Absolute power?

Why Ontario’s rush to pour billions into green energy is fraught with risk and could leave consumers on the hook

by Chris Sorensen on Saturday, June 5, 2010 6:23pm - 177 Comments

NATHAN DENETTE / CP

In Ontario, the frenzied rush to “green” the province’s power grid has reached a new level. It’s now possible for farmers to erect a brand new barn without paying a dime. The barns are being offered by a company called Hay Solar and come equipped with a sloping rooftop covered with solar panels. By selling the power generated by the solar panels to the grid, Hay Solar figures each barn is capable of generating enough revenue to let the company pay off the pricey $750,000 buildings (solar panels are expensive) in 20 years, plus taking a cut for its services. After that, the barns and the solar arrays belong to the farmers.

James Mann, the president of Hay Solar and Mann Engineering, one of the country’s largest solar companies, says it’s an opportunity to kill two birds with one stone by satisfying farmers’ immediate demand for more storage space while finding a new market for the company’s cumbersome solar arrays, which offer a potentially attractive revenue stream but require a daunting up-front investment. While he’s convinced his business model will fly (350 barns have already been promised, but none have yet been built), even he admits the pitch sounds a little out there. “When you give a free barn away, people think you’re from Mars.”

The truth is that companies like Hay Solar would never see the light of day if Ontario hadn’t decided it was prepared to pump billions into green energy. The province has so far approved thousands of green energy contracts, ranging in size from a few solar panels on the roof of a family home to industrial-scale projects, in which they agree to pay several times the going electricity rate for periods of up to 40 years. It has also signed a controversial $7-billion deal with a consortium led by South Korean giant Samsung that includes a massive investment in wind and solar electricity. The hope is that all the spending will seed a new green energy industry in Ontario (all projects must source a percentage of materials locally), creating some 50,000 new jobs in the process.

But so far, the rush to a so-called green economy seems fraught with risk. While the thought of powering homes and businesses with power harnessed from the sun and wind is appealing, it’s currently far more expensive and less reliable than conventional sources, which means consumers and taxpayers will be the ones left on the hook—for decades—if the experiment doesn’t work out. Even a former head of the Ontario Power Authority (OPA), Jan Carr, has said the ongoing green rush has led to “a largely ad hoc approach to the selection and investment in power generation technologies that will unnecessarily increase the cost of electricity with far-reaching economic and social effects.”

To date, the OPA has granted conditional approval for more than 694 long-term renewable energy contracts under its Feed-In-Tariff, or FIT, program (another 3,360 conditional offers have been made to homeowners under the government’s MicroFIT program). The FIT contracts include 184 large-scale projects capable of producing 2,500 megawatts of renewable energy, enough to power an estimated 600,000 homes. Most of the contracts are for solar, on-shore wind or waterpower projects and, in most cases, offer guaranteed rates—ranging from 13.5 cents a kilowatt hour for wind to 44.3 cents a kilowatt hour for large ground-based solar arrays—over a 20-year period. By contrast, the market price of a kilowatt hour rarely tops 4.5 cents.

It’s an incredible deal for green power companies, but not necessarily for consumers. By some calculations, the average residential power bill is already set to climb as much as 25 per cent, or $330, annually over the next few years and, once new green energy projects come online, prices could rise even further. Why is Ontario willing to pay such a steep price to go green? For starters, Premier Dalton McGuinty has pledged to eliminate dirty coal-fired power plants by 2014 and alternative energy sources are needed to fill the gap. Coal-fired plants now produce about 15 per cent of the province’s electricity. The rest comes from nuclear (40 per cent), natural gas (25 per cent) and hydro (18 per cent). At the same time, the government is hoping that its requirement for “made in Ontario” technologies will help make the province North America’s leader in green jobs and manufacturing.

