Beyond The Commons

Beyond The Commons

Aaron Wherry covers all the goings-on in and around Parliament Hill. Follow Aaron on Twitter: @aaronwherry

Specificity and necessity

by Aaron Wherry on Monday, July 26, 2010 12:44pm - 0 Comments

Mike Moffatt explains the need for a mandatory census.

Note that this problem does not go away if you increase the number of people you voluntarily survey. If Polish immigrants are less likely to respond to the survey relative to guys named Moffatt, then you’ll get the same results if you send the survey to 20% of the population of 30% of the population.

Unless the government is planning on putting questions such as race, ethnicity, income and religion into the mandatory short-form census, we’re going to have a really difficult time doing any kind of planning in heterogeneous neighbourhoods, as shown by this example.

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  • http://intensedebate.com/people/Stewart_Smith Stewart_Smith

    In the spirit of compromise that is breaking out everywhere over this issue, I now present a solution to the sticky biased sampling issue associated with the voluntary noncensus. The genius of this is that it also dramatically reduces the cost of the exercise. Simply reduce the number of Canadians polled to fewer than 100. True, the sample will still be biased, but that bias will be completely masked by the random variation.

    • http://intensedebate.com/people/Gaunilon Gaunilon

      Fewer than 30, I think, is what you want to shoot for in order to eliminate statistical significance altogether.

      • http://intensedebate.com/people/charlesh Charles H.

        Let's go with 22, thereby making it more likely than not not to have any repeating birth dates.

        • http://intensedebate.com/people/Ottawa_Centrist Ottawa_Centrist

          Let's just go with our guts; the census of one.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/charlesh Charles H.

            I don't trust my guts. What say you to just putting the possible answers on a dartboard?

  • wilson

    Mike Moffat, the ' co-owner and co-founder of Nexreg Compliance Inc., a consulting firm that specializes in environmental and health safety law'
    has his say.

    I'm sure Scott will add him to the list for yah Wherry.

    • http://intensedebate.com/people/SeanStok Sean

      So, I assume you accept the premise of his assertion (as you should), given that your only rebuttal is a poor attempt at ad hominem dismissal?

      • http://intensedebate.com/people/Stewart_Smith Stewart_Smith

        She was just pointing out that as an entrepreneur and business owner, Mike Moffat is a sterotypical, commie lovin, lazy, NDP votin, left-wing lunatic sucking at the public teat. Let's face it, he is not exactly in the demographic the Conservatives have a shot at anyway.

        • http://intensedebate.com/people/Scott_Tribe Scott_Tribe

          wilson has a lot of venom today. The new talking points from Ottawa must have arrived in her email this AM.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/charlesh Charles H.

            And, as is perhaps unsurprising, are completely contradictory when compared to last week's.

        • Mike Moffatt

          Fun fact – I was a card-carrying Conservative at the very first leadership convention in Toronto.

          Even funner fact – I voted for Tony Clement.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Thwim Thwim

            Of course, the big question is, will you do so again?

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/tobyornotoby tobyornotoby

            So you're saying this is all your fault?

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/PolJunkie PolJunkie

            "Even funner fact – I voted for Tony Clement."

            That's indeed quite funny.

        • Jan

          And I read in some leaked census forms that his parents are seniors. These people are dangerous and need to be stopped.

        • wilson

          Stewart, I am an entrepreneur and business owner.

          And I did not make any assumption on how Mr Moffat votes,
          didn't have to, he told us a few comments further down.

          He voted for Tony, and is unlikely to do so again.
          Not that it is anyones business to know that,
          he volunteered the info.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Ricard_S_Argent Richard_S_Argent

            Oh those pesky time stamps…always getting in the way of perfectly cromulent lies. :)

            (see Mr Moffat told us who he voted for AFTER your initial comment ;)

      • wilson

        What I meant is what I said.
        Add another 'expert' with skin in the game, to the list of those insisting government has no choice but to force citizens to answer ANY question the unelected statisticians want answered.

