Sometimes a gaffe is more than a gaffe

POTTER: The comedy of Clement failing basic economics aside, it’s scary that he doesn’t understand his file

by Andrew Potter on Friday, July 16, 2010 9:20am - 0 Comments

Blair Gable/Reuters

Since he became Prime Minister 4½ years ago, Stephen Harper has tormented the press gallery with an almost complete lockdown on government communications, with even cabinet ministers informed that the public is not entitled to their opinions. The assumption has always been that he is just a weapons-grade control freak, but a pair of recent exchanges suggest an alternative theory: that Harper knows something about the ideological leaning of his cabinet that he’d prefer to keep quiet.

Last week, Minister of Industry Tony Clement was given the task of defending the government’s decision to eliminate the mandatory long-form version of the census and move those questions to an optional survey. According to Clement, the long census—which asks questions about respondents’ ethnicity, education and income—is “heavy-handed” and intrusive. Clement mounted his libertarian high horse: “You try to limit the amount of state coercion that you have, you try to limit the intrusiveness of government activities, and that’s the balance that we’ve struck,” he said.

Imagine his surprise, then, to find that some of the people most upset by the decision were members of the business community and economists, all of whom stressed the importance of the census data to the crafting of public policy. Clement then took his case to the Twittersphere. In response to one follower who argued that making the long form of the census voluntary will skew the data by eliminating the statistical randomness of the survey, Clement answered, “Wrong. Statisticians can ensure validity w larger sample size.” This was promptly pounced on by Laval economist Stephen Gordon, who corrected the minister: “Wrong. Large samples can’t fix sample selection biases.”

Clement’s statistical illiteracy is so profound it gives one vertigo. The notion that simply making the sample bigger can’t fix a skewed sample is something undergraduates learn in first-year classes, yet is somehow beyond the mental grasp of a senior minister of a G8 country. And the comedic benefit of watching Clement fail first-year economics is undermined by the cold realization that he fundamentally does not understand the intellectual foundations of the files that he controls. When he is cornered by his intellectual betters, moreover, Clement’s instinct is to reach for the debating-hall comforts of cheap populism.

This exchange was really just the sequel to a previous joust from late June, when Heritage Minister James Moore gave a speech at a conference on copyright defending Bill C32, his copyright reform legislation. After his prepared remarks, he went on to warn against certain “radical extremists” who, he claimed, didn’t believe in copyright at all, and he vowed to confront these radicals in any forum.

Moore’s arguments were quickly challenged on Twitter, and—true to his promise—he found himself in a running (and very public) argument with Cory Doctorow, the Canadian cyberpunk writer and copyright activist. The main bone of contention was a provision in the bill that would give complete legal protection to “digital locks” that control the use, access and copying of works stored on your computer or device such as a Kindle or iPad. These effectively undermine the fair-use provisions in the existing copyright law, and both users and creators find them stifling.

As he lost point after point to Doctorow, Moore was reduced to uttering libertarian incantations. “Have some faith in market forces,” he wrote. “I trust the market.” “Don’t have so little faith in consumers.”

Except the entire point of copyright legislation is to limit the workings of the “free market.” Its function is to grant a state-backed monopoly over the copying of a work to the copyright holder. There are few provisions in the legal system more blatantly market-unfriendly than copyright, and it’s telling—and perhaps not entirely accidental—that a minister who doesn’t understand, or believe in, the most basic concept of copyright is in charge of it.

There are libertarians and there are libertarians. When it comes to Tony Clement and James Moore, theirs is not the principled and defensible small-government ideology of Friedrich Hayek and Milton Friedman. It’s more like the sweaty-palmed fanboy libertarianism forged by too many late nights in high school spent switching between the anti-feminist Nietszcheanism of Ayn Rand and the corporatist space fantasies of sci-fi writer Robert Heinlein.

And this bit of lame ideological freelancing by a couple of rogue (and Twitter-happy) ministers has disturbing resonances with a comment Harper himself made last year. When it comes down to it, he told the Globe and Mail, “I don’t believe any taxes are good taxes,” which is just a short way of saying he believes that literally everything the state does is bad.

Stephen Harper has spent a great deal of time fending off the accusation from the left that he harbours some hidden social-conservative agenda, whose diabolical contours will only be revealed once he achieves his much-feared majority.

But what we should really be concerned with is not that he wants to hand the controls of the ship of state over to a cabal of evangelical end-times wingnuts. Rather, the real worry is that when it comes down to it, he’d sooner see the whole thing scuttled.

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  • Tony

    Look at this:
    http://www2.macleans.ca/2009/04/28/what-canadians… – By Andrew Potter

    This is interesting:
    "The poll, by Angus Reid Strategies, surveyed 1,002 randomly selected Canadians on religion at a moment" -( I assume this poll was voluntary since it was performed by a private company – also check the sample size out 1,002 as in 1.002 representing 34 million people).

    Then Andrew states:

    Canadians like to think of their country as a model for the world of how all sorts of people can get along together. But when it comes to the major faiths other than Christianity, a new poll conducted for Maclean’s finds that many Canadians harbour deeply troubling biases. Multiculturalism? Although by now it might seem an ingrained national creed, fewer than one in three Canadians can find it in their hearts to view Islam or Sikhism in a favourable light. Diversity? Canadians may embrace it in theory, but only a minority say they would find it acceptable if one of their kids came home engaged to a Muslim, Hindu or Sikh. Understanding? There’s not enough to prevent media images of war and terrorism from convincing almost half of Canadians that mainstream Islam encourages violence"

    Now I would suggest Andrew you began that article by saying:

    "Canadians like to think of their country as a model for the world of how all sorts of people can get along together, but according a deeply flawed, horrible skewed voluntary survey with a sample size that a Grade 10 math student would laugh at…..blah blah blah

    • Tony

      This is my favorite part of your current article

      "There are libertarians and there are libertarians"

      As in: There are well-educated, renowned, powerful, and intelligent Libertarians whose work (specifically in the area free-market economics) has influenced the world. These fine gentlemen taught at the best institutions, and were both worldly in their outlook and respected among their powerful peers – both in government and business."

