Of jobs and jets

by Andrew Coyne on Wednesday, September 15, 2010 6:18pm - 0 Comments

Minister of National Defence and Minister for the Atlantic Gateway Peter MacKay checks out the cockpit of the F-35. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Adrian Wyld

I’ll leave to others, at least for the moment, whether the F-35 contract makes sense in military terms: that is, whether this is the best expenditure of scarce defence funds. I remain to be persuaded either way. But  if the F-35 is so far superior to other planes as the government maintains, and if the benefits in defence terms are worth the extra dollars, then I think the contract can be defended, notwithstanding the absence of competitive bidders. You can’t have a competition for something that’s only made by one firm.

As I say, I’m keeping an open mind on its military merits. All I would suggest is that that is how any such purchase should be assessed — based on its costs and benefits in military terms, and not on the basis of its so-called “industrial benefits.” Indeed, that is the best thing about the contract as signed: it doesn’t have any “industrial benefits.”

That is, not as that phrase is used in procurement jargon: a requirement imposed on the contractor to set aside a certain portion of the subcontracting work for Canadian firms. Remarkably, the government has eschewed any such requirement in the deal — remarkable, both because defence contracts are usually riddled with such protectionist riders, and because this government has not previously shown much aversion to pork-barrelling.

Why are these a bad idea? The same reason as protectionism is generally. You don’t make yourself rich by paying too much for things, any more than you do by selling things for less than they cost to make — as in that other favourite tool of industrial interventionists, subsidies. “Buy low, sell high” is the recipe for prosperity, not “buy high, sell low.” The only reason to require a contractor to source from Canadian firms is if they would not do so willingly; the only reason they would not do so willingly is if the Canadian firms were not the most cost-effective option; and so the effect of such set-asides must be to inflate the cost of the contract. If the government were purchasing from these sub-contractors directly, that would be obvious enough. But it doesn’t change with the intervention of an American aerospace firm as the middle-man.

But what about all the extra economic activity so generated? If the government is going to spend all that money anyway, doesn’t it make sense to spend it in this country, creating jobs here rather than elsewhere? And won’t the extra taxes from all that additional output offset any extra costs?

The key to this enduring fallacy lies in those words “extra”, “additional.” The assumption is that productive resources are somehow called into existence by the government’s willingness to spend money on something. But that’s not the case. They are not created; they are diverted. The resources used to make parts for planes might have been used for other purposes. They are only diverted into aerospace by the availability of subsidy (in this case, the difference between the Canadian subcontractors’ costs and their foreign competitiors). Were there no subsidy, the same resources could be put to other uses, offering higher economic returns — and sending higher tax revenues back to the treasury.

How do I know they would offer higher economic returns? Because they don’t need a subsidy: that is, they offer a greater benefit to society, in terms of the price consumers are willing to pay for them at the margin, than they cost society to make, in terms of the resources they consume in production. Whereas subsidy only becomes necessary where the reverse is the case: where the costs to society exceed the returns. I say “society,” because that’s ultimately what’s involved. We may assign private title to these resourced, but ultimately they are society’s, in the sense that they must all come out of the same pot: one person’s use of a scarce resource leaves that much less for everyone else.

This is as true of labour as anything else. A widget firm is in the business of making widgets, not jobs. Jobs are not the product: they’re the cost. Likewise for military jets. The fundamental objective of the government should be to get the best jets for the lowest price — not to “create jobs.”

A final point. As I said off the top, I don’t know whether the jets are worth the price. Maybe the contract should have been put out to competitive tender. We’ll see. But it’s utterly incoherent of the Liberals to argue, on the one hand, that the government is paying too much for the jets (because of the lack of competitive bidders) and that it is not paying enough (because of the lack of domestic content quotas). Pick one!

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  • madeyoulook

    Additional caveat: If Arctic sovereignty protection cannot be well fulfilled by the F-35 (as some who claim to know are claiming) then we may yet need another item on our shopping list.

    But it is nice to see a discussion about the federal government's role in carrying out one of its most important constitutionally-mandated responsibilities (national defence).