        • http://scottdiatribe.canflag.com/ Scott_Tribe

          Perhaps if the government hadn't tried to secretly trash the mandatory longform with an order-in-council:

          – with no consultations with the groups who use census data
          – with no consultations with the general public at large..
          – and with no Parliamentary debate or vote, that argument might have more bite.

          As it is, just another lame Con talking point.

          • wilson

            How dare the Government of Canada do ANYTHING without the express permission of the Liberal Party of Canada, the national media and special interest groups nationwide!!!

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Thwim Thwim

            Or at very least without the permission of the majority of Parliament.

          • wilson

            Having a majority in parliament, like the Liberal government did before sending our brave troops into combat in Afghanistan eh.
            Then there were merely lives at stake, here we have the integrity on the number of hours you spend vacuuming your 3 bedroom house!

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Thwim Thwim

            Wow.. you are desperately defensive today aren't you? I mean, usually your attempts at changing the topic are pretty obvious, but I think this one is the most blatant I've seen. It used to be I thought you were just addled.. but now I"m starting to think troll.

          • http://notquiteunhinged.blogspot.com Catelli

            Npw?!?!?

          • http://notquiteunhinged.blogspot.com Catelli

            Now!?!?!?

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Thwim Thwim

            I prefer assuming ignorance before malice. Wilson's been consistent enough that ignorance seemed the most likely.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Halo_Override Halo_Override

            Consistent in quality, but with a wildly oscillating set of details. That inclines me toward malice rather than ignorance.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Thwim Thwim

            Ah.. you see, for me what separates a troll from an idiot is that a troll doesn't actually believe what they're spouting.

            Wilson's been consistent enough in position, I see the shifting of details as a type of defence mechanism to turn aside the cognitive dissonance that must come from having invested so much of yourself into supporting something so increasingly obviously wrong.

            Kind of like the people who lined up for weeks to see Episode 1 of Star Wars and then gave it great reviews when they got out of the theatre.

        • Mike Moffatt

          What 'skin do I have in the game'?

          • wilson

            My assumption.
            Does your consulting firm represent an organization that relies on data, directly or indirectly, from the long form?

          • Mike Moffatt

            No – it does not. Neither I personally nor has my company ever purchased or used long-form census data.

          • wilson

            So not directly,
            data which does use the long form as one of it's sources?

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Stewart_Smith Stewart_Smith

            Mike, you may as well fess up. You live in a city that was planned with the help of census data. You went to school at a University that regularly makes use of the census data. You do business with companies, many of which access the census data to assist in their businesses. You have probably sought medical care at a hospital or clinic that was resourced using census data. You really like perogies and sourced where to find them WITH THE HELP OF CENSUS DATA!

          • Mike Moffatt

            It's true.. it's all true! Every last word.

            Except the perogies part.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/charlesh Charles H.

            I'm afraid that I can no longer support your argument. Any person who does not like perogies clearly doesn't have a leg to stand on.

          • Mike Moffatt

            I like them just fine. They don't like me! Food allergy.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Stewart_Smith Stewart_Smith

            That explains why you stuck with the Cons through the perogiment crisis.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Silly_Walks Silly_Walks

            Ouch.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Stewart_Smith Stewart_Smith

            I would like to personally thank Charles H. for his assistance on that one.

          • wilson

            So you have skin in the game?

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/charlesh Charles H.

            He spends time in Canada, if that's what you mean.

          • wilson

            And an admission too, that the state can not assure us that our privacy is guaranteed.
            As long as there is Wikileaks, only we can insure our privacy, by not divuging information we hold private.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Silly_Walks Silly_Walks

            Yeah, there are people just waiting for the opportunity to divulge to everybody what 'wilson' from the internets real name is, and how much she makes a year!

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Thwim Thwim

            So I take it you protest the short form census as well?

            Who gets to decide what's "private"?

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/SeanStok Sean

            You'll be happy to know there's no Stats Can file connecting your name to any data.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/SeanStok Sean

            You've yet to address the substantive assertions put forward by Moffatt. Does this mean you agree with them, or we've yet again exceeded the boundaries of your understanding on this topic?

