a thoughtful little detour to Ottawa?) Absolutely. Am I really, really surprised because all along, I took Del Mastro for a gallumphing jamook without a policy bone in his body? Oh yeah, you bet. Words cannot express. So how to square the proposal and its source? Two ways, it seems to me:

  • Dean Del Mastro has depths to him that none of us could have suspected. Mea culpa, Dean!
  • (or) he is operating on remote control from the PMO. He has become a human trial balloon. Float, Dean, float!
  • (or) It’s a profoundly dumb idea, and only Dean and I could ever love it. (I had to anticipate that one, because you have to know it’s coming in the comments below.)

(Incidentally, here’s your soundtrack for this post. Click on the little speaker icons and you’ll get some rail-appropriate tunage.)

For arguments in favour of high-speed rail, read my definitive opus on the subject, written from the rolling French countryside. I should note that when that column ran, readers responded with the sound of crickets chirping, which is what I usually get when I turn all policy-wonk. But I did get a thoughtful email from a Senior Figure in the Harper crew, playfully contesting some of my assertions (hammering a TGV line through the Rockies: uh, not gonna happen) but not dismissing the idea outright. Based on this admittedly reed-thin shred of evidence, I now suspect Del Mastro’s little sortie did not catch a lot of people in Langevin by surprise. Indeed, here was a Shadowy Eminence in that very edifice yesterday, briefing reporters on the need for jumbo infrastructure outlays in the (oddly Martinesquely-dubbed) Most Important Budget Ever.

A few thoughts, then.

  • None of this is a guarantee that anything will happen on the high-speed-rail front. I have very high regard for somewhere between one and three of these men, but I think it’s safe to say that any project whose main public champions are Dean Del Mastro, Dalton McGuinty and Jean Charest is not, yet, precisely a juggernaut.
  • high-speed rail has its virtues (see the definitive opus, op. cit.), but it’s a terrible way to provide “fiscal stimulus” to salve a recession. I hope this is obvious. The planning, approval, and procurement pipeline would be very long indeed, probably more than a decade, so if anyone ever does try to sell such a project as some kind of stimulus, please laugh and throw things. If high-speed rail is defensible, it’s as an incrementally greener way to move human traffic through our densest population corridor, as a productivity boost, but not as a Response to the Crisis.
  • Incidentally, if you want a nifty stimulus, all you tax cut/spending program people should look for some kind of truce. Here’s one. If the problem with tax cuts is that there is no guarantee they’ll be spent, and the problem with spending is that it procures no cost-of-living benefit on ordinary consumers, then why not find a guaranteed-spending program that reduces consumers’ bills? Send armies of work crews into homes to install the sort of energy-saving features we all know are available but that few of us have bothered to install. You get an immediate pop in skilled-labour employment. And consumers benefit with lower heating bills, indefinitely. That wasn’t so hard.

So to sum up: High-speed rail cannot help Canada through the current economic unpleasantness. But I believe longstanding arguments in its favour still hold. It is entirely possible that Del Mastro has become a bold free thinker. With best wishes to him for the new year, I hope he hasn’t.

Bookmark and Share
  • Chuck VS Macleans

    Paul.

    Is there a way to do this project through a private partnership?

    • Paul Wells

      Surely…I mean, the rolling stock will be purchased from a private contractor, at a minimum; the contractor might be interested in sharing some of the cost of the rails (and stations?). That’s off the top of my head, but surely…

      Why are you VS Macleans anyway, Chuck? We’re so nice.

  • http://www.truemuse.wordpress.com truemuse

    If they build it I will ride. Canada only has two real cities and a quick ride between the two is a great idea.

    • Lord Bob

      I hope that any corridor high-speed service is accompanied by an Edmonton-Calgary high-speed service.

      Ridership on the Edmonton-Calgary line would be lower, of course, but for a variety of reasons (better terrain, cheaper land, existing comprehensive feasability studies from the province) it would probably be a lot cheaper to build and might actually be a good sandbox for Canadians to get their eye in doing something that no North American has done before.

      Also, Canada has more than two real cities. Although I admit that a ride to our third city of Vancouver is difficult pending a way to dynamite a couple mountain chains into a flat grade.

  • http://worthwhile.typepad.com Stephen Gordon

    Just what is the problem that a high-speed train is supposed to solve? Suppose you want to go from Point A in Toronto to Point B in Montreal. Right now, the choice is

    a) Drive from point A to point B. Elapsed time: 5 hours or so.
    b) Drive to from point A to Pearson, take the plane to Trudeau and then get a taxi to Point B. Elapsed time – what? Five hours?

    Add to this:
    c) Drive from point A to Union Station, take the train to the Gare Centrale, and then take a taxi to Point B. Elapsed time – what? Five hours?

    Am I missing something?

    • madeyoulook

      Well, you could have earned at least a few “progressive” bonafides if you took the subway to Union and the Métro from Gare Centrale…

      But the biggest thing you missed was that all Canadians must contribute billions to slash those five hours by an hour or two, this being such a pressing national priority, and in keeping with the newly discovered constitutional power of “carrying our fat asses hither and yon at great speed.”

      Hope that helps.

    • Ti-Guy

      It’s a long-term thing, Professor Gordon. Don’t worried your little head about it.

    • http://myempireofdirt.wordpress.com/ epimetheus

      There are environmental and quality of life benefits to rail transport that you can’t get from planes and cars. I would guess that it helps with our Florida-esque spikiness too. As for speed, I can only speak to the situation in Toronto but I think the average time to reach Union Station, as the hub for GO and TTC, is less than the average time to reach Pearson.

      Plus fast trains are neat.

      • http://worthwhile.typepad.com Stephen Gordon

        I dunno. Addressing the insufficiency of neat things doesn’t seem like a compelling use of public money. Especially when we can think of so many other ways that it could be spent.