But critics say it’s a mistake to link policy goals like emissions reduction and job creation directly to the province’s electricity system, which has historically—and sensibly—been charged with providing power to consumers as cheaply and reliably as possible. “Now, under the Green Energy Act, none of that matters,” says Tom Adams, a Toronto-based energy consultant, adding that renewable energy sources need to be able to compete economically if they are going to have a meaningful impact. “The customer just doesn’t exist on the green energy landscape.”

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  • http://intensedebate.com/people/PhilCP Phil

    Not sure how the insured value of the Twin Towers is relevant.

    • http://intensedebate.com/people/AnatoliN AnatoliN

      I brought up Twin Tower as a matter of scale.

      If insurance industry believes that damage associated with a terrorist attack on a single building is worth $3 bln, than I find it hard to believe that damage incurred by a nuclear plant collapse by whatever reason may be as little as $10 bln. These numbers are just out of proportion, given the long term effects of nuclear contamination.

      • http://intensedebate.com/people/PhilCP Phil

        Let me come at this from a different angle, if you will.

        What are your thoughts about Three Mile Island? Relative to the worst case at that facility, how bad was the actual incident? What payouts were required as a result of that incident? Other?

  • http://intensedebate.com/people/AnatoliN AnatoliN

    Attention of moderator and other readers of this discussion. This is purely off topic, but has to be said here nonetheless, I believe.

    Let me bring to your attention that debater 'seth' has in my opinion repeatedly crossed the line of civilized debate by calling me personally and position I support various unpleasant names. Here are some quotations from seth's posts:
    Dolton and his silly green nitwits
    More greenwash nonsense
    You are just spewing more nonsense
    you renewable nuts
    your silly renewables

    I believe such behavior is unacceptable, unsuitable for Maclean's and should be dealt with accordingly. I respect all opinions, do not believe anybody is entitled to such vulgarities.

  • Nick Bird

    We are all being fooled, because humans are causing climate change, increased numbers arriving in this cold energy hungry country will continue to make it worse. We may need to keep or resurrect the coal plants after all. Gas, oil and high grade nuclear fuel supplies will diminish soon, and so will the food supply since we build homes and windmills on the diminishing supply of farm land. Population growth in other lands will consume our imported food before we can get it. Good luck to the future!

  • Daj

    The answer to the energy crisis is so simple it hurts:

    Instead of scrambling to get more, use less.

    • Ron

      Amen to that …went to the metal recyclers the other day…lots of good usable stuff being crushed to make new good usable stuff…mind blowing.

  • Daj

    When the government (we the taxpayers) subsidize wind and solar corporations, we simply make the executives of the wind and solar companies rich and subsidize their bonuses.

    I would rather the government stopped all subsidies to wind and solar companies (big business) and provided subsidies to home owners so that home owners could add a few solar panels and a small wind turbine on their roofs.

    The wind and solar companies still sell panels, farmland is preserved, and individuals accept responsbility for conserving energy and using alternative sources of energy.

    In essence, the government is simply giving us our own money back with the provision that we use it to conserve energy. This is preferable to giving it to corporations who will turn around and charge us more for electricity.

  • http://intensedebate.com/people/HomeEnergySolns HomeEnergySolns

    Isn't Maclean's anti-green power stance a bit wayward considering the looming problems in Canada's electric supply? Where is the new electricity a growing Ontario needs going to come from? How does Ontario transition to more carbon free electricity?

    Consider the advantages of solar: It's on roofs, close to where it's being used. No transmission issues and no vulnerable large scale generators. Its is a reliable source – not hourly, but annually. Of course its GHG free, silent and rarely do people complain about how it looks. Solar should not be dismissed because its not 100% of the cure. But it could be 10%.

  • http://intensedebate.com/people/HomeEnergySolns HomeEnergySolns

    Ontario's solar program is a good thing. Its the start of a new way to deliver electricty that is clean and local, and lets consumers choose the source of their power.