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/tobyornotoby tobyornotoby

            Are you now, or have you ever been a user of statistics?

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/charlesh Charles H.

            Only 32.6% of the time.

        • Dale

          those damn "unelected" statisticians! Why should I bow to the authority of "unelected" tax collectors or "unelected" police officers! Eff them all!

    • Mike Moffatt

      I don't mind an ad hominen dismissal, but I don't even know what you mean. Who is Scott?

      • http://scottdiatribe.canflag.com/ Scott_Tribe

        She's referring to me..and she's referring to Aaron Wherry adding to his list of folks/orgs that oppose this dumb move. Occasionally some of us helpfully point out new orgs that oppose this for Aaron to add to his list – hence the venom from one of our native Tea Party members on this comment board.

        • Mike Moffatt

          I'd be happy to be on your list, so long as you teach me the secret handshake.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Scott_Tribe Scott_Tribe

            Not my list.. Aaron's list :) Send him a message or a tweet.

      • wilson

        Scott Tribe, a Liberal blogger, keeps this blog updated with 'add another one to the list',
        last addition was CARP.

  • Calgary Junkie

    "…if you send the survey to 20% of the population of 30% of the population."

    Shouldn't that read:

    "…if you send the survey to 20% of the population OR 33% of the population."

    Such sloppiness, tsk tsk.

    • Mike Moffatt

      Whoops.. thanks for spotting that. Will make the change.

  • lgarvin

    The more I read the justifications for the long form census, the less convinced I am that it's needed at all.

    The example Mr. Moffatt uses is baseball diamonds versus soccer fields. (Of course, I'm aware that it's an example for illustration purposes only) But the example says more about the inherent assumptions that the putative planners are making then about the need for the census. Who decided that Polish kids don't play baseball? You can have all the data in the free world but, if your premises and assumptions are faulty, then your decisions are going to be faulty.

    Why is there such an intense desire for precision of demographic data ? Why do we need to know how many Jews are in this postal code? How many Muslims in that one? What are the practical and effective government policies that are based on that data?

    I'm all for good information, but I question the value of this information in a society that is -supposedly – based on equality under the law. I think Statisticians and Researchers are always going to argue vociferously for more information but it's up to all of us to decide what information they actually need. I haven't been terribly impressed with their arguments to this point.

    • Dale

      Because we live in the 21st century, and data means efficiency. Without data, you make decisions based on inaccurate assumptions, guesswork or in this governments case, public polling data of swing riding's in suburban ontario.

      • http://intensedebate.com/people/Thwim Thwim

        Don't forget lack of local gazebos. That seemed to be an important factor not too long ago.

        • http://intensedebate.com/people/lgarvin lgarvin

          So if Tony comes up with a statistical justification for his pork projects, then you'll be cool with them?

          "As you may know, I have a sizable population of Pagans in my riding and Pagans need a place to worship too! I won't stand for this intolerance of a religious minority by the opposition and the media. Shame on them!"

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Silly_Walks Silly_Walks

            Are you implying the Government builds churches? If so, are Pagan's less deserving of one than people of another faith?

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/lgarvin lgarvin

            No, Silly, I was making a joke.

            About Tony Clement? and the pork projects in his riding? and… Ah, never mind.

      • http://intensedebate.com/people/lgarvin lgarvin

        Data means efficiency…

        Not necessarily. And, as I've argued elsewhere, political decisions always get made on the basis of influence and self-interest. In this government and in all others.

        • http://intensedebate.com/people/TJCook TJCook

          "…political decisions always get made on the basis of influence and self-interest. In this government and in all others."

          Probably true to some extend. But good data enables the accountability (before and after the fact) that can serve to limit this. If you can't measure something, you can't manage it. This data is crucial to the measurement and management of government programs – without it the operations of the government will be completely at the mercy of the politicians.

          • danby

            accountability??? what…. is this…… ac-count-a-bil-it-y that you speak of?

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Stewart_Smith Stewart_Smith

            To this government Accountability is simply an Act.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Silly_Walks Silly_Walks

            You are on fire today, sir.

          • danby

            Bravo!

