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Econowatch

Economists Stephen Gordon (ULaval), Mike Moffatt (Western) and Kevin Milligan (UBC), as well as Macleans.ca’s Erica Alini and guest bloggers write about the economy and economic policy in Canada, the U.S. and the world. We like charts. On Twitter, follow Stephen: @stephenfgordon; Mike: @mikepmoffatt; Kevin: @kevinmilligan and Erica: @ealini.

Why China’s days as a rare earth bully are numbered

by Erica Alini on Friday, July 15, 2011 5:22pm - 19 Comments

Have you ever begged your six-month-old to stop throwing the pacifier off the edge of the high chair­ only to watch him do it again with a profoundly amused, puffy-cheeked smile? That must be how American, Japanese and European diplomats feel today. After pleading with China not to re-issue rare earth quotas, Beijing did just that, imposing new restrictions that would keep exports of the strategic materials at roughly last year’s levels.

Rare earth metals are the little-known but vitally important stuff that things like iPhone and laptop monitors, and wind turbine and hybrid car parts are made of. As Maclean’s reported last November, these metals are so crucial to much of the high-tech industry that, like oil and diamonds, they have effectively become a tool for geopolitical arm-twisting.

Mostly, they are a tool for the People’s Republic, which produces more than 90 per cent of the world’s rare earth metals. For example, when Beijing and Tokyo got into a diplomatic scuffle last year, China shut off exports of rare earth metals to Japan. Prices for the key metals skyrocketed up to 475 per cent as a result, spreading panic among Japanese manufacturers and prompting their government to comply with Chinese demands.

That’s why eggheads in Japan, Europe and North America were so disappointed with the new quotas announced today. The European Trade Commission called Beijing’s move “highly disappointing,” which, in diplomatic speak, is pretty heavy wording.

China, though, doesn’t seem too bothered by the global outpour of consternation, nor by threats to bring the whole affair before the World Trade Organization, which polices its member countries’ adherence to free trade practices.

But Beijing may soon need to change that attitude. China’s strong-arming has prompted some big manufacturers, such as Toyota, to come up with ways to avoid using the scarce materials altogether. Most importantly, two recent discoveries of vast rare earth deposits could challenge China’s monopoly on the stuff. This month, an estimated 267 million metric tons of rare earth deposits were found in Madagascar, where mining is expected to kick off in 6-8 months. And last June, Japanese scientists found between 80 and 100 billion metric tons of the metals on the floor of the Pacific Ocean.

All of which is to say that China’s days as a rare earth bully may be numbered.

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  • Anonymous

    Rare earth isn’t rare….it’s just widely scattered, and China made sure it had a  plentiful supply before anyone else thought of it

    Bolivia has lots….Ontario has them..

    Everyone else is just catching up is all

  • Anonymous

    Plenty of the “rare” stuff in Saskatchewan, Labrador, Quebec, probably Newfoundland, NS, and NB.

  • Anonymous

    why are you so concerned about China being a rare earth bully?  your lovely neighbours south of the borders are real bully for more than half a century , killing people for their prosperity threatening other countries into submission to make favourite trade deals, not to mention all kinds of protectionist policies, you are just a part of propaganda against China, being a rare earth bully is much better than being a real bully with murderous past , war crimes and human rights abuses, and support for the worst thugs in the international Arena,that continues to this day and time, Have you ever questioned that bully? I don’t think so, you have actually assisted the bully by sending army to support the drug trade in Afghanistan , look at yourself before pointing a finger to some thing that is china’s right.

    • Anonymous

      Yes, if the US had secured a supply for itself,  and only sold a set amount at high prices….people wouldn’t think anything of it.

      Standard business practice in fact.

    • Anonymous

      Another troll paid by the Chinese government to invade any forum with “China” or “Chinese” in its title to defend that country, or rather to deviate the attention to some other scapegoat.

      So what if the US are a “bully with murderous past, etc..”? Is there a law somewhere that says there can only be one single bully in the world and since that role is taken by the US, then China is completely innocent.

      If you want to defend China, TrimTroll, show us documented proof to counter the facts presented in this article. Accusing the US or any other country is just a red herring.

      • Anonymous

        If you were a healthy duck , I would take you seriously , Why you talk about laws?
        laws must only be followed by poor and weak , If you have the largest number of weapons , you don’t need any law, you can choose to follow none, Like the Great good bully that you mentioned , Good bullies don’t need laws , I am glad that Dalai Lama was not mentioned , he is the greatest spiritual leader , leaders in the West line up to admire his naked shoulder because he is a troublemaker for china , are these leaders deceiving themselves ? do they really want their children to believe that Dalai Lama is a spiritual leader of any sort?  you don’t have to be angry , If you support the big good bully, you still have  the power to kill more people than any one else . You are protected. Don’t talk about laws , they only look good if you watch judge Judy.

        • http://www.facebook.com/alex.skochinski Alex Skochinski

          you have an unbridled love of comas.

        • http://www.facebook.com/alex.skochinski Alex Skochinski

          you have an unbridled love of comas.

        • http://www.facebook.com/alex.skochinski Alex Skochinski

          you have an unbridled love of comas.

        • http://www.facebook.com/alex.skochinski Alex Skochinski

          you have an unbridled love of comas.

        • Anonymous

          You have to do better, this has CCP written all over it.

    • http://www.facebook.com/alex.skochinski Alex Skochinski

      um bro, human rights abuses are practically synonymous with china. murderous past? war crimes? virtually every country is guilty. also china doesnt have a “right” to be an economic asshole.

    • http://www.facebook.com/alex.skochinski Alex Skochinski

      um bro, human rights abuses are practically synonymous with china. murderous past? war crimes? virtually every country is guilty. also china doesnt have a “right” to be an economic asshole.

    • http://www.facebook.com/alex.skochinski Alex Skochinski

      um bro, human rights abuses are practically synonymous with china. murderous past? war crimes? virtually every country is guilty. also china doesnt have a “right” to be an economic asshole.

    • Anonymous

      You know Trim, we can question the United States for it’s bully tactics AND question China for the same. Just because the US isn’t a saint doesn’t mean that China isn’t also a human rights abuser that unfairly pushes its weight around.

    • Anonymous

      You know Trim, we can question the United States for it’s bully tactics AND question China for the same. Just because the US isn’t a saint doesn’t mean that China isn’t also a human rights abuser that unfairly pushes its weight around.

  • Anonymous

    To reiterate, rare earths are not really all that rare. The issue with rare earths is that their extraction is a very messy business that causes significant environmental concerns. Canda, if it wanted, could become a rare earth powerhouse but with an ensuing environmental cost. A cost, we have not be willing to pay.

  • Anonymous

    To reiterate, rare earths are not really all that rare. The issue with rare earths is that their extraction is a very messy business that causes significant environmental concerns. Canda, if it wanted, could become a rare earth powerhouse but with an ensuing environmental cost. A cost, we have not be willing to pay.

  • Anonymous

    To reiterate, rare earths are not really all that rare. The issue with rare earths is that their extraction is a very messy business that causes significant environmental concerns. Canda, if it wanted, could become a rare earth powerhouse but with an ensuing environmental cost. A cost, we have not be willing to pay.

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