    • http://nexusofassholery.blogspot.com/ Patrick_Ross

      As I understand this, in my imperfect understanding, protecting arctic sovereignty is best served by a twin-engine fighter (if one engine freezes up, the other one can get the jet back to base).

      The Eurofighter Typhoon is a twin-engine. The Grippen is also comparable.

      I think we should be buying 20 fewer F-35s (for now), and approximately 30 Typhoons.

      That's my one criticism of the Conservative deal.

      • madeyoulook

        I recall there were criticisms that they didn't order enough of the F-35s. At the time, I thought to myself: if that's true, maybe that's good, because they are keeping resources off the table to acquire equipment better suited for other roles. Like Arctic defence, since there were also criticisms that the F-35s would be very poor in that setting.

        You are estimating this purchase is too much for now. You may be right. Or maybe Ottawa anticipates air combat in non-Arctic regions as a more likely imminent scenario?

  • Keith M

    I'd be curious to see the head to head competition between the Eurofighter and the F-22. I always the thought the F-22 for far beyond anything else currently in use.

    • http://nexusofassholery.blogspot.com/ Patrick_Ross

      They don't take video of such things, unfortunately.

  • Blacktop

    You want to see, Phil? DND has been responding to that for 50 years witn Department of Supply and Services acting as your advocate (and delayers) . The Auditor General Branch also has a role in making sure the processes are efficient and effective. Have you heard from her lately? . Perhaps if you trained to be one or the other you might get such a jobs and then be part of the process. In the meantime you will have to be like the rest of us taxpayers. In other words, trust a little that someone is on the job who understands the complexities. We are not buying gravel for a county highway, you know.

  • ElmoHarris

    "…this government has not previously shown much aversion to pork-barrelling."

    That just about says it all, doesn't it?

  • Pat

    Did I miss it when someone commented on this week's issue of "The Economist" and their article on Canada's F-35 dilemma? Interesting perspective.

    Pat

  • http://cdntaxlie.blogspot.com John Halonen

    Come on Coyne. You need a better argument than that. How many Canadian Jobs will the jet purchase bring.

    Money spent on getting Canadian jobs is far more important these days, or do you not care if Canadians work, but if the Russians are coming, coming, coming, then many will agree with you.

  • inamae

    boys toys!!!

  • http://cdntaxlie.blogspot.com JOHNS_VIEW

    Come on Coyne. You need a better argument than that. How many Canadian Jobs will the jet purchase bring.

    Better that our Government stop accepting bribes from the Americans, rather than purchasing what they want.

  • mikefromcanmore

    Not sure how this has turned into an economic/jobs argument. Surely more effective ways to employ Canadians with our tax dollars than this. But about this "defense of sovereignty" thing. Who exactly are we "defending" against and why do we all-of-a-sudden need to spend 9 billion to do so? It seems that if we are purchasing this particular type of aircraft because the US and other NATO allies are- going to Afghanistan only because we weren't part of the "coalition of the willing" and are now waiting for the US to establish their environmental/energy policy first so we know what ours will look like then we really don't have much "sovereignty" left to defend.
    By all means buy more search and rescue planes and heavy life helicopters for aid to disaster hit areas but please leave the US style politics of fear far away from this discussion.

  • Jac.

    The F-35 ,altho pricey, is a better option than the suggestion by Peter Worthington of Sun Media, who stated that Harper should be building battleships instead. Can you imagine the cost of a battleship ? You would first of all need a shipyard. Then you would need a 1000 plus peoplle to man it. And if you would go to battle with a landlocked country ,like Afghanistan, you may as well stay home.

    • Ryan

      A Battleship?No but an Aircraft carrier ,yes.But given how people are reacting to the thought of 65 advanced stealth fighter jets, id shelve that idea for a long time.