            Mr Ignatieff, now that is a pillar slogan for your campaign – courtesy of Stewart Smith

            Now run with it

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/lgarvin lgarvin

            "This data is crucial to the measurement and management of government programs"

            Data on income levels, ethnicity, religion & education is crucial to holding the various levels of government to account? I think you're overstepping a litte quite a lot.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Silly_Walks Silly_Walks

            The fact that you don't understand how Government programs rely on accurate census data doesn't imply there is a problem with his argument.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/lgarvin lgarvin

            Well thanks so much for your thoughtful interjection.

            Since you're here perhaps you can explain how gov't programs rely on accurate long form census data, which is, after all, what we're discussing.

            BTW – I didn't imply there's a problem with TJ's argument, I simply disagree with it. There's a difference there.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Silly_Walks Silly_Walks

            If you really wanted, I could go through the entire long form from 2006 and give you examples as to why that data would be useful in assessing the impact (or need) of Government programs.

            I feel however, that it would be a waste of my time.

          • Jan

            I ran across an interesting one last night. The government of Nunavut has come out against dropping the mandatory long form. It uses the number of bedrooms info to measure crowding and
            address housing issues. In googling on the subject I ran into the problem of early and acute tooth decay amongst the children of Nunavut. And it's blamed on overcrowding – children's soothers dipped in honey, juice in sippy cups etc. to quiet fussy children. So, you see there are useful things to be gained even if we don't understand the point of questions.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/TJCook TJCook

            I said 'good data helps constrain politicians who set policy according to politics'.

            You said: "I didn't imply there's a problem with TJ's argument, I simply disagree with it."

            But you didn't say why. This is hardly a matter of preference – I say, categorically, that without good, empirical data we will be at the mercy of every snake oil salesman who's able to gin up a crowd.

            In what way do you disagree with that? What will our policy landscape look like when we have a patchwork of mismatched data of varying quality and try to use that to measure the effectiveness of our government?

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/lgarvin lgarvin

            You're right, I shouldn't have said I disagree with it, I should have said instead that I think it's true as an ideal but not really applicable to our situation. In fact, I think I did say that in another response but I could be mistaken about that.

            I say, categorically, that without good, empirical data we will be at the mercy of every snake oil salesman who's able to gin up a crowd.

            Yes, but data on what? I think I've stated quite a few times that good empirical data is the best of all possible things. I'm just trying to make the argument that much of the long-form data – regardless of the fact that it's good data – is not relevant data necessary for the effective operations of government.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Halo_Override Halo_Override

            Monorail! Monorail!

          • lgarvin

            Hah!

            I made the exact same reference in my initial replay and then deleted it as being too obscure and liable to detract from whatever serious point I was making at the time. My jokes seem to land with a thud around here. Good on ya!

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Halo_Override Halo_Override

            Self-restraint is more of a Shelbyville idea. :)

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/TJCook TJCook

            You were speaking in the general sense – 'policy decisions are based on politics' and I replied in the general sense – 'good data helps mitigate that.'

            Before you change gears and ask me to defend a bunch of specific examples, do you disagree with what I said?

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/lgarvin lgarvin

            I don't disagree with you at all, in theory. I'm just saying that – in practice – it's all a bunch of self-justifying rubbish. The right data is very valuable but quantity of data does not equate automatically – or even often – into good data.

            But speaking only theoretically here, I still don't see how good government decisions depend on demographic information about religion and ethnicity. To me, good governance would – always and everywhere – ignore those factors and treat all citizens as equals.

          • practical mom

            I completely agree with that. Good governance would ignore those factors and treat all citizens as equals. Equal treatment doesn't have to be identical treatment, though.

            The government has said it wants to encourage a specific community to discuss Canadian values and how honour killings don't fit in with them. It seems reasonable that knowing where, and in what numbers, this community lived would be necessary to get the discussion started. It would be ridiculous to have this discussion with all Canadians just so that we are all treated equally.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Silly_Walks Silly_Walks

            Laws treat people as equals, policy decisions can't. If you're looking to put a community center somewhere, you're not going to build it in an area with a relatively high average income.

