John Geddes

John Geddes

John Geddes writes on politics and policy, with occasional reporting and comment on arts and culture.

Kevin Lynch tells us about policy making in testing times

by John Geddes on Friday, March 27, 2009 6:26pm - 4 Comments

“In this age of instantaneous communications also comes the demand for instantaneous responses. The 24/7 multi-channel communications universe now expects 24/7 responses from governments, public services, businesses, from whomever,” he said. “It fundamentally raises the issue of whether the speed of public policy making process can possibly match the expectation for the speed of communications responses.”

Indeed, this is an important point. But this is a matter of policy makers, including politicians, not succumbing to the demand for constant messaging. The point is not that today’s more insistent electronic information culture forces decision makers to think faster, but rather that all the buzz tries to suck them into talking before they’ve thought enough. These are two different things.

Lynch’s third point, that Canada’s policy makers have much to be proud of, is also a claim that I think needs to be considered closely. His prime example is everybody else’s too: stolid financial services regulation. Yes, Canada’s banks appear to be better regulated than those in the U.S. or Britain. This is well documented. Yet, along with sound regulation, there’s the nagging fact that the Liberal government blocked Canadian banks from merging with one another in 1998.

Had the mergers been allowed to go ahead, a couple of big Canadian banks with bloated global aspirations would likely have been far more exposed today than is our comfy banking oligarchy, of which now find ourselves so fond and thankful. But did Jean Chretien and Paul Martin, or their policy advisers, see the long-term financial-market pitfalls of bigger banks? I don’t think so. They saw the short-term political pitfalls of letting a lot of local bank branches close as banks combined forces. They anticipated consumers getting mad as their range of banking choices shrank.

The economic and financial policy elite, as least as I remember it, pretty much embraced the idea of bank mergers, arguing that Canada needed huge banks to compete with the Americans, Japanese, and Europeans. They wanted staid Toronto to feel more like swinging London. These days, of course, Toronto’s caution suits us just fine. But that’s thanks, at least in part, to crass political calculation, not lofty public-policy insight.

So Lynch’s talk raised more questions for me than it answered. He did not, at least I heard him, say much to back up his assertion that the world’s problems are more global and less domestic than ever.

He didn’t convince me that policy makers need to be smarter than ever, except perhaps in the narrow sense that they probably have to be more disciplined about not pronouncing on issues until they’ve thought things through.

And on his point that Canada is lucky to have such good policy makers, I assume that’s true, but I would have been more interested to hear something from him—given that he leaned so heavily on the banking example—about how pure policy considerations and messier political interests can come together.

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  • leigh

    I’d be more inclined to agree with your argument that it was crass political considerations that made Chretien and Martin prevent the banks from merging if it wasn’t for the fact that banks had been complaining for more than a century about the rigorous regulatory structure they operated in. While it is very easy to be cynical nowadays on this ocassion I believe the previous Liberal governments deserve credit for preventing the mergers. This is especially so given, as you say, the economic elites were clamouring to be allowed to play in the ‘big leagues’. But it also must be remembered that there were commentators who warned about unfettering banking regulations.

    • http://coyne kc

      I’m inclind to agree with you, but then i’m a liberal. If however JG is correct that does raise some troubling pts. It would mean that the lbs lucked out. Say, for instance the merger had been a good idea. Then about now we might be saying that the libs allowed expediency to trump good policy – pretty much what the Harper govt did over the gst. The key difference would be that we now know the cons knew better. It all starts to sound like a game of blind mans bluff to me – unless of course we choose to believe that Chretien & Martin knew exactly what they were doing all along.

  • James Connors

    I am struck, from your posting, that I cannot decide whether Mr. Lynch should be criticised for simply being a Humphrey Appleby or whether he should be criticised as being no Humphrey Appleby at all.

    Either way I think the root of the matter is the electorate is in a mood to demand something more from politicians than [partisan to a fault] politics and something more from public servants than invisibility.

    Perhaps I too am jaded but I’ll suggest that Kevin Page is a role model for the future. In difficult circumstances he seems to think the most important thing for him to do is the job he was hired for. Apparently that means taking on powerful forces that have opportunity and motive to hobble or destroy the office that was created for Mr. Page occupy. The courage of his convictions may well see his career and the PBO marginalised. If that were to occur, however, I think Mr. Page deserves credit for creating and engaging in a legitimate debate on an important and fundamental aspect of Canadian democracy; do Canadians desire to be informed by the best and most accurate financial information that it is possible to gather, analyse and distribute. Or, not?

    To return to Mr. Lynch, I’ll further suggest that policy in the absence of data and analysis, said data and analysis being communicated to Canadians, is just politics and not government. And that always ends in pitchforks, torches and tears all ’round.

  • conservative

    “It’s really about interconnectedness amongst individuals, amongst firms, amongst groups, among nations, amongst universities, researchers, you name it,” he said. “It’s a incredible network of connections that extend well past an historic type of relationship. And the complexity and the pervasiveness of it is often underestimated or misunderstood or just totally ignored until suddenly it can’t be anymore.”

    Well said, Mr. Lynch, whose membership in the Rideau Club was sponsored by the Canadian Bankers association, and who, as Clerk of the Privy Council, may have had a hand in recent decisions such as $75 billion mortgage swaps which benefited banks. I sure feel confident that the peoples’ interests are being looked after knowing he’s in the mix.

From Macleans