  • Brian

    Alas and alack! From a country that had the world's 3rd largest navy/army, and air force and envy of the world class aerospace and shipbuilding capabilities in 1945,Canada is now relegated to the sad rank of not as well equipped as Israel to enforce our own sovereignty.If we believe that our Defence department has excercized its' due diligence in picking the F-35 as the best successor to our 35 year old F-18's, then we should allow their judgement to stand and quit listening to left-wing politicians and media hacks who wear rainbow underwear. If Diefenbaker had not crippled our military many years ago, and if we were not saddled with Bob Rae /Michael Ignatieff socialists perhaps this discussion would be moot and Canada would simply build and maintain our own superior equipment and not depend on foreign design or manufacture with our involvement limited to outsourced maintenance. An old sports adage is "The best defence is a great offence". Iggy ,Jack and Rae/May need to remember that and quit trolling for votes amid the tree-hugger/peaceniks.I deliberately omit Duceppe and his party since they are hardly concerned with Canadian sovereignty,only Quebec's.
    And for those who foolishly ignore the Russians, don,t ever think for one second that their recon/intrusion flights or submarine incursions are simply innocent navigational oversights, they are constantly testing and training against our capability and response for a much deeper purpose.Like the Boy Scouts motto says"Be Prepared"

  • Erik Poole

    Promising, gutsy policy move; great commentary essay Mr.Coyne.

    Defence procurement as industrial strategy is bad policy. Assigning multiple socio-economic mandates to policy decisions that affect security is only asking for trouble.

  • Jeff_calgary

    Nice article however I believe that a very important consideration is being missed. For that amount of money and with the purpose of helping us define our sovereignty over the Arctic – are there better ways to spend money and make jobs.

    I would put forward that we could spend the money building a road/rail/pipeline corridor up into the NWT. This would make many more jobs than the jets 'might' provide us, it would go much further towards our sovereignty goals, it would open up the NWT for cheaper exploration of minerals and oil/gas, it would make many jobs for the people living in the Northern areas etc. etc.

    I know the F35's are good jets – but from reading the news I don't really see anybody using jets like the F35 for any purpose that requires that level of technology. We can out fly the Taliban with a Cessna from what I am reading.

  • Ryan

    The F35 has numerous advantages over its cheaper counterparts.When researched its very difficult if not impossible to find ANY criticism of the the Russian,Indian or Chinese versions of fighters comparable to the F35.I find that hard to believe.Stealth tech cannot be underestimated.After all you cant hit what you cant see,physical or otherwise.

    The F35 can be modified.Extended fuel tanks can be added,air to air superiority weapons,and plug and play software.The Russian version offers "artificial intelligence" at 100 million each.Really?I didnt notice that that Russian software surpassed us AND is cheaper than ours.Its more like they hack and steal our tech then call it their own.Seriously just where does anyone expect to buy a hightech fighter aircraft?Come foward and throw your hat into the ring.

    In conclusion ive made my choice to back the F35 JSF and its purchase for this country called Canada.Ive patiently waited for this liberal "soft " power to work and it hasnt.This world is not a Kumbaya world unfortunately ,i wish it was.We are the second largest country on the planet.We can afford 65 F35s.

  • buskerjim

    "I remain to be persuaded either way…But if the F-35 is so far superior to other planes as the government maintains, and if the benefits in defence terms are worth the extra dollars, then I think the contract can be defended, notwithstanding the absence of competitive bidders. You can’t have a competition for something that’s only made by one firm."

    Well, for someone who remains to be persuaded, you sure do seem to have made up your mind. You throw in the "ifs" and the "notwithstanding" as though they are trivial, when in fact, they are very much to the point of the criticisms of the decision to buy these particular planes.

    Other companies do indeed make planes, and therefore one can't dismiss the idea of a competition in quite the cavalier manner that you have. Indeed, HAD the government sought additional bids from other manufacturers, the price from this particular manufacturer might have been billions less. Instead, the manufacturers of the F-35 could write their own ticket (and paychecque) knowing that there were no other bidders. ARE these planes superior to others? I guess we'll never know, now. In short, even if the contracts that we're now stuck with are defensible, the process by which we arrived at them is most definitely not.

    A final point: In your last paragraph, you take a slap at the Liberals for presenting two opposing arguments against this expenditure, and I say…who cares?? The Conservatives didn't consult anyone before making this huge decision. It's all theirs, planes, contracts, price tag and all.

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