          • practical mom

            Exactly what I meant to say :)

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/lgarvin lgarvin

            Yes, but in that circumstance, the demand proves the need, not the statistics.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/TJCook TJCook

            Ok, so in practice are you arguing that the long form should be reduced or eliminated?

            You keep talking about religion and ethnicity – is that your only issue, or are you saying (in a roundabout way) that the long form should be scrapped altogether?

          • lgarvin

            Scrapped, sort of…

            I suggested the other day that perhaps the short form should be lengthened slightly – if strictly necessary – and be kept mandatory across 100% of the population. Stuff on the long form I would eliminate is all questions about religion, ethnicity, income, housing etc. If the need to know other info is proven then a couple of additional questions on the short form won't kill anyone.

            The Cons current plan, as usual, is the worst of both worlds. It takes information that's already of questionable value, IMO, and makes it unreliable to boot. Lose-lose, so to speak.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/TJCook TJCook

            Fair enough – maybe the first step is a question-by-question review of the long form. Any question whose utility fails to meet some basic criteria is stricken. After that, the question of execution (everybody vs. a sample) should be a matter of cost vs. benefit.

            Even at that, I'm reluctant – there's historical value in showing the change in Canada's makeup over time. We can't know now how all this data will be useful. Given StatsCan's stellar record in maintaining privacy, I think there's little good reason to reduce the data collected based on uses we can currently forsee.

            Anway, I agree that "Clement's" (Harper's) so-called solution is the worst possible. Don't forget, on top of everything else, it costs much, much more.

            Love the monorail references :)

        • http://intensedebate.com/people/PolJunkie PolJunkie

          "Not necessarily."

          Unreal… No wonder these Tories can't suffer "university types."

          You don't need sound data to be efficient?!?

          This is who is running our country, folks!

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/lgarvin lgarvin

            This is who is running our country, folks!

            You only wish.

            "You don't need sound data to be efficient?!?"

            You can cut and paste a two word quotation but apparently can neither understand it, nor remember it correctly. Good luck with all that.

        • Blacktop

          Yes, but data is needed to make up the green papers that politicians pay no attention to BEFORE they lark off on some other gambit like scrappping the compulsory long form census (mandatory) and rteplace it with a long form (voluntary)ay

    • Jan

      Race and religion are standard demographic markers. Google the demographics of some countries. Without that information what are we to assume Canadians are – all white and protestant? What I find amazing about this government's concern for privacy, is it sends out Jewish holiday cards to constituents it has deemed to be Jewish. They're privately collecting data on us without even acknowledging it.

      • http://intensedebate.com/people/lgarvin lgarvin

        "Without that information what are we to assume Canadians are – all white and protestant?"

        Why make any assumptions at all? A Canadians is a citizen of Canada – that's the only definition necessary.

        • http://intensedebate.com/people/Silly_Walks Silly_Walks

          We're not America. There is no single 'Canadian' identity.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/lgarvin lgarvin

            I made no mention of a Canadian identity.

            The non-sequitors are flying fast and furious today.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/Silly_Walks Silly_Walks

            So, if I understand your train of thought correctly, by saying there's no need to gather cultural background information beyond the point of just being "Canadian", you in no way intended to imply only ones "Canadian" culture is important. That does qualify as being a non sequitur.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/lgarvin lgarvin

            First "identity" and now "culture"…

            I wonder what else I didn't say that you somehow managed to read in ?

            Individuals have identity, groups have cultures, "Canadian" is neither an identity, nor a culture, it's a nationality. Any complexity or implication you're finding in that simple statement is entirely of your own imagining.

        • Jan

          So instead of Canada being known for multiculturalism and religious tolerance we can let the world know, instead, that we are so afraid of our government we won't divulge this information? That should bring in the immigrants.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/lgarvin lgarvin

            I can't think of any comment that doesn't come off as terribly flippant.

            So, I'll just stick to saying I think that's not a very good argument.

