In many respects, we are replaying the original fight over the implementation of the GST, more than (sigh) 20 years ago. Then as now, what was being discussed was not a new tax, but the reform of an existing tax. Then as now, the critics’ loudest complaint, that the tax would apply to a broader range of goods and services than before, was in fact one of its strengths: the broader the tax, the fewer the exceptions, the more people make choices based on the real costs and benefits of different products and investments, rather than gaming the tax code.
Then as now, the more legitimate concern, that sales taxes impose a heavier relative burden on the poor, was more than offset by the provision of beefed-up tax credits to low-income households. And then as now, the opposition shamelessly demagogued the issue. It was the federal Liberals then. It’s the Ontario Conservatives now. As, at various times in between, it was also the federal Conservatives and provincial Liberals: each has campaigned against the GST, or its provincial equivalent, when it suited them.
It isn’t as if there’s much division among expert opinion on this. Economists are as unanimous as they can be, not only on the merits of consumption taxes over income tax, but of value-added taxes like the GST over retail sales taxes. Ontario’s current sales tax, because it applies to many (though not all) of the inputs that businesses use, cascades through the various stages of production. Some of this eventually falls upon the consumer, haphazardly. But much of it amounts to a tax on investment: you know, the stuff that makes economies grow.
By eliminating this tax on inputs, via the GST’s familiar system of input credits, the Howe analysts estimate that harmonization alone would cut nearly 11 points off Ontario’s effective tax rate on new investment by 2012. It’s the single most positive thing the province could do to improve its competitive position. But what is that, compared to the delights of shouting “tax grab”?
It isn’t as if the provincial Tories themselves are unaware of this. But they calculate that the voters are too stupid to understand the arguments, and the media too lazy to explain it to them. Damn them for their cynicism, but damn all of us if they’re right.
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