Inkless Wells

Inkless Wells

Paul Wells on all the latest out of Ottawa—along with the occasional post about jazz. Follow Paul on Twitter: @InklessPW

Afghanistan/Pakistan: Death from above 2009

by Paul Wells on Sunday, March 22, 2009 11:15pm - 8 Comments

U.S. military has massively expanded use of remote-piloted drone attacks within Pakistan since last autumn, and especially since Obama’s inauguration.

Problem: Some analysts say drone attacks are really, really bad counterinsurgency, because they leave the innocent with the guilty to die in the rubble, and grief and anger are an excellent recruiting tool for extremism. That argument is well canvassed in this piece.

But in fact, an understanding of the nasty blowback airstrikes can provoke seems to be driving some of the strategic thinking in Afghanistan. This piece says one reason Obama has sent 17,000 incremental troops to Afghanistan, and may well send more, is that more troops will “enable U.S. and allied commanders to reduce their reliance on the airstrikes and Special Forces raids that have inflicted growing civilian casualties…”

Is it possible that the efforts of all those freshly-arriving U.S. soldiers in Afghanistan could be undone by resentments fuelled by all those U.S. airstrikes in Pakistan? I doubt it’s possible to know the answer, but I still think the question is worth raising. Obama is to unveil his new Afghanistan strategy this week or next. Which is Yet Another reason why it would have been handy to have the banks fixed by now, if that were possible.

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  • http://coyne kc

    Memo to nato: Pastun/Afganis have large extended families, both in Afganistan and Pakistan. And as you know bad news travels fast! What’s the betting aerial assaults in Pakistan are under a different command structure than those in Afganistan?

    • http://coyne kc

      Afghanistan…why doesn’t Maclean’s have a built in spell check.:)

      • archangel

        kc — switch to Firefox — it DOES have spell check. Best of luck.

  • Wascally Wabbit

    The optics are not good for Obama – and optics are the applicable word.
    I heard a radio discussion the other day from someone (I think on CBC Radio One’s foreign correspondents’ program Dispatches) who was talking about these drones. At least some of them are controlled from some base in Colorado – and often the technicians doing the controlling have never been within the territorial boundaries of the country where they are deploying their weapons.
    Makes it all a kind of macabre video game – and while we condemn the Taliban for hiding away and deploying weapons to catch anyone that has the bad luck to be driving by….at least they can claim they are defending their territory from “foreign invaders”….
    What’s our excuse?

  • Lord Kitchener’s Own

    The problem of course for the Americans is that they can’t (/won’t) go in to Pakistan. So, if you want to kill bad guys in Pakistan, you have to use unmanned drones (I’m not certain, but I don’t think the Americans will even fly (i.e. manned planes) over Pakistan.

    So, while it’s true that the air strikes might undermine the work being done in Afghanistan, the comparison the Americans have to make is “do the civilian casualties of air strikes undermine the mission in Afghanistan more than allowing the Taliban and al Qaeda to have a safe haven in Pakistan from which to operate?”

    And I think that’s a much more complicated question.

  • http://carnewsandviews.com jwl

    Obama might delay the announcement of his Afghan strategy:

    “Sharp divisions have emerged over the ethics and effectiveness of paying militants to lay down their arms. President Barack Obama had hoped to unveil his plans for a troop surge well before the Nato summit on April 5, but may now have to wait until the meeting in Strasbourg … According to a Washington source close to the deliberations, the president has received conflicting views about the thorny issue of offering financial inducements to the Taliban … They favour a system of inducements targeting “moderate” elements of the militia, which have made gains against Nato forces in the south and east of the country. But advisers in the White House and Pentagon are unhappy about dealing with the Taliban because of its associations with Osama bin Laden and the 9/11 attacks, and favour a tougher military approach to pacify areas before reconstruction work begins in earnest.” Daily Telegraph, March 23 ’09

  • CAPS

    Rory Stewart is not at all impressed with any plan that calls for increased troop levels and longer lenghts of stay in Afghanistan and his is a voice that should very much be heeded, http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1823753,00.html.

  • http://myempireofdirt.wordpress.com/ epimetheus

    That is a very cool titular reference, Mr Wells.
    You have earned yourself some youth cred (which, as a young person, I am entitled to distribute).

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