        • http://intensedebate.com/people/SeanStok Sean

          "Statistics Canada says it collects data on ethnic origins to meet a widespread demand for it. The Department of Canadian Heritage uses it to administer programs under the Multiculturaism Act. Governments, community groups, ethnic and cultural organizations, school boards, hospitals and researchers all use ethnicity data to assess how people of different backgrounds have integrated into life in Canada."
          http://www.thestar.com/News/Canada/article/409109

          In addition, a great deal of social science work uses ethnicity data from the census. We can debate the merits/needs of such scholarship, and the agencies/policies listed above, but let's dispense with the "it's not used" argument. Rightly or wrongly, or country invests a fair bit of policy and self-identity into our ethnci/multicultural make-up, so as it stands such questions are justifiably part of the census. As 'Canadian' has been added in recent years as an option (over the objections of many – but not myself), there's not a lot to worry about.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/SeanStok Sean

            Also, anyone wishing to assess the representative nature of workforce sectors, etc., uses this data.

        • practical mom

          I don't think the census is meant to define Canadians but to count them. The census quantifies the changing face of Canada so that we can know who we are without resorting to guessing or extrapolating from our own neighbourhood..

    • Thwim

      Again the question of why do they need to know certain things?

      Well, I've given one answer on another thread. Here's a second: What types of religious schooling have enough participation to deserve tax dollars?

      Here's another: When we examine city planning, looking at the design of streets and pedestrian passage, it may be useful to know which neighborhoods follow predominantly orthodox Judaism, as there are some strict requirements there regarding automobile use.

      Here's another: Where might it be better to station the few Muslim RCMP officers we have? Perhaps in an area with a higher Muslim population.

      Here's another: We regularly adjust importation limits and regulations, but how do we know how to do so? Well, if we see that the number of Chinese immigrants seems to be growing faster than other ethnicities, perhaps it makes sense to devote our research efforts more toward imports from China.

      Here's another: Where do we need more fire departments? Some ethnicities and religions make more use of fire in their private ceremonies.

      Here's another: Certain races are prone to getting certain diseases more often. If we're planning where we should send stockpiles of medicine, it makes more sense to store larger quantities near areas where they will get used more.

      These are all just from the top of my head. If you can't come up with reasons why it's useful for government to know what religion and ethnicity people are and where they're located, I suggest it's because you either haven't really tried, or haven't really considered much of the scope of what government does.

      • Olaf

        Well, I've given one answer on another thread. Here's a second: What types of religious schooling have enough participation to deserve tax dollars?

        Yes, because the "public funding of religious schools" battle in the last Ontario election was fought and won on the basis of a sober and comprehensive analysis of statistical data. Haha, I couldn't think of an example that more eloquently and thoroughly proves Igarvin's point. Bravo.

        • Thwim

          That's a problem with the electorate.. not a problem with the argument.

          Again, it's like the argument that we shouldn't bother to make something illegal if it just keeps happening anyway. It's a bloody stupid argument. Should the electorate decide to choose leaders because of how they are sensible and make good use of facts, it would be helpful to have those facts there. Not having them simply enforces a choice between know-nothings.

          Or are you saying that the religious school debate was really how you want to see politics handled in future in this country?

          • Olaf

            If the argument, as most political arguments are, assumes an electorate as it can reasonably be expected to be, then yes, it actually is a problem with the argument. If you were merely suggesting (for no good reason whatsoever) that your argument would be compelling in a utopian society, I agree. But if you mean your argument to apply to Canada as it currently is, then I don't.

            And the conclusion 'act A should be illegal' isn't based on the premise 'because if you make it illegal, it won't happen any more'. Maybe if you spelled out your arguments as syllogisms, you'd tumble into fewer pitfalls with a resounding *thud*.

      • Blacktop

        In BC none.

        The government gives some money to PRIVATE schoolsas long as they follow the Ministry curriculum. Schools that mess up the syllabus with religious crap and don't meet the curriculum get much less.

      • lgarvin

        Ah, some meat!

        I'll take it by numbers.

        1) What types of religious schooling have enough participation to deserve tax dollars?

