Beyond The Commons

Beyond The Commons

Aaron Wherry covers all the goings-on in and around Parliament Hill. Follow Aaron on Twitter: @aaronwherry

Projecting the projections

by Aaron Wherry on Friday, April 29, 2011 1:46pm - 1 Comment

Paul Adams considers the seat projection predicament.

For the record, I am generally a believer in the usefulness of seat projections, and continue to be so in this election, which promises to be historic in some ways. However, I also think that there are reasons to be more cautious about them in elections where there is potential structural change, and where there is volatility late in the campaign.

Bookmark and Share
  • noob_goldberg

    The only way to get a really good idea is with a riding poll, but most parties would only do that for the ridings in which they really needed to know the answer. With a seismic shift like this in Quebec, how would you even know which ridings to poll? I predict a number of upsets into the stretch, of fortress ridings unexpectedly switching. Maybe starting with Laurier—Sainte-Marie? Please?

From Macleans