        • http://myempireofdirt.wordpress.com/ epimetheus

          You can never have too much neat ;)

          I propose a national stimulus package based on the Seussification of our built environment and the retrofitting of all mechanical devices with Rube Goldberg properties.

        • madeyoulook

          …or NOT SPENT, dagnabbit…

          • Ti-Guy

            Les Canadiens. Nés pour un petit pain.

  • http://mrsinistergreg.blogspot.com Greg

    On the contrary: it’s nearly complete. I think the deadline is 2010. My parents’ home already has the smart meter, but I don’t think they’ve been asked whether they want to try Time of Use pricing yet.

    Define “nearly complete”. The KW area hasn’t been touched and as far as I know neither has London. To me that seems a long way from “nearly complete”.

  • Brad Sallows

    So what is the subsidized-dollar-per-person-mile of our highways, and – given the assumed ridership and maximum capacity of a TGV line (speed, distance, safety factors) – what will be the subsidized-dollar-per-person-mile of the proposed TGV line?

  • dB

    This is an excellent post, Paul. Perhaps Del Mastro became interested in passenger rail during the ill-fated plan to run commuter rail from Toronto to his riding, via Flaherty’s riding. Whatever the reason, it’s quite welcome for the reasons you outline.

  • http://worthwhile.typepad.com Stephen Gordon

    Oh yes, here’s another thing that bothers me. Just who will benefit the most from this project? Poor, marginalised people whose only dream is to one day travel from Toronto to Montreal (or from Montreal to Toronto) by train at a speed that’ll get them to their destination an hour or two faster than the available alternatives?

    Or would it be the people who already have the means to make the trip, who are going anyway, and would like the whole process to be a little bit more convenient?

  • http://worthwhile.typepad.com Stephen Gordon

    And why the heck is a MP from Peterborough flying this kite? Does he think that the train will stop in his home town?

    • Paul Wells

      My understanding is that Del Mastro was speaking as the head of the rail caucus, prompted by the reporter (i.e. he wasn’t shopping the high-speed-rail thing around, he was asked what’s new over at the rail caucus and he mentioned this). (And no, I didn’t know there’s a rail caucus either.) So his motives seem pure.

      As to Stephen Gordon’s question about why public money should be spent on such a project simply because it represents “neat stuff,” if it’s any consolation, Gordon is clearly on what has, historically, been the winning side of this argument. As chair of the Press Gallery’s neat-stuff caucus, I can report that “why bother?” almost always trumps “Hey, let’s!”. Canada remains mercifully empty of neat stuff.

      • http://worthwhile.typepad.com Stephen Gordon

        Well, this isn’t France, you know. We don’t give points for style.

      • madeyoulook

        Mercifully empty of neat stuff like an abundance of fresh water and democracy and whatever remains of a free market economy and pretty decent worldwide respect and “G7″ status and petroleum reserves and two major world languages and the Junior Hockey champions and our most protective ally being the most powerful nation on Earth and a standard-of-living for the poor that would be coveted by the well-to-do in many other places and seasons that change and a sane banking system and affordable telecommunication and places of stunning natural beauty and plenty of room for more people who want to join us and freedom of religious belief and the rule of law and…

        • Ti-Guy

          and our most protective ally being the most powerful nation…

          What? Who?

          When has that otiose latrine ever gone to bat for us?

        • Ti-Guy

          Oh, by the way, MYL. Nitpicker!

        • Jack Mitchell

          Is it just me, MYL, or are you fighting the good fight?

          • madeyoulook

            Least I can do for the country I love, Jack.

            (said with complete sincerity, ok, and maybe because it might also send a shiver down a few well-deserved spines…)

    • Ti-Guy

      So you’ve been wrong for the last decade and your chosen profession has been revealed as nothing more scientific than astrology. No need to go on so.

    • Sisyphus

      I suspect Deano’s talking about it because he overheard Jim Flaherty snickering about it in a washroom at some point.

      And maybe he got a Lionel set for Christmas.

  • http://ragingranter.blogspot.com Raging Ranter

    Airlines can’t make money as it is (well one of them can’t anyways) so why shouldn’t the government subsidize even more competition and create even more losses? Sounds like a win-win situation to me. Perhaps even another special tax on airline tickets to help pay for high-speed rail links is in order. If we carry the idea far enough, we can bankrupt both major airlines and people will need to take trains, and it will be a smashing success.

  • http://ragingranter.blogspot.com Raging Ranter

    How about we build decent coast-to-coast highways (i.e. actual freeways) first?

    • Ti-Guy

      How much does one cloverleaf cost again?

      • http://ragingranter.blogspot.com Raging Ranter

        I’m guessing cheaper than building toy bullet trains that no one would use.

        • Scott M.

          Again, where do you get the idea that no one would use the bullet trains???

  • Ti-Guy

    We need to send the neoliberals to re-education camps. They’ve screwed up everything in the last 30 years, after all.

    • Steve Wart

      What’s a neoliberal? Is that like a neokeynsian?

  • Marty

    new heat pump and mid efficiency furnace: 8700 bucks.
    R30 attic insulation and draft sealing: 1600 bucks
    new sliding door and front entranceway: 3000 bucks
    new windows: 7000 bucks
    gas bill: 18 bucks a month, down from 130.

    doing something more for the environment than naming my dog Kyoto: 20300 bucks.

    warm, non drafty house for my 1 and 3 year olds, priceless… well scratch that, still twenty thousand bucks, but you get the picture.

    ps My vote is for a high speed train from Vancouver to Victoria, we on the West Coast are all about expensive well meaning boondoggles

    pps Montreal and Vancouver are the two real cities, Toronto hasn’t had a turn at it’s over budget Olympics yet…

From Macleans