By Aaron Wherry - Wednesday, November 14, 2012 - 0 Comments
It’s just one poll and the sample is small and the margin of error is high and the riding has never been anything other than Conservative… but for the sake of finding some excitement in this fall’s by-elections, you could imagine that Calgary Centre might be a race.
As reported by the Globe & Mail, the November survey of 376 randomly selected residents in Calgary-Centre showed Ms. Crockatt with 32% to 30% for Mr. Locke and 23% for Mr. Turner. New Democrat Dan Meades was in fourth place with 12%. The survey is considered to be accurate by plus or minus five percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
If this new survey is to be believed, then the November 26 vote could be much more exciting than most political watchers, including myself, had previously predicted. A similar survey conducted by Forum Research in October found Ms. Crockatt with 48% to 28% for Mr. Locke, 11% for Mr. Turner, and 8% for Mr. Meades. Another survey from Forum Research conducted in August found the Conservatives with 44% to 21% for the Liberals, 14% for the NDP, and 12% for the Greens. It appears that within a matter of months, the 40% margin of victory earned by former Conservative MP Lee Richardson in the 2011 federal election and 23% margin for the Conservatives found in the September survey may have completely evaporated.
By Aaron Wherry - Wednesday, October 31, 2012 at 11:27 AM - 0 Comments
A recent poll from Forum Research.
‘Do you agree or disagree the government should be permitted to bundle many different types of legislation under one Omnibus Budget Bill?’
Don’t know 22%
Within that sample, only 33% of Conservative supporters agreed that government’s should be permitted to use omnibus budget bills.
The significant development here, if there is one, would be that the very idea of an omnibus bill could be taking on negative connotations in the general public. Arguably that’s already happened with prorogation.