      THEN, there are those goddamn low-class. uneducated, childish LIBERTARIANS! who don't understand what's good for them for them – JUST FILL OUT THE FORM!!!

      Oh yes!, Mr. Potter, there are Libertarians and there are Libertarians LOL

      • Tony

        Not that it matters to me, but you; lets quote Friedrich Hayek and Milton Friedman on the importance of an involuntary government census.

        • Tony

          But no worries Andrew, you get an involuntary census out to me, and I'l write F** ** on it and send it back.

          Promise not to get the RCMP on it

  • http://intensedebate.com/profiles/tigerinexile Ben (The Tiger)

    HARPER, YOU MAGNIFICENT BASTARD! I READ YOUR SPEECHES!!!

  • http://wwwfreemail.com/frgadupont Roberta

    What are Potter's qualifications and a few of the people making such assinine comments. Clement is no dummy as Potter has tried to insinuate and Harper has more brains than all of you put together. What arrogance by you Liberal bloggers and inferior journalists from Macleans who print these garbage articles.
    Shame on your own stupidity!!!

    • Richard

      Clement is no dummy?

      Prove it.

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  • Gary

    Did anyone expect this creationist chiropractor to understand basic statistics?

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  • Jeet

    Scarey, isn't it. These morons in power and even dumber ones waiting in the wings. It is obvious the bulk of McLeans readers are left wing loons who absolutely relish being all wrapped up in Mommy Governments blanket.

  • vs1629

    Many businesses rely on TPMs to protect their investments. If we, as consumers, don't want to purchase products containg TPMs, that is our choice. Creators have the freedom to offer their works, DRM free, if they choose.

    Is Bill C-32 perfect? No, but it's a great start. Something needs to be done to protect the investments made intellectual property, and their enormous contribution to our economy and the JOBS they provide for Canadians. This reform is LONG overdue and it's about time Canada's laws are brought in line with our international trading partners.

    • Denis

      No, Bill C-32 isn't perfect, far from it. But I have yet to hear from anyone exactly how the TPM measures in C-32 will actually help protect intellectual property owners. TPM is based on cryptology, and other types of cryptographic applications work very well. TPM as applied in the copyright industry is ineffectual and cannot work, by design. If you want to know why, consult your local cryptographic expert.

      So, given that TPM can not, and will not, work as expected, can you please supply a step by step description on exactly how TPM as applied in C-32 will help copyright holders? Forget about how the way the law is phrased, allowing distributors to walk all over user and creator rights. Forget about how internally inconsistent this makes C-32. Just tell me how it will help the copyright holders. In simple, straightforward, logical terms.

      A badly formulated law is worse than no law at all.

  • Brian

    I just want to write to thank you for the gift of this sentence, Andrew.

    "It’s more like the sweaty-palmed fanboy libertarianism forged by too many late nights in high school spent switching between the anti-feminist Nietszcheanism of Ayn Rand and the corporatist space fantasies of sci-fi writer Robert Heinlein."

    It's not only expressed thoughts I've already had better than I ever could, but has also changed my life for the better.

    Thank you once again.

  • Gord

    Copyright reform is needed.

    Artists need to have their work protected from theft!

    • Denis

      Certainly Gord, I agree with you. But bill C-32, in particular the TPM measures, isn't going to help artists.

      TPM is based on cryptology, and other types of cryptographic applications work very well. TPM as applied in the copyright industry is ineffectual and cannot work, by design. If you want to know why, consult your local cryptographic expert.

      So, given that TPM can not, and will not, work as expected, can you please supply a step by step description on exactly how TPM as applied in C-32 will help artists? Forget about how the way the law is phrased, allowing distributors to walk all over user and creator rights. Forget about how internally inconsistent this makes C-32. Just tell me how it will help the artists. In straightforward, logical terms.

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  • http://intensedebate.com/profiles/saskboy saskboy

    Excellent article. It's not often you see such an accurate description of the Harper government or his incompetent/agenda-laden Ministers, from a main stream media source.

    Digital locks in the new copyright act are as you say a poison pill that removes all other rights granted to consumers in the act.

    And Clement being corrected by experts about selection bias, is a subject that may not interest many Canadians, but the most educated should certainly take notice that the government is not running things scientifically.

  • http://intensedebate.com/people/Sir_Francis Sir_Francis

    I heartily second your encomium. I think it's the best Potter piece of the last few years.

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  • http://intensedebate.com/people/Habitant Habitant

    ''I think it's the best Potter piece of the last few years''

    Agreed!

  • http://intensedebate.com/people/janicemaerose Janice Rose

    Thanks Julie. I like Dan Gardner's last comment:
    " Let the government's resolve to do the unspeakably stupid be cemented, I say. Sure it will waste money, hurt public policy, hamper business, and make us increasingly ignorant even as information becomes increasingly valuable. But I'll have lots more chances to write about statistical methodology."

    I say this "unspeakabley stupid resolve has been cemented" by Clement-head.

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