        None. The existence of the system in Ontario is a political abomination which only underlines my previous arguments made, ad infinitum – it's not about the stats, it's about the politics.

        2) Jewish neigbourhoods and City planning.

        Are you kidding? We should never, never, never design public infrastructure to accommodate religious groups. Horrible example.

        3) Muslim RCMP.

        Philosophically, I'm opposed to that kind of tokenism. But granting that it's a fact, I suppose we could just assign Muslims officers to the communities where they grew up.

        4) Country of origin.

        The Immigration department is probably best placed to track that information, if it's even needed.

        5) Fire Departments

        In planning fire departments the most important consideration is geography. Insurance rates are set – in part – based on proximity to fire halls.

        6) Race-based medications.

        Put stockpiles in the larger urban centres where the hospitals are… If we need to fly some to Moose Jaw on an emergency basis, we can do that.

        I suggest it's because you either haven't really tried, or haven't really considered much of the scope of what government does.

        Nope, it's not that.

        • Olaf

          You beat me to it. But kudos to Thwim for at least trying to draw the link between "group A sometimes uses the data" to "group A requires the data to effectively function". Everyone else seems content with "group A uses the data in some fashion", as if that somehow proves that marginally less accurate data would affect their decision making process one iota, let alone lead to 'wrong' decisions.

  • Mike Moffatt

    I can't see it happening, though to be fair I couldn't see it happening a month ago either.

    • Anon 001

      Do you love the troops, though? Sounds to me like you don't.

    • http://intensedebate.com/people/PolJunkie PolJunkie

      s'ok. They don't want votes from elitists such as yourself anyway.

  • Mike Moffatt

    "Who decided that Polish kids don't play baseball?"

    Certainly Doug Mientkiewicz's family didn't…

    Keep in mind the question doesn't assume that Polish kids are less likely to play baseball than non-Polish kids. All it assumes is that there *might* be a difference so we should take that into account. In other words, the survey assumes nothing of the sort that you describe!

    • http://intensedebate.com/people/lgarvin lgarvin

      You immediately focused on the weakest part of my argument (and good for you). Of course no-one made the assumption that Polish kids don't play baseball. The real assumption is that being Polish means your ideas, habits and preferences can be safely extrapolated from the responses of your Polish neighbours. Which is an offensive stereotype at the individual level but apparently it's science at a statistical level.

  • chet

    As for W. Kinsella's support for the Tory position?

    What's typical of this issue is the portrayal of the other side's position as being so devoid of merit as to be scandalous in and of itself.

    Another issue (among a long list) that's beyond debate – according to today's leftist "thinkers". In other words if it doesn't fall in line with a statist leftist world view, it is illegitimate.

    • http://intensedebate.com/people/Silly_Walks Silly_Walks

      Did your third statement read your second?

      • http://intensedebate.com/people/SeanStok Sean

        Forgive him, he's doing the best he can under the duress of a massive hangover.

    • http://intensedebate.com/people/BGLong BGLong

      Oh,Kody. It's good to see that mommy let you back in the basement. So cute.

    • http://intensedebate.com/people/Ricard_S_Argent Richard_S_Argent

      How's the old noodle feelin' today chet? I'm sure you had one ragin' hangover this morning. Me, I swear by unnsweetened grapefruit juice followed by gatorade followed by pepsi.

      :)

  • Mike Moffatt

    "The real assumption is that being Polish means your ideas, habits and preferences can be safely extrapolated from the responses of your Polish neighbours."

    It does nothing of the sort from an individual perspective. All it does is assumes that averages or probabilities may be different between groups. Key words being: 'averages' and 'may'.

    • http://intensedebate.com/people/lgarvin lgarvin

      All it does is assumes that averages or probabilities may be different between groups. Key words being: 'averages' and 'may'.

      Like I said, not exactly a hard science. And yet people have been calling this information "vital" & "crucial" and "irreplacable." I don't think it's any of those things. I think it's just more fun for the pollsters to play around with this stuff and bulk up their reports with all kinds of impressive looking tables and charts. But that's just the cynic in me talking, I'm sure.