    Is solar electricity more expensive? Today, yes, but PV system costs are dropping at 5% per year. In Ontario's climate solar generated kilowatt hours will be cheaper than the retail rates in about a decade. Solar programs like the one in Ontario will accelerate the price decreases and shorten the time to grid parity – where solar kilowatt-hours are cheaper than coal and natural gas.

    Kudos to the province of Ontario for taking positive steps to address electricity supply and climate change. Waiting for "research" to solve our problems is the Ostrich approach. I want my kids to live in a better Canada, with secure, clean energy, and Ontario's program shows some progress towards that.

  • ENERGEN 111

    I'm in the Green Biz…
    I still think that its easier to save a Kilo-watt {KW} of Energy, Than it is to Generate a KW of Energy…
    Say what you like, but I think that Solar is GREAT if you live in the Middle of no-where….But a GRID-TIE is for Idiots only…
    There are so many little details that the average person doesn't understand about Solar Power…example, Solar Panels are rated in DC Peak Power, {At High noon, on a perfect sunny day…Also remember that the DC Power has to be INVERTED to AC Power…There are many other LOSES that have to be calculated into a Solar System…

    • Jaijai11

      Expand on your position. Solar arrays in Northrn Ontario, who are we kidding. Snow and more snow, where is the sun at peak hours? Who will clean off huge arrays placed on valuable land that can be farmed. How much will be produced during these severe weather periods. Will solar be reliable then? Our government knows how to treat their votors. Scam them into thinking this is a great thing they are doing for us. I agree with you that changing our attitudes and recognizing we have to conserve what precious resources we have is a good start. Lets focus on this first then maybe we can make decisions that are effective for our future generations.

      • ENERGEN 111

        I've only been in the Solar Biz for roughly 1/4 of a Century…I think that I have a pretty good understanding of the Potential of a Solar System…
        People who try and encourage others to join the Grid-tie systems are either misinformed or they have their own motives…
        The NREL- US Government Energy Dept says that a 1 KW system is really a 770 watt system… I think that the same system is more like a 600 watt system in Northern Ontario….
        Were was everyone last winter…SNOW, CLOUDS, and more CLOUDS…
        In all the years that I have been selling Solar Systems I don't have one customer that can run his Refrigerator for 12 months a year, without starting their Generator…
        To date I have Hundreds of Customers….{Cottages Off Grid- In The Bush} Not one of them has come to me and requested a GRID-TIE System… ;-}

  • Stewart Walkden

    I have 7 grandchildren and as a rational, informed person I know our planet is in trouble, there is just too many of us on the earth to use it as we have been. In an extremely short time greed is taking the future from my grandchildren, there children, there children’s children—–. Articles like this give ammunition to people whose aim is to keep things as they are so they can be comfortable. Our grandchildren will be dealing with the extreme storms and droughts, smog days, clean water shortages, climate refugees, no healthy places to fish or grow food. If you think paying more for clean energy, and taking the subsidies away from oil and other fossil fuels is too uncomfortable PLEASE TRY looking at life through your grandchildren’s eyes when they are your age.

    Stewart Walkden

  • http://www.salesstars.net Stuart Armstrong

    Rates payers (=VOTERS) are drilling down into Green Energy "indirect taxes" used to fund renewable R&D etc..
    http://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=c48…

    regards, Stuart

  • Solar PV

    Hey Energen 111….. if you're in the GREEN BIZ then how come you have such a differing opinion between OFF GRID and GRID TIE systems. Sure, being off grid can provide a great feeling of pride and of total energy independence. I'm in the Renewable Energy business and have been since 1996. I applaud those who are off grid or have a desire to be but to say grid tie is for idiots doesn't make sense. I have microFIT clients currently exporting an average of 50 kWh per day. That works out to about $40 /day with an annual average of around $900 per month. Are you telling me these people are idiots because they're making money ? These grid tie systems aren't designed without first factoring for system losses. Neither are OFF GRID systems for that matter ! By the way….solar panels are rated based on a solar insolation value of 1000W/m2 @ 25 degrees C. Also know as Standard Test Condition (STC). Not when the clock strikes noon at the OK corral.

    • Wolfclan

      I've been in the Renewable Energy Biz for the last 24years…
      It’s still easier to save a Kilo-Watt, than it is to generate a Solar Kilo-Watt…
      You can save more energy with a $10.00 timer than you can Generate with a $10.000.00 Solar System…Wolfsan

      Hmmmm. I wonder why of all the hundreds of customers that I have provided Solar System to, {so that they could have Electricity at their OFF GRID Cottages} never consider putting Solar Systems on their Grid-Tied Homes… :-}
      The truth is… You would be lucky to break even in twenty years…Oh ya,That is if your system works as efficiently as some "Dreamers or Schemers" tell you it will…

      My interpretation of “FARADAY’S LAW”, “Simplified” YOU CAN’T MAKE CHICKEN SOUP OUT OF CHICKEN $#1T … :-}

  • http://www.naturespowers.ca Susie

    This is Ridiculous! There was absolulely nothing rushed about this solar program….they've been working on developeing this plan for almost 5years!!!!!!! The Renewable energies are clean & SAFE….can't say that about nuclear (remember Chernobyl) or the cost of the oil spills, not to mention we're pumping huge volumes of mass (gas & oil) out of the earth and putting nothing back,.doesn't it make sense that some of the "global warming" disasters are actually caused by the earth's changing centre. The price of solar panels has dropped 50% in the past 5 years, making it more cost effective, and the more development the lower the prices will fall…. Right now and for the past 5 years that I know of, we've paying US energy companies more than $1.50 per kW at peak periods……solar is during PEAK periods…..so the amount of the payment for solar is NOT going to cause skyrocket power prices….the skyrocketing prices come from CEO's that make way toooo much money and have ridiculous severence package for doing a crap job! With many small power plants the utlilities are also saving on line loss.

  • Heather

    Wouldn't it be wonderful if we could get an analysis of the true cost of coal and nukes? then we would be seeing the whole picture, complete with Ontario Hydro execs and employees generous salaries, the costs of building and setting up nuclear plants, dealing with the waste and then, in the end, mothballing the facilities; add in the costs to our healthcare system to deal with the aftereffects of coal… you get the picture…. this article leads the reader to believe that current electricity costs merely 4.5 cents per kh. I want to see how much it would cost if all the taxpayer subsidies were removed. I suspect the numbers would be very different, then and I don't know about anyone else but if my taxes are going to subsidize anything, I'd rather know that my grandchildren won't have to deal with the mess down the road!

  • K.D.Night Conserve

    (Part one)
    If everyone in the world could just take a few seconds to do the right thing. Example-Shut down all none use items for the day by unplugging or hit that off on your power bars. We all in this life have a part to play in conserving our planted for the future generations. Never mind about what is the next person doing? It is all of us on this earth that are responsible and make this earth a better place for future generations. With out that folks there will be no future as we we all had in the good old days which maybe that is where the problems all began. To be con't Part 2

  • K>D Night Conserve

    (part 2)
    Our children's children right now are feeling the sting of the power pinch on their dinner tables and in their homes when the heating is at a minimum during our cold Canadian winter months. due to our high energy cost. I have heard that there are two people from Australia who have created free power generator that works on magnets. I researched it and wow I would love that for my place. They want to make this accessible to all. Now this would be great for our country as well. They have patent for it. Why can't each of us have for our own homes and disconnect from hydro all together and really save a bundle of bucks and also improve our environment.
    To be con't Part 3

  • K.D.Night Conserve

    (Part four con't)
    We are the Caretakers of our own planet. So lets take care of it. Must be a doooooer. Get it done. Don't wait for next person ..take your stand today and JUST DO WHAT U CAN EACH DAY> Before we all know it , will start to pay off in long run. Big changes begin to happen with each small step when many show just how much we love our Mother Earth. I know this is long blog but after seeing my hydro bill go from a 22 KWH used to 74 from one year to the next this is just ludicrous as I have in one year turned off all lights gotten new bulbs bought all new energy efficient machines and don't do any laundry at home anymore ..(Part 5 con't )

  • K.D. Night Conserve

    (Part 5 )
    I have unplugged both TVs sets permanently only do vacuum after 7 in evening twice a week & on weekends. have all essential appliances unplugged also until I need to use. So you tell me why my hydro bill jumped by 52 kwh more as I am not home half the time and nothing is in use. (part 6 2 be con't)

  • K.D.Night conserve

    (Part 6)
    Smart meters are here to make us pay stupid. I just can't see why bills are so high. I was told one of my bills was misread by over 100 dollars well folks that was wrong as that bill was over $200 from the previous year plus I have been conserving all my energies so why the big bill. ??? Well guess it will be Kraft dinner cooked on the bbq for this month. Stove unplugged for the week. So why am I ,who saves, saves, saves, on my hydro being billed triple from the year before. (part 7 con't)

  • K.D. Night conserve

    (part 7)
    Kind of ridiculous if you ask me. Am I paying for someone else's bill as well? Can't be as lives in country with no neighbors. My friend lives in city with a three story house uses all her appliances air conditioner and uses her washer and dryer on a regular basis. Her bill was half of mine. Does that make sense I ask you? It seems the less power I use the more they charge me for the Delivery and Regulatory charges. So see folks it is a vicious circle.(part 8 to be con't)

  • K.D.Night Conserve

    (Part 8)
    If I have been conserving my energy each month should I not be given a bonus of some type. Like savings somewhere? I can't see it in my pocket book. No wonder why people just give up with it all at this conserving energy. I won't let that stop me though. I will keeping on doing my part as one day I know we will all get rewarded for my efforts. And I am not talking about the energy companies rewarding us. It will be Mother Earth and the bounty we will get from herWell guess it will be Kraft dinner cooked on the bbq for this month . If I have been conserving my energy each month should I not be given a bonus of some type, like a savings somewhere? I can't see it in my pocket book. (part 9 to be con't)

  • K.D.Night Conserve

    Part 9 Final blog
    No wonder why people just give up with it all at this conserving energy. I won't let that stop me though. I will keeping on doing my part as one day I know we will all get rewarded for my efforts. And I am not talking about the energy companies rewarding us. It will be Mother Earth and the bounty we will get from her. Thanks for reading all comments are welcome.

  • Wolfclan

    My interpretation of “FARADAY’S LAW”, “Simplified” YOU CAN’T MAKE CHICKEN SOUP OUT OF CHICKEN $#1T … :-}

  • http://www.haysolar.com David Zwarych

    Thank you to all the Ontario Farmers who have submitted leases for a free HaySolar barn – over 200 so far. We are now opening up Phase 2 for another 200 – 250 barns for 2011/2012.

  • Wolfclan

    It looks like some of these people that are posting here are selling "Grid-Tie Solar Systems"
    I sell "Off Grid Solar Systems" only…
    25 years experience tells me what works and what doesn't work…
    Three other Solar dealers in Sudbury, {that I respect} don't promote Grid-Tie Systems…They also don't have any Solar Panels on their Homes…
    The last three months has been very Sunlight negative… and you can expect much less as we proceed through the winter…Even if we have the odd sunny day…the system will not be generating power unless you get up on the roof and clean off your panels…
    Again, You can save more Kilowatts with a Ten dollar timer than you can generate with a ten thousand dollar Solar System…Wolfclan

  • Wolfclan

    On Saturday, Nov 28/10, I drove by 5 large { Commercial} Rooftop Solar Systems…at that time the sun was shining a bit…But guess what…All of the systems were not generating power because they were covered with Ice and Snow…Those systems are going to have a VERY POOR WINTER performance…
    Enough for today.. Your Solar Buddy, Wolfclan

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