      • http://intensedebate.com/people/Silly_Walks Silly_Walks

        Clearly you're having trouble understanding statistics, so I'll try and help you out a little here: If a (statistically sound) study were to come out saying "99% of people will experience little or no vertical social mobility in their lifetime", that doesn't necessarily mean you will not experience vertical social mobility. I does, however still mean 99% of people won't.

        Obviously statistics aren't good at dealing with individual cases, but they're not supposed to be applied on the micro scale. Governments always exist and act in the Macro world, where detailed and accurate statistics are absolutely a hard science.

        • http://intensedebate.com/people/lgarvin lgarvin

          Clearly you're having trouble understanding statistics, so I'll try and help you out a little here

          Oh, goodie.

          Obviously statistics aren't good at dealing with individual cases, but they're not supposed to be applied on the micro scale. Governments always exist and act in the Macro world, where detailed and accurate statistics are absolutely a hard science.

          So when Statistics Canada sells Acme Gidgets data tables on postal code X0X 0X0 broken down by income levels, education levels, offspring and housing data – is that the Micro level or the Macro?

          Joking, of course.

          But there is an underlying point. The value of the data increases with it's specificity and you can't logically argue that the science bit comes from the generality of the data and the valuable bit comes from the specificity of the data. Somewhere in the middle there's a collision of justifications.

          • Silly_Walks

            The value of data is only increased when it's being used effectively. It's a moot point regardless, as the Government is still going to do the long form census – it'll just cost 30 million dollars more, and return data that's basically worthless.

            Edit: And that would be either the macro or micro level, depending on whether you're with Acme or StatsCan.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/lgarvin lgarvin

            It's a moot point regardless, as the Government is still going to do the long form census – it'll just cost 30 million dollars more, and return data that's basically worthless.

            Yeah, I know. I think it's a stupid, indefensible position. They should have either eliminated the long-form entirely or left it alone. I'm a little surprised that I've found myself on the eliminate it side of the debate, to be honest. But I've been discussing this here for a couple of weeks now and my position has hardened as I go… I don't see the need for the long-form data and I think it should be eliminated. The fact that a lot of government agencies want the data is not strong enough justification, IMO. I think they should be made to prove their cases.

          • http://intensedebate.com/people/SeanStok Sean

            I gave a fairly comprehensive list of uses the ethnicity data are subject to, somewhere up the page. Just for one example.

            It think it's more than fair and reasonable that the utility of census data – and each question, in particular – be subject to scrutiny and defense. And, a bit more public education is clearly in order so folks don't think the data simply goes into a sandbox for civil servants to play with, to no useful end.

  • Olaf

    In fairness, Mike Moffatt didn't explain the need for a mandatory census, in any way shape or form. What he did was show how censuses could be used to more accurately approximate the number of Poles in a community. If he's suggesting further that "it makes sense to build a soccer field instead of a baseball field when the community is made up of 11.7% Poles instead of 8% Poles, on the assumptions that they all prefer soccer over baseball (otherwise the massive 3.7% gap dwindles rapidly), will continue to prefer soccer over baseball for the duration of its existence in lieu of a baseball diamond, the demographics of the community are stable, that no other identifiable groups (say, Yanks or those from certain baseball crazy Central American communities) prefer baseball over soccer, that the extra 3.7% (noting the assumptions above) provide the 50+1 majority of 'ethnic communities who generally prefer certain sports' which tips the balance from baseball diamond to soccer field, that the decision as to which field to build is based entirely on the ethnic makeup of the community, that these newly-arrived Poles will have the political clout to push their decision past a WASP dominated community association, etc. etc. etc.," then yes, a mandatory census is surely a must, lest a few children be forced to go to the nearest school yard to play soccer. Granting all of these insane assumptions, the consequences of this decision are dire, indeed.

    • Olaf

      In short, it's a hypothetical useful in proving one proposition (the census provides more accurate data on the ethnic makeup of a given community, which is not seriously in dispute), but utterly useless in proving another (that without this reliable data, community associations will build baseball diamonds where they really should have built a soccer